January 31, 2008

Zionists attack palestinians with sharp objects

Yesterday, Elder of Ziyon noted that Israel was being charged with Real Slow Ethnic Cleansing. In response to the charges that Israel is carrying on genocide or similar smears, Elder of Ziyon writes:

According to the CIA Factbook, there are 1,482,405 people in Gaza. The mortality rate is 3.74 deaths/1,000 population and the birth rate is 38.9 births/1,000.

This means that this year one can expect some 5500 Gazans to die, and over 57,000 to be born.

The upshot is that even if 50,000 additional Gazans died this year - ten times their normal rate - their population would still be higher next year.

To kill that many Arabs, Israel would have to adopt the methods of Syria or Saddam's Iraq or Jordan or Iran or Egypt (with that nice chemical weapon touch in Yemen) or....

Nope, when it comes to killing Arabs, Israel is out of its league.

Ah but, the Zionist have now hatched a new nefarious plot attacking Palestinians with sharp objects.

Israeli authorities fear that along with the new influx of livestock will come a wave of diseases not indigenous to Gaza, among them foot-and-mouth disease and the avian flu that are known to exist in Egypt. Because of the proximity between Gaza's population to Israeli towns, the diseases could easily spread into Israel.

Those fears fueled Israel's decision to send thousands of vaccines into Gaza beginning next week, said Shadi Yassin, a spokesman for Israel Defense Forces unit in charge of contacts with Gaza.

That's one of the complications of circumventing customs. And Israel is taking the initiative to ensure that it doesn't cause problems in Gaza. That's a funny kind of "ethnic cleansing" or "genocide" going there, isn't it?

Crossposted at Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:17 AM

I'm sure this will help him with the base II

Hmm. This is almost on the level of the NY Times endorsing John McCain.
The New York Post endorses Barack Obama. (via memeorandum)

Now, Obama is not without flaws.

For all his charisma and his eloquence, the rookie senator sorely lacks seasoning: Regarding national security, his worldview is beyond naive; America must defend itself against those sworn to destroy the nation.

His all-things-to-all-people approach to complicated domestic issues also arouses scant confidence. "Change!" for the sake of change does not a credible campaign platform make. But he remains a highly intelligent man, with a strong record as a conciliator.

And, again, he is not Team Clinton.

That counts for a very great deal.

OK so it's an ABC (Anyone But Clinton) endorsement. Not necessarily as convincing as the Times's endorsement of McCain. But then, I hardly expect Sen. Obama to trumpet this endorsement as Sen. McCain did to the NY Times endorsement.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:03 AM

January 30, 2008

Ehud the teflon

Michael Oren argues in Israel's Lebanon Disaster that it's imperative that PM Olmert resign in the face of the final Winograd Commission report in order to restore the country's faith in its leadership.

In another country, perhaps, such blunders might result in the resignation of senior officers but not necessarily elected officials. In Israel, though, no one is above blame. Accountability for decision making is a tenet of the Zionist ethos on which the Jewish state is based and, unlike most nations, Israel has a citizens' army in which the great majority -- politicians included -- serve. Most uniquely, Israel confronts daily security dangers and long-term threats to its existence. Israelis can neither condone nor afford a prime minister who passes the buck to their army or shirks the onus of defense. The person who sends us into battle cannot escape responsibility for our fate.

Jewish Current Issues (who linked to the Oren article) emphasizes the findings of the first Winograd report.

While the Winograd Commission report is expected to lay out the political and military failures of the war in Lebanon in 2006, don't expect it to affect PM Olmert much. With his party circling the wagons the political consequences will probably be minimal.

On Tuesday night, bracing for the publication of the report, cabinet ministers from Kadima came to the prime minister's defense, saying that it would be wrong to call elections with the government acting to further the peace process with the Palestinians.

"The state of Israel will pay a high price if it goes to election," Finance Minister Ronnie Bar-On said at a meeting of Kadima activists in Tiberias. "The prime minister is determined on this score, and no system of pressure will make a difference. For the first time in seven years there is an attempt to create a diplomatic process, [and] the economy is growing."

The IDF is concerned that a majority of the blame could fall on the military leadership.

The IDF braced itself Tuesday ahead of the scheduled publication Wednesday of the Winograd Committee's final report on the Second Lebanon War.

Senior officers told The Jerusalem Post that the IDF top brass was preparing for a "worst-case scenario," in which the military - and not the political echelon - would be blamed for most of the war's failures.

Probably the biggest mistake was having Amir Peretz as Defense Minister. While it obviously was hard to deny the leader of the second largest faction his choice of portfolio, that was Olmert's responsibility. With a military ignoramus in control of the army, there was no effective oversight of the military. But Peretz is gone, not because of his incompetence (at least not directly) but because he lost the post as leader of his party.

Contentions.David Hazony observed

The Winograd report has the potential to tip any of these over the edge. The report will probably lay heavy blame on then-IDF Chief of Staff Dan Halutz, who failed to prepare the military for war and failed to run the war while it was happening; and on the mustachioed then-Defense Minister Amir Peretz, whose breathtaking ignorance of military affairs raises serious questions about the merits of parliamentary democracy. But the real questions will rise about Olmert, who laid out major objectives for the war, none of which were achieved; and who ran the war as if he were still trading favors at Jerusalem City Hall.

The problem, Hazony alludes to is the nature of Israel's parliamentary democracy. It could be that all the pressures brought to bear will force Olmert to resign and take his government with him. Still, I don't detect a lot of interest in getting rid of Olmert. At least not where it counts.

Contrary to what Oren wrote, the Left very much wants Olmert in place, because he is committed to the exact same thing they are: the peace process. And for the Israeli Left, the peace process takes precedence over all else; even over democracy and accountability.

Also, many Israelis, while they may dislike their leadership, are generally content. In Ehud Olmert's Israel, Peter Berkowitz writes:

So ask Israelis about the state of the nation, and they will tell you that things are grim and growing worse. But, observes political strategist Eyal Arad, chairman of the Euro Israel Group and former adviser to Prime Ministers Sharon and Olmert, ask Israelis about their personal prospects and many will tell you they have never had it better.

In fact, since recovering in 2003 from the Second Intifada, the Israeli economy is booming, particularly in high-tech industries. The stores are stocked with the latest European fashions and electronic gadgets from around the world. Newer, taller, more glistening buildings distinguish the Tel Aviv skyline. In addition, the health care system boasts excellent facilities, superb physicians, and universal coverage. Literature, music, theater, and filmmaking flourish. Radio and TV feature lively, loud, and nonstop discussion of issues great and small.

