Why Obama Is Cool To The Idea Of Moderates And Democracy In Iraq And Iran
Jonah Goldberg offers another possibility for those who think that Obama is making demands of Israel in order for the US to get the Arab countries united against Iran:
Well,
what if getting Iran to drop its nukes is incidental and Israeli
concessions fundamental? In other words, the prize of Obama's
foreign-policy agenda isn't getting Iran to drop its nukes, but to
force Israel to do what he thinks it must to make peace with the
Palestinians and the Arab world.
I don't think this
would necessitate some dastardly anti-Israel scheme or bias. Rather, I
think Obama has visions of bringing peace to the Middle East and
settling the Israel-Palestinian issue. This is a vision that has
visited every president for generations, and Obama has a more
pro-Palestinian past than most. But wherever his sympathies may lie, it
seems he has convinced himself as a matter of "realist" calculation
that his only leverage in that struggle is Iran's nuclear program and
the petrifying Medusa's head of Ahmandinejad. If the Iran card is taken
out, or even substantially changes, what leverage does Obama have for
his real goal? [emphasis added]
If so, it would explain why
it appears that Obama is dragging his feet--and drawing criticism--on
expressing support for the demonstrators in Iran. After all, not only
would it take away his leverage, but the demonstrations could possibly
lead to a more moderate regime and demonstrate that peace in the Arab
world can be achieved by other means.
Let's take
this a step further: Could Goldberg's idea also explain Obama's
coolness to the whole idea of the US troops in Iraq? According to
Obama's thinking, the road to democracy in the Middle East is not
through a democratized Iraq--it is through Israel, so maintaining a US
presence there will not attain the goal of peace in the Middle East.
Obama
is not actually interested in peace in the Middle East. Obama's goal is
a peaceful--quiet--Middle East. And the only thing that stands in the
way of that is Israel.
And the long history of Muslim vs. Muslim violence.
by
Daled Amos
Posted by daledamos at June 21, 2009 9:29 AM
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