January 4, 2010

Y2k + 10

Dennis Dutton observes in It's always the end of the world as we know it

Y2K problems would not be limited to mainframe computers that governed the information systems of the modern world, but were going to affect millions of tiny computer chips found everywhere. Thanks to these wonky microprocessors, elevators would die, G.P.S. devices would stop working and dishwashers would dry the food onto the plates before trying to rinse it off. Even ordinary cars might spontaneously accelerate to fatal, uncontrollable speeds, with brakes failing to respond.

The Y2K catastrophe was promoted with increasing shrillness toward century's end: headlines proclaimed a "computer time bomb" or "a date with disaster." Vanity Fair's January 1999 article "The Y2K Nightmare" caught the sensationalist tone, claiming that "folly, greed and denial" had "muffled two decades of warnings from technology experts."

But not everyone bought into those beliefs.

Among the most reviled of the Y2K deniers was Bill Gates, who not only declared that Microsoft's PCs would take the date turnover in stride, but had the audacity to blame those who "love to tell tales of fear" for the worldwide anxiety. Mr. Gates's denialism was ignored as governments and corporations set in place immensely expensive schemes to immunize systems against the Y2K bug.

Yes, it was a great time to be a Y2K consultant. Government agencies got huge infusions of money to upgrade computers that would prevent any Y2K problems. (Interestingly, Bill Gates deserves credit. He could have contributed to the panic and encouraged people to upgrade their various Microsoft products. Instead, he provided fixes.)

This, however, lets us know how serious the problem was:

However, exactly 10 years ago today, as the date change moved on through the Far East, India, Russia, the Middle East and Europe, it became apparent that it made little difference whether you lived in Britain, which at great expense had revamped many of its computer systems, or the lackadaisical Ukraine, which had ignored the issue.

Finally, to Dutton's conclusion:

This applies, in my view, to the towering seas, storms, droughts and mass extinctions of popular climate catastrophism. Such entertaining visions owe less to scientific climatology than to eschatology, and that familiar sense that modernity and its wasteful comforts are bringing us closer to a biblical day of judgment. As that headline put it for Y2K, predictions of the end of the world are often intertwined with condemnations of human "folly, greed and denial." Repent and recycle!

Posted by SoccerDad at January 4, 2010 6:18 AM
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Comments

I remember the fireworks on New Years eve 1999/2000. I was very nervous about the bangs!

Posted by: Chas N-B at January 4, 2010 8:13 AM

People panicked over a trivial issue. But human nature is quite adept at ignoring far more real threats.

Posted by: NormanF at January 4, 2010 1:02 PM
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