And combine that with the fact that PM Olmert's two most likely opponents, MK's Ehud Barak and Binyamin Netanyahu, are former Prime Ministers themselves with lots of baggage and the necessary "perfect storm" just doesn't seem to be there to force the fall of the government.

Last June, PM Olmert showed some remarkable resilience in the face of adversity. He demonstrated his political survival skills then. Barring a criminal indictment, I don't believe that Olmert will step down or that the necessary pressure will be brought to bear to make that happen.

He's like the cartoon character happily strolling along oblivious to and untouched by the massive catastrophes occurring around him.

He's Ehud the Teflon.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:18 AM

Juggling carnival 01/30/08

PICT0061.JPG

Incoming Carnivals

Thanks to Dr. Sanity for the high placement of my entry in the latest Carnival of the Insanities. It was an honor to share space with Solomonia, Israel Matzav and Yid with Lid.

The 25 Carnival of Maryland is up at the Greenbelt. This carnival is beautifully arranged and very well annotated. So if you want to know what's going on in Maryland, please check it out.

Upcoming Carnivals

Haveil Havalim #152 is scheduled for this coming Sunday. Submit a post or two about Israel or Jewish issues here. And please consider helping Jack out by volunteering to host!

Sideshow

Remember to check out TV Trivia Thursday tomorrow at Elie's Expositions.

Posted by SoccerDad at 6:17 AM

Fl post-mortem roundup

Powerline.Paul Mirengoff still can't make up his mind.

After tonight, the contest likely will be down to Romney vs. McCain. But, although the race has been simplified, for me the choice still isn't simple. Every time it looks like McCain will break away from the pack, I panic in anticipation of four years of watching him stick it to conservatives on a more than occasional basis. When things seem to be breaking Romney's way, I panic in anticipation of an electoral rout in November followed by four years of a Clinton or Obama presidency.

Frankly I have the same problem. If anyone can point me to good cases for Gov. Romney and Sen. McCain, please point them out to me. I didn't figure that Mayor Giuliani would go so quietly and quickly. I have 2 weeks now to make up my mind.he corner.
Victor Davis Hanson issues a simple warning:
But all that said, at some point there should be recognition that some are becoming so polarized-and polarizing-that we are reaching the point that should a McCain win (and there is a good chance he will), and should he grant the necessary concessions to the base (chose someone like Thompson as his VP, take firm pledges on tax cuts, closing the border, etc), go on Limbaugh, Hannity, etc. for some mea culpas, all that still seemingly would not be enough. And if that were true, the result would vastly increase the chances of the Presidents Clinton, under whom there would be a vastly different Supreme Court, some chance of forfeiting what has been achieved in Iraq, and surely greater growth in government and earmarks.

Many of the criticisms of McCain have been unduly harsh. He hasn't turned me off the way he's turned off many other Republicans. (or should I say conservatives?) Clearly I have more research to do. Mayor Giuliani's endorsement will mean a lot to me.
I may have been wrong with my choice of Giuliani. And I may have been wrong in expecting either Giuliani or Romney to be the Republican nominee on account of their early fund raising success. It looks like I was right in figuring that the Republicans wouldn't be deciding their nominee at the convention.
Contentions.Daniel Casse notes that the Republican Race is probably over.
If Barack Obama is the Democratic nominee, they will argue, persuasively, that Romney may have been a better GOP nominee. Against Obama, McCain is the old man versus the young man, the old way versus the new. Romney, at least, can make a much stronger argument against Obama’s soft-headed economics.

But if Hillary Clinton is the Democratic nominee, then we really do have one of the great national contests on our hand — and the McCain haters will have no choice but to get on board.

Jack Kelly thinks that Only Hillary to reunite the Republican Party.

Both Sen. McCain and Gov. Romney are too flawed to reunite and reinvigorate a dispirited Republican party. There is only one candidate who can do that. And she might lose to Barack Obama.

It's a laundry list of ideological and tactical mistakes made by the various Republican candidates. Read it, it's a riot. (Even if you're a Republican.) Still I'm not convinced that it will take Hillary to get the Republicans focused. I hope not. Because if the Republicans rally around someone in opposition to her, that won't make an effective campaign for their nominee.

Anna Quindlen plays the age card.

Political operatives say that his age makes McCain's choice of a running mate particularly critical. But if you enter the process stressing a hedge against mortality or incapacity, shouldn't that suggest something about suitability for the job in the first place? The senator's pursuit of the presidency reminds me a bit of those women who decide to have a baby in their late 50s. The impulse is understandable, the goal possible. But, looking at all the facts, and the actuarial tables, is it really sensible?

Finally, while Democrats are eager to identify the new JFK, Don Surber identifies the new Abraham Lincoln.

Now is a time of wound licking and soul searching for most Republicans. McCain did not win a majority of the vote. He is not the first choice for most among Republicans. But neither was Lincoln.

And in 1992, I voted for Bill Clinton. Don't feel bad Don.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:08 AM

Der Spiegel: Qassams and moralizing from Gaza

The latest from the aptly-named Ulrike Putz, whom we have met before, describes her "Visit to a Gaza Rocket Factory." She begins by describing a nighttime ride in a car with some Qassam-builders and includes the following detail:

One holds a pistol in the face of the stranger: "I just wanted to see if you would be frightened."
The "stranger" is U-Putz, right? The article features fairly sympathetic writing about the Qassam-building vermin, but I would like to focus on some rancid moralizing:
[...] The production of the fuel may be delicate, but the really danger lies in the Israeli helicopters, Abdul says. "We know that we are easy prey." His thumb flashes a nervous Morse code with his flashlight onto the floor of the hut. "We are ready to die; that is the price of our freedom." He says that the Palestinians are left with no other choice but to fight the Israelis with weapons. "Either we resist, or they treat us like slaves." He has thought about who is hit by his rockets. "If we kill soldiers, then we are more than happy," he says. "If it hits a child, then naturally we are not happy."
Lying scumbag.
The simple fact of the matter is that you can't aim a Qassam, he says. "And look at the Israelis. They have F-16s and Apache helicopters and can shoot with amazing accuracy. And they still kill our women and children." He reflects for a moment. "Children shouldn't be killed in any war in this world," says Abdul, who has no children of his own.
And who is actually attempting to murder someone else's children.
Then he sends everyone outside. "This is the most dangerous moment. Just before the fuel is ready, the whole thing can explode." Over tea on the porch Abdul tells of his career as a rocket maker. A few hours of theory, then he and his friends did their apprenticeship with an experienced rocket builder. He doesn't want to explicitly say it, but it seems as if he also trained abroad. "I was in Syria, Jordan and one other country," he says. In Iran? Abdul smiles slightly. [...]
Read the rest if you have the stomach for it.

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 12:34 AM

January 29, 2008

Submitted 01/29/08

The new Watcher's Council nominations have been submitted.

A Shot in the Dark - Done With Mirrors tries to bridge the gap between gun nuts and gun grabbers.
Orwell's Britain Is Halal Toast - Wolf Howling demonstrates how absurd restrictions on language keep England from appropriately addressing its internal threat.
About Those "Lies" - The Colossus of Rhodey turns the "lies" of the Bush administration on their head. What's good for the donkey is good for the elephant.
How to Lie About Lying - In the post that launched Bookworm Room's post, Big Lizards masterfully deconstructs the "database of lies" story carried by so much of the media two weeks ago.
The Media, Richard Scaife, and the Never Ending Soros Connection - Bookworm Room uses the recent "news" story about the lies President Bush peddled to lead the country into war with Iraq as a jumping off point to highlight the pernicious influence of George Soros on our political discourse. She also notes that Soros's role in our political process is whitewashed to a large degree, in a way that Richard Scaife never was.
State of the Union, 2008 - The Glittering Eye casts a jaundiced eye on the state of the union. What he sees is policy driven by inertia the result of a sclerotic leadership class.
Quote of the Day: Prez Bill Edition - Cheat Seeking Missiles imagines that Democrats will be having nightmares for the next 4 1/2 years (see Right Wing Nuthouse below). This also must be read in conjunction with the entries from the Glittering Eye and Rhymes with Right.
Energy Independence -- What It Am And What It Ain't - In a post that educates and cuts through the nonsense, Joshuapundit outlines the steps we need to take to, at least, reduce our dependence on oil from the Middle East. The means exist, they just need to be utilized.
Repeal the Twenty-Second Amendment - Rhymes With Right believes that presidential term limits is an idea that never should have come and that Hillary's campaign is an end run around the amendment.
The ACLU: Senator Craig's Newest Pals - The Education Wonks gives a lesson in rights and wrong to the ACLU. Not that they'd understand.
The GOP Comes A’Courtin’ - Right Wing Nut House will be having nightmares over the next 4 1/2 years, at least.
My entry Complicit shows how the media was complicit in Hamas's plans to destroy the border fence at Rafah.

Read, Enjoy. Be Informed.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 11:55 PM

Did hamas lose?

Barry Rubin writes in "Hamas' phony victory"

Imagine a very secret meeting held somewhere in the Gaza Strip. Around a table sit various Hamas bigwigs and their leader makes the following speech:

"Ök, here's the plan. We'll wage war on our stronger neighbor, Israel, and lose; destroy our economy; make our people suffer; ensure international sanctions continue against us, and alienate almost all Arab regimes. Then, when things can't seem to get any worse, we'll turn out all the lights and get international sympathy!"

"Brilliant!" is the response as the Hamas leaders leap to their feet and chant: "Just 100 more years of this and Israel will be destroyed!"

Not such a great strategy, you say? Then why should anyone think Hamas won some big public relations' victory by shutting off Gaza's electricity and blowing up the border wall with Egypt? Â True, that's what Hamas's heads think. They are boiling over with pride at having put one over on Israel, as if this is some huge triumph. Some Israelis seem to agree.

Dr. Rubin goes on to explain that every since it took over the Gaza strip, the residents of Gaza have only seen increased misery, Israel is doing well and residents of the eastern section of the PA must be wondering if they want the success that Gazans enjoy.

He concludes:

Even from a radical perspective, Hamas's policy of permanent offensive is a big mistake. It would have been better advised to pretend moderation, make a deal with at least Fatah--or perhaps even Israel--then break it in a bid for total victory. If it opted for quiet, Hamas could end the sanctions, gain some Western support, build up Gaza's economy and social institutions, and train a future generation for all-out war. Â But Hamas also rejects this cleverly cynical extremist approach. Of course, Arafat made that same error.

So while Hamas will never give up it also will never win. To portray its latest antics as some kind of success is simply wrong. It is a disaster for Hamas and the Palestinians. To understand this reality is to comprehend the central blunder plaguing the Palestinian movement's strategy since its inception, ensnaring the PLO, PA, Fatah, and Hamas alike.

But is it a mistake or is the logical conclusion of their ideology? If Palestinian nationalism really is about building a state, then this has been a terrible way to go about it. Prof. Rubin is arguing that it isn't even a good strategy if the goal is the destruction of Israel.

Still this isn't just about Gaza and Israel, there's another player immediately involved: Egypt. Bret Stephens writes in the Gaza Breakout

As Middle Eastern power plays go, Hamas's decision to dismantle the Gaza-Sinai border was a masterstroke. Gaza's economic woes are almost wholly self-inflicted, but they are real. Dynamiting and bulldozing the border of a neighboring country is legally an act of war, but it was made to seem like a humanitarian necessity and a bid for freedom. Flooding that neighbor with hundreds of thousands of desperate people is a massive economic burden on Egypt, but one that it shirks at its political peril.

Above all, Hamas exploited the myth of pan-Arab solidarity with the Palestinians in order to explode it. Having whipped itself into its usual frenzy over Israel's "siege" of Gaza, it was a delicate matter for the state-run Egyptian press to make the government's case for deploying truncheon-wielding police to turn back the Palestinian human tide. It's an equally delicate matter for the Egyptian government to arrest Brotherhood protesters peacefully demonstrating "for Palestine," even if the Brotherhood's real target is Hosni Mubarak's regime and the Israeli-Egyptian peace treaty that it supports.

For Palestinians who have spent squalid decades in the refugee camps of Lebanon (which forbids Palestinians from owning property or having any sort of gainful employment), or have been systematically abused as laborers in the Gulf sheikdoms (Kuwait expelled its Palestinian population en masse following its 1991 liberation from Iraq), or have had a country denied to them by a Hashemite regime in Jordan, the lies of the Arab world are well known.

Stephens argues that the border breach engineered by Hamas strengthens Egypt like-minded Muslim brotherhood, potentially damaging the long term viability of a somewhat moderate Egypt. He notes with satisfaction that despite the Qassams, more and more Gaza is becoming an Egyptian, not Israeli, problem.

Presumably Stephens means that a strengthened Muslim Brotherhood would provide a long term boost to Hamas.

So did Hamas win?

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 9:07 AM

If ... you must 01/29/08

If you haven't read Almanac of Miscellaneous Merriment's Bubble Wrap Appreciation Day; you must.
I bet you didn't know that bubble wrap could tell you so much about yourself.
If you haven't read 50 years of Lego at Jack's Shack; you must.
62 pieces for every man, woman and child on the planet? Go into our playroom and I'll assume that you'll conclude that we have more than our share.
If you haven't read View from a Height's Clinton vs. McCain; you must.
If you haven't read Just one minute's I agree with Kevin Drum; you must.
These two are about the expected media backlashes two teflon candidates might expect to face eventually. I expect that McCain will face that backlash, but Obama won't. McCain, I think, will be hardened enough to handle it. After all wasn't he one of the Keating Five?
If you haven't read A run on the Bank at Powerline; you must.
*Sigh* Contemplating the end of Giuliani's run. One thing I don't get is that given the number of people who claim to resent the undue power accorded Iowa and New Hampshire, you'd think more of them would have applauded the mayor's effort to show they were right.
If you haven't read I'm Not Afraid of Obama As US President, Shiloh Musings; you must.
In short, she'd rather have an honest enemy than a dishonest friend. I'm not sure I agree but it's not easily dismissed either.
If you haven't read Don Surber's FISA overkill ; you must.
A nice primer on FISA and sentiments I agree with. It's worked hasn't it? Still translating that into political terms may not work so easily. President Bush hasn't done a very good job of explaining how his strategy has kept us safe. So I don't think that fighting FISA will incur a political price for the Democrats.
If you haven't read There's "charmless"... and then there is just plain callous at treppenwitz; you must.
In which he punctures the cynicism of Israel's foreign minister.
If you haven't read israelly cool!'s liveblogging the latest Monday, Jan 28; you must.
Especially read Sandmonkey's observations.

Posted by SoccerDad at 6:01 AM

Peace now, democracy when?

Peace Now head: Barak should stay in gov't to protect peace process

Labor should not quit the coalition following the publication of the Winograd report Wednesday, because such a move would endanger the peace process with the Palestinians, Peace Now Director-General Yariv Oppenheimer said Tuesday.

State approves W. Bank radio station

Gush Shalom spokesman Adam Keller said that Radiosh violated the specifically non-political character of state-licensed commercial radio.

"This station will broadcast messages in favor of settlement, and that's a radical departure from the state policy for regional radio stations. If licenses are being given by the state to the extreme Right for the creation of political radio stations, then the Left should get a license, too."

Peace Now spokesman Yariv Oppenheimer agreed with Gush Shalom's position that the creation of Radiosh was illegal, because the station would advance an inherently political agenda and added that Peace Now backed the petition.

Nice to know that Peace Now, in the service of foreign governments favors creating (what will be) a non-democratic state, but favors restricting freedoms in Israel.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 3:03 AM

The most severe global warming in 50 years paralyzes china

The New York Times reports Snowstorms in China Kill at Least 24.

Severe snowstorms over broad swaths of eastern and central China have wreaked havoc on traffic throughout the country, creating gigantic passenger backups, spawning accidents and leaving at least 24 people dead, according to state news reports.

In many areas, where snow has continued falling for several days, the accumulation has been described as the heaviest in as many as five decades. The impact of the severe weather was complicated by the timing of the storms, which arrived just before the Lunar New Year, or Spring Festival, when Chinese return to their family homes by the hundreds of millions.


(emphasis mine)

Congress, no slouches they, are eager to spend our money to fight global warming.

In November, the Democratic-led House spent about $89,000 on so-called carbon offsets. This purchase was supposed to cancel out greenhouse-gas emissions from House buildings -- including half of the U.S. Capitol -- by triggering an equal reduction in emissions elsewhere.

But ... whoops.

"It didn't change much behavior that wasn't going to happen anyway," said Joseph Romm, a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress who writes a blog calling for more aggressive action on climate change. "It just, I think, demonstrated why offsets are controversial and possibly pointless. . . . This is a waste of taxpayer money."

Congress. Wasting money? No kidding.

Of course the real problem isn't global warming but global cooling.

The most detailed three-dimensional seismic images yet of the Chicxulub crater, a mostly submerged and buried impact crater on the Mexico coast, may modify a theory explaining the extinction of 70 percent of life on Earth 65 million years ago.

The Chicxulub crater was formed when an asteroid struck on the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. Most scientists agree the impact played a major role in the "KT Extinction Event" that caused the extinction of most life on Earth, including the dinosaurs.

According to Sean Gulick, a research scientist at the Institute for Geophysics at The University of Texas at Austin's Jackson School of Geosciences and principal investigator for the project, the new images reveal the asteroid landed in deeper water than previously assumed and therefore released about 6.5 times more water vapor into the atmosphere.

The impact site also contained sulfur-rich sediments called evaporites, which would have reacted with water vapor to produce sulfate aerosols. According to Gulick, an increase in the atmospheric concentration of the compounds could have made the impact deadlier in two ways: by altering climate (sulfate aerosols in the upper atmosphere can have a cooling effect) and by generating acid rain (water vapor can help to flush the lower atmosphere of sulfate aerosols, causing acid rain). Earlier studies had suggested both effects might result from the impact, but to a lesser degree.


(emphases mine)

Global cooling once wiped out 70% of all life on earth. 65 million years ago, obviously the problem was that Congress wasn't around to legislate against asteroids.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 1:24 AM

Investing in minor leaguers

More and more teams are discovering that the most cost effective way to build a team is to draft well. Athletics Supporter demonstrates how this worked in the case of drafting Mark Mulder. (h/t Baseball Musings) If you want to build a team, invest in minor leaguers.

It might also be a way to build a portfolio. Writing in Slate - "Bullpen Market" - Josh Levin tells of a minor league pitcher's who's selling his future earnings.

Yesterday, I bought a professional baseball player. It only took a minute. I surfed over to Real Sports Investments, clicked the "Buy Now" button, and purchased six shares of Randy Newsom. Along with my Slate colleagues John Swansburg and Dan Engber, I am now the proud owner of 0.0096 percent of a minor-league pitcher's future major-league earnings. Mr. Newsom, I wish you a long and prosperous career—emphasis on prosperous. If Newsom makes $1,000,000 over the course of his major-league career, the Slate investment group will take a loss, earning a piddling $96 on an initial investment of $143.82. If he makes $10 million, we'll get $960. And if he makes Barry Zito money? I won't be retiring early, but I'll be able to watch my baseball-playing property on some nice plasma TVs.

The 25-year-old Newsom, a midtier relief pitcher in the Cleveland Indians organization, is the first pro baseball player to hold a self-IPO. Real Sports Investments, the company Newsom hatched last year with two ex-ballplayer business partners, is fantasy baseball minus the fantasy. Newsom is selling off 4 percent of his potential MLB earnings at $20 per share. (A 15 percent "player valuation and share allocation fee" and a 2.9 percent "online processing fee" bump the price up to $23.97). A total of 2,500 shares will be offered, netting the pitcher $50,000 if they all get sold. As of today, investors can only buy shares; selling and trading will come soon, once RSI launches a snazzier Web site. And according to Newsom, this isn't a "one-player thing": In an interview with Baseball Prospectus, he says RSI is in talks with lots more minor leaguers.

Once upon a time baseball cards were thought to be great investments. I suppose with the popularization of statistical analysis, they could still be, but why not invest in a baseball player. Actually, there's a possible reason not to.

Will it work as a market? Jeff Ma, the co-founder of ProTrade and the leader of the Vegas-busting MIT blackjack team, says it's a winning concept for minor-league ballplayers like Newsom. A ballplayer's career carries substantial risk, Ma says, and it makes sense to shave off potential wealth in exchange for insurance against never getting a major-league payday. (If Newsom doesn't make the majors, his investors get nothing.) Ma is skeptical, though, that players with higher earning potential will care to participate, and without these higher-tier prospects, the market won't be as attractive to investors. "You're not talking about Barry Bonds or [future stars like] Billy Butler or Tim Lincecum selling their future upside," Ma says. "How many people will want to speculate on the Randy Newsoms of the world?"

My guess (especially after reading the article) is that people might invest, but probably less with the idea of making money on the deal than in being invested in a professional athlete and whatever psychic benefits that brings.

Once upon a time - maybe even as recently as 20 - 30 years ago - being a part owner of a minor league team was not out of reach for a middle class investor. Now he could, at least, invest in a minor leaguer.

Crossposted at OTB Sports.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 12:35 AM

Dissident Voice on radiant Israeli brilliance

Hey, if it ends the Middle East conflict, who are you to complain?

Forget everything you’ve read about the "Great Escape" from Gaza. It’s all rubbish. The whole farce was probably cooked up in an Israeli think tank as a way to rid Palestine of its indigenous people. Here’s an excerpt from the Israeli newspaper Arutz Sheva which explains the real motive behind the incident:

"MK (Israeli Knesset member) Aryeh Eldad is hailing the Arab exodus to Egypt as proof that voluntary transfer is indeed an option."

"The Israeli left continues to claim that there is no such thing as voluntary transfer, and simply ignores reality," Eldad said.

Voluntary transfer. Bingo.

So the fleeing Palestinians just walked into a trap. Now they’ve been banished to Egypt by their own volition. Will they be allowed to return? We’ll see. [...]

Hamas poses no threat to Israel and it controls nothing; certainly not the border. They’ve even suspended all suicide attacks since they won democratic elections a year and a half ago. But that is not enough for Israel, whose goal is to extinguish any trace of Arab solidarity or Palestinian nationalism. Nearly all of the 4,000 articles now appearing on Google News follow this same absurd narrative about 'clever terrorists' who’ve out-foxed Israel and liberated their people. It’s just another way of concealing the criminal brutality of the 60-year-long occupation. In truth, Hamas probably had nothing to do with the destruction of the wall. It’s just part of Israel’s plans to exile more Palestinians.

According to the article in Arutz Sheva, Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak decided to follow orders from Hamas’ chief Khaled Mashall and “ignore Israeli calls to close the border. Mashaal seemed to indicate that Hamas was asserting sovereignty over northern Sinai, calling upon the Arab world to take advantage of the Islamist group’s new stronghold to provide aid directly without Israeli interference.”

Now, that’s a stretch. In other words, US puppet Hosni Mubarak — who gets $2 billion a year in aid from the United States — has suddenly decided to take orders from the head of a group that is on the State Dept’s list of terrorist organizations so that he can fulfill his obligations as a “loyal Arab”?

Ridiculous.

Besides, Hamas has no interest in northern Sinai or any other territorial ambitions. Its only purpose is to resist Israeli occupation.

So far an estimated 350,000 residents of Gaza have fled across the border since Wednesday. The Egyptian police have done nothing to stop them from entering the country. "A significant number have remained in Egypt . . . traveling south to Egyptian population centers." [...]

I'm sure they'll be a stabilizing influence there.

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 12:08 AM

January 28, 2008

Reason Online: "Bogus politics of the stimulus"

The other dimension of this question, of course, is that the proposed tax rebates will put some money in my over-taxed pocket. At least that money won't be spent on whatever nonsense the government would spend it on. True, "economic stimulus" doesn't really help the economy in the long run if it just increases the deficit, but who says anyone has the political will to pursue a sensible alternative? The politically feasible alternatives could be worse.

[...] Steven Wieting, an economist at Citigroup, predicts growth of 1.2 percent. But like our elected officials, he sees no point in getting hung up on technicalities. "Academic definitions aside, we'll call that a recession," he writes in a new report. We can call it a recession or we can call it a wirehair terrier, but that won't change what it actually is: an expansion, albeit a modest one.

Notwithstanding that, President Bush and House leaders have agreed to pelt the economy with $150 billion in rebates and business tax incentives to rouse it from its lethargy. The idea behind the rebates is that consumers will use the cash to buy goods and services, keeping companies and workers busy supplying them. Business tax incentives are supposed to goose investment in plants and machinery. The two sides are agreed, in the mantra of the week, that these measures will be "timely, temporary and targeted."

In their dreams. Timeliness, in this case, is not unlikely—it's impossible. The Internal Revenue Service, it seems, is fully occupied at the moment sending out tax forms and processing returns, and will be for a while. So even if the program zips through the Senate, the checks probably won't go out until June and won't all reach the beneficiaries until August. The money itself will take months to be spent, if it gets spent at all -- postponing the intended boost until next football season.

If a recession is already underway today, it could very well be over by then. This is the equivalent of a doctor telling a patient that she may have pneumonia and promising to put her on antibiotics—in October. [...]

Good image, but what about an antibiotic voucher with a high cash redemption value?

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 11:37 PM

What the ...?

I have no idea why, but today people have been searching for the word "vexilloligist," a lot and checking out a post from 1 1/2 years ago. Was there a vexilloligist in the news today? (I'm not usually the one to introduce readers to new and strange words, Seraphic Secret does though.)

I haven't been alone. At least one other j-blogger has been getting regular visits from someone from Tempe Arizona over the past few days. But it isn't like the visitor is keeping up with current and recent posts, the visitor is checking lots of old posts, with no seeming rhyme or reason. It's strange behavior.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 11:34 PM

Crossing rafah

Steven Erlanger reports Israel Vows Not to Block Supplies to Gaza. So apparently in an attempt to help control the chaos on the Gaza-Egypt border Israel intends to keep a steady flow of necessities going into Gaza so that Gaza residents won't be inclined to cross the border en masse in search of luxuries and necessities in Egypt.

However, Israel intends to supply lesser amounts of diesel for Gaza's generator than it had before. It will provide enough to keep the generator going, but not continuously.

The article notes toward the end.

Foreign Minister Ahmed Aboul Gheit of Egypt met in Cairo with the appointed Palestinian prime minister based in Ramallah, Salam Fayyad, and said Egypt would soon take “necessary actions and measures” to control the border. Mr. Fayyad, an Abbas ally, wants the Palestinian Authority to be given control of the crossings and the Palestinian side of the border, with the supervision of European Union monitors, as it was before June, when Hamas routed Fatah to take control of Gaza.

But a senior Israeli official, who demanded anonymity because of the delicacy of the topic, said: “As far as we’re concerned it doesn’t seem to be such a strong idea, given the weakness of Abbas. And given that Hamas is there, one can assume it wouldn’t be too difficult for them to take de facto control.”

The European Union monitors? Yes what were they doing all this time?

I refer you to some research that Elder of Ziyon did. (This is the sort of thing any reporter worth his salt ought to have done. I suspect that most Israel correspondents did not.)

Elder of Ziyon contacted the monitors. The response he got suggested (if I'm reading it correctly) that the EU monitors were there mostly for show. Additionally, Egypt was not a part of the agreement, meaning that Egypt and Hamas could circumvent the EU monitors.

Three weeks ago, during the Hajj episode, Elder of Ziyon noted:

According to a report in London Al-Quds al-Arabi, Israel has written letters to Washington and the EU requesting taking over Rafah again and giving the EU observers control again over people crossing over.

Perhaps unstated was a concern, not only about the hajj and the personnel and materiel that could be sneaked through at that time, but about the status of the border fence. Clearly Israel couldn't do anything about it with the arrangement as it was then, even if Israel knew about it. The parties that could and should have been aware of the sabotage going on didn't lift a finger to stop it. (The EU in Gaza has been as effective as the UN in Israel's north.)

If Israel is skeptical of an arrangement of EU monitors partnered with PA security officials, that skepticism, borne of experience, is well warranted.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:01 AM

Bedard to seattle!?

Following the Orioles mailing list last night there was this:

Adam Jones has left his Venezuelan Winter League team and flies to Baltimore tomorrow morning to take a physical so he can be dealt to the Orioles in exchange for pitcher Erik Berdard. No word yet on how many players going Baltimore's way.

Jones did not mince words when he spoke to a reporter from Diario Panorama in Venezuela today. We have a relationship with the reporter and paper and they have graciously supplied us with quotes from the interview with Jones.

In short Jones was unhappy about missing the rest of the series, but non unhappy about the trade itself. Read the whole article.

Then there was this:

Andy MacPhail denied tonight that the Orioles have agreed to a deal that would send ace pitcher Erik Bedard to the Seattle Mariners for a package headed by young center fielder Adam Jones.

"We do not have an agreement with the Mariners," said MacPhail, Orioles president of baseball operations.

This didn't seem like a complete denial that anything was in the works. However Baseball Musings speculated:

Either Jones is playing with a reporter, or MacPhail is sticking to a strict line that they don't have a deal until the physical is passed.

Back to the Mariners' blog.

Many of you have started wringing your hands over this item in the Baltimore Sun, written after our blog post, saying that an Erik Bedard-Adam Jones deal had not been finalized. Well, yes, we know that. If it was finalized, then Jones would not be flying back to the United States to take a physical.

Sorry, I'm not trying to sound flippant here. But when you've got the Orioles and Mariners, two of the most media-shy teams in baseball, trying to make a trade, any leak is bound to be greeted as an event of earthquake proportions. Let's all settle down and just look at the facts as calmly as we can, please.

As to the possibility that Angelos would scuttle the deal because Jones spoke out of turn, Baker writes:

Things to watch out for? Only one. Orioles owner Peter Angelos is notorious for scuttling even the best laid of plans at the last minute. I'm sure he can't be thrilled that Jones told the world he's about to be traded for Bedard. Would Angelos be upset enough over that to pull the plug on a deal? Some people actually think it's possible. I say that's crazy. You either like a deal, or you don't. If you're going to conduct business like that, using borderline rational behavior to guide you, then your team might as well forget about ever contending again. We've been told that after 10 years of watching the O's slide into irrelevance, the franchise is now changing its ways and that Angelos will allow his baseball people to do their jobs. We'll see.

"Borderline rational behavior?" Yes that's something like what we've become accustomed to here in Baltimore over the past decade. Though I'm not convinced that there's an "ir" missing from that phrase.

So right now it sounds good. Not that I'm anxious for Bedard to leave. I'm anxious for the Orioles to be good. If trading Bedard (and Tejada and Roberts) is the cost, the price is high, but it's worth it.

I think that Baseball Musings is correct that if Seattle makes Bedard a good offer, he'd stay.

UPDATE: Well, unfortunately it appears, even with MacPhail on board, the new boss is the same as the old boss. The deal with Seattle is either delayed until Angelos can evaluate it or it has possibly been nixed by the Orioles. This leads Baseball Musings to observe:

It's a good thing Adam Jones has a big mouth, otherwise we wouldn't be having so much fun today!

Fun, if you enjoy following intrigue. But if you're an Oriole fan who hoped that years rudderless drifting were over, this is not fun at all.

Crossposted on OTB Sports

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:01 AM

Musical monday #31

As with Musical Monday #28, this is a joint production between Elie's Expositions and me. Because we enjoy it, we're going to try to get together once a month or so for these cooperative projects.

As always no Googling allowed. Figure out the names of the songs from these snippets of lyrics and then the overall theme. Good Luck and have fun.

1) It turns by day and then by night
2) I see the girls walk by dressed in their summer clothes
3) Some try to tell me, thoughts they cannot defend
4)'Take these sunken eyes and learn to see'
5) I was feeling kinda seasick but the crowd called out for more
6) Hey little sister who's your superman?
7) ... tired starlings
8) Someone else will hold my dreams
9) Catfish are jumpin', That paddle wheel thumpin'
10) She's trying to make a devil out of me
11) And the ones that mother gives you don't do anything at all
22)'I can't choose; it's too much to lose'
12) Me and my old pappy had a hand in a still
13) 'Don't like no Hollywood movie star'
14) 'When I was a young man, I had to kick and scratch and claw'
15) Today's edition is gonna catch your attention
16) In our streak of lightnin' cars and fancy clothes
17) There's a stain on my notebook
18) Eyes that shine burning red
19) 'Uncle Sam put your name at the top of his list.'
20) Well then suddenly we heard the sirens
21)'And though it's only a whim, she thinks of him'
23)'With nothing to do but feed all the kangaroos'
And this last one sort of fits:
24) Side by side on my piano keyboard

Answers for Musical Monday #29.
As Elie's Expositions and Fiery Spirited Zionist observed the titles were (more or less) opposites. Thanks also to Judeopundit for playing.

1) She said she believes in Robin Hood
Arizona - Mark Lindsay
2) If there was A grand canyon, She could fill it up with the lies he's told her
There is no Arizona - Jamie O'Neal

3) His bow tie is really a camera
America - Simon and Garfunkel
4) For this is not a miracle
This is not America - David Bowie

5) Your mommy don't mind, If we have another dance
Stay - Maurice Williams and the Zodiacs
6) Don't you even try tellin' me that you really don't want it to end this way
Go Now - Moody Blues

7) Til the stars fall from the sky
Touch me - Doors
8) that's when she told me a story 'bout free milk and a cow
Keep your hands to yourself - Georgia Satellites

9) (Silly boy) then she said to my surprise
Big girls don't cry - Frankie Valli and the 4 seasons
10) Misjudged your limits, Pushed you too far
Boys don't cry - The Cure

11) Gone are the dark clouds that had me blind
I can see clearly now - Johnny Nash, Bob Marley et al.
12) Indians in the summer with a teenage diplomat
I can see clearly now - Bruce Springsteen, Manfred Mann et al.

13) He's in love don't stand in his way
Hurts so bad - Little Anthony and the Imperials, Linda Ronstadt et al.
14) I ain't talkin' no high heels
Hurts so good - John Cougar Mellencamp

15) You're the nearest thing to heaven that I've seen
Top of the world - Lynn Anderson, The Carpenters
16) Because I come from the land of plenty
Down Under - Men at Work

17) We could float among the stars together, you and I
Up, up and away - Fifth Dimension
18) I used to drive you to work in the morning
I'm Goin' Down - Bruce Springsteen

19) Anything you want...we can make it happen
Never - Heart
20) Each moment with you, Is just like a dream to me
Always and Forever - Luther Vandross, Heatwave et al.

21) Why do birds suddenly appear
Close to you - The Carpenters
22) Doesn't anybody stay in one place anymore?
So far away - Carole King

23) If you wake up and dont want to smile
Don't stop - Fleetwood Mac
24) But this time before you run to her
Stop in the name of Love - Diana Ross and the Supremes

25) Here come old flattop
Come together - Beatles, Aerosmith et. al.
26) I get so shaky and I feel so weak
I go to pieces - Peter and Gordon

27) But Ive never caught a glimpse of how the others must see the faker
Changes - David Bowie
28) You always won every time you placed a bet
Still the Same - Bob Seger

29) You fritter and waste the hours in an offhand way
Time - Pink Floyd
30) Seasons change and so did I
No Time - The Guess Who

31) My suitcase and guitar in hand
Homeward Bound - Simon and Garfunkel
32) Wednesday morning at five o'clock as the day begins
She's leaving home - The Beatles

33) When I'm with you, it doesn't matter where we are
Beginnings - Chicago
34) Ride the king's highway, baby
The end - The Doors

Previous editions:
Musical Monday #30
Musical Monday #29

Musical Monday #28

Musical Monday 27
Musical Monday #26
Musical Monday 25
Musical Monday 24
Musical Monday 23
Musical Monday #22
Musical Monday #21
Musical Monday #20
Musical Monday #19
Musical Monday #18
Musical Monday #17
Musical Monday #16
Musical Monday #15
Musical Monday 14
Musical Monday 13
Musical Monday 12
Musical Monday 11
Musical Monday 10
Musical Monday 9
Musical Monday 8
Musical Monday 7
Musical Monday 6
Musical Monday 5
Musical Monday 4
Musical Monday 3
Musical Monday 2
Musical Monday 1

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Posted by SoccerDad at 4:48 AM

Al-Manar TV: "Three Killed in Beirut Protests over Power Cuts"

It seems to be the season for power cuts, but they know how to do it right in Beirut:

Three men were martyred and more than 18 others injured in Beirut on Sunday as unknown gunmen opened fire during protests over chronic power cuts in the southern suburbs of the Lebanese capital. Two of the martyrs are, Ahmad Hamza Hamza, 21, was a member of the Amal movement, a party member said, but insisted he was not involved in the demonstrations and the second martyr is Youssif Shokeir.

Spontaneous protests erupt in the southern suburbs of Beirut where demonstrators had blocked roads with blazing tires to protest at power cuts in that area. And as night fell, demonstrators also cut the main airport road with burning tires and that similar protests were underway in other parts of Beirut's southern suburbs.

An Amal official said that Hamza was not among the protesters. "Hamza was not a demonstrator. He cooperated with the army on a regular basis whenever there were such similar protests in the region," he said. "The protests were initially spontaneous."

According to the security official, the shooting occurred after demonstrators set ablaze tyres, blocking a main road linking the Chiyah and Mar Mikhael neighborhoods in the southern suburbs to protest power shortages. The army fired warning shots to disperse the demonstrators, the official said.

Dozens of demonstrators were on the streets between the neighborhoods of Chiyah and Mar Mikhael and some protesters were also emerging on the streets further south, witnesses said.

Demonstrators have faced off with security forces on several occasions in the past few days over the power cuts.

Al-Manar TV now allows reader comments. Here is someone named "Syed" from the US:
It is tragic to see the Muslim youth go like this. But all the Lebanese people should know the reality of this gun fire, that ZIONISTS did it and that Saniora government is behind it. A SAD SITUATION!!
Another comment is titled "This what Israel looking for." Finally, someone named Arnon in New Zealand comments:
The best way to solve problems is to do what Syed (USA) does: blame the Zionists. Electricity cuts in Southern Beirut? blame the Zionists! Tsunami in Indonesia? blame the Zionists! earth quaqe in Iran? blame the Zionists. How genious.
You said it, Brother. The only person I know named "Arnon" is from Israel, by the way.

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 1:03 AM

January 27, 2008

My name is bill and i'm a head case

Is he the only one who doesn't get it? Or is he just that cynical?
Black America Feels the Sting of Ex-President's Comments

The Clinton campaign argued that it was simply quoting Obama. But in the original context, Obama was describing the dominance of Republican ideas in the 1980s and 1990s, without saying he supported them, and asserting that those ideas are of no use today.

The ad marked the escalation of a bitter fight between the two Democratic front-runners that has taken on a new dimension because of the involvement of Bill Clinton, the titular leader of the party. While his wife campaigns elsewhere, the former president has been making daily appearances in South Carolina in anticipation of the state's Democratic primary on Saturday, and he has adopted the role of attacking his wife's opponent the way a vice presidential candidate traditionally does in a general election.

Black America Feels the Sting of Ex-President's Comments

For nearly two decades, Yvette Wider, an African American, adored Bill Clinton, once described by a famous black novelist as the nation's first black president.

But now, after Clinton's "fairy tale" remark about Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) in New Hampshire and a statement in South Carolina that Obama had put a political "hit job" on him, Wider said she feels she hardly knows the former president. "I was surprised to hear him make a comment like that, because I thought he understood our people better," said Wider, who said she will vote for Obama in Saturday's South Carolina primary. "It made me think he's been playing us all this time."

Wider's sentiments are echoing across black America -- on blogs, Web chats and talk radio, where Clinton is being attacked as never before.

Rich Lowry on Sen. Obama (via memeorandum)

Then, he grounded his message of hope in Edwardesque stories illustrating the need for better health care, education, and wages—a lunch-bucket appeal. Near the end, there was a soaring call for national unity, echoing his famous 2004 convention speech, "I didn't see a white South Carolina or a black South Carolina, I saw South Carolina." And he framed his fight with Hillary, in another reference to the way she and her husband have fought this campaign, thusly, "It's not about black versus against white, it's the past versus the future." Ouch. And when he said the old politics was about "divisions, distractions, and drama," could there be any three words better suited to describe Clintonian attack politics?

Abe Greenwald

Obama is gaining popularity without taking a bite out of Hillary. This speaks brilliantly to the peculiar lenses worn by the Clinton fan. Watching the Clintons waver between self-righteous belligerence and self-righteous victimhood, these die-hards can’t help but notice Obama’s superior character. Yet they can’t help dismissing it in favor of the familiar couple whose phony charms are as irresistible as fast food. The media may at last be nauseated, but the Clinton base is still gorging.

Don Surber (via memeorandum)

Gee, the Clintons demonize opponents. The Clintons lie. The Clintons have no scruples.

Andrew Sullivan (via memeorandum)

I don't think there can be any doubt about the Clintons' racial strategy now. The people of South Carolina just rejected that logic by voting for Obama - white and black, male and female - in a diverse coalition in the face of a deliberate attempt at racial polarization. They threw the Clintons' logic back in their faces.

Thanks a lot Bill Clinton (via memeorandum)

The spectacle of a former president getting down and dirty in the current political trenches with numerous attacks on the freshman Illinois senator may have backfired big-time.

BILL: 'MY MESSAGE' 99.9% POSITIVE (via memeorandum)

“My message has been 99.9% positive for 100% of this campaign,” Clinton said to reporters later. “I think that when I think she’s being misrepresented, I have a right to try to with factual accuracy set the record straight, which is what I’ve tried to do.”

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Posted by SoccerDad at 11:19 AM

Un-habashed support for terror

George Habash is dead.

The New York Times had this interesting tidbit.

A number of accounts say Mr. Habash was born in 1925 in Lydda, Palestine, which is now Lod, Israel. The son of a well-to-d0 grain merchant who was Greek Orthodox, he was known as a hard-working and serious student who was introverted in his youth. He studied medicine at the American University in Beirut, but his studies were interrupted in 1948 when he left school to help his family flee Palestine as violence deepened between Arabs and Jews.

That experience of the nascent Israeli Army driving the Palestinians from their homes had a profound effect on the young medical student, who began organizing Palestinians as soon as he returned to medical school, graduating first in his class in 1951. In 1953, Mr. Habash was among the founders of an organization in Jordan called the Arab Nationalists’ Movement. Backed with financing from Gamal Abdel Nasser of Egypt, the group established a medical clinic in Amman and promoted the broader goal of a unified Arab superstate.

In 1957, however, the Arab Nationalists’ Movement was implicated in an attempt to overthrow King Hussein, and Mr. Habash and his followers were fled to Syria. But the group was also forced from that country in 1963, two years after Syria withdrew from a political union with Egypt.

Ignore the "driving the Palestinians from their homes," but note that Habash, before starting the PFLP helped found Arab Nationalists’ Movement. The following is from the article, I probably quote more than any other, "How Important is the PLO?" by Daniel Pipes. It's almost 25 years old, and still as valuable as ever.

Pan-Arabism then transformed what would have been an obscure clash over territory into one of the greatest, most significant land conflicts of the age. If not for the Arabs' impulse to engage in one another's affairs, the Palestinian cause would probably have remained as peripheral to world politics as that of the Armenians or the Eritreans. But the pan-Arabist focus on Zionism as the paramount enemy made the fate of the Palestinians a matter of direct concern to every government between Libya and Iraq. As the unifying element in pan-Arabism, the cause of the destruction of Israel acquired a symbolic importance out of proportion to the issues at hand. With time, it even took on independent existence, bearing its own mystique.

As the principal goal of pan-Arabist politics, the destruction of Israel also became a way for government to assert their legitimacy; many rulers - Jamal 'Abd an-Nasir of Egypt, the Syrian and Iraqi Ba'thists, and, especially, Qadhdhafi - made their involvement in the "Palestinian cause" a leading warrant of their worthiness to rule. Conversely, the credentials of Arab rulers who did not hew to the standard line on Israel were brought into question (indeed it was expected that any Arab leader who accepted Israel would pay with his life, in the manner of King 'Abdallah of Jordan, Anwar as-Sadat, and Bashir Jumayyil).

The conflict with Israel thus came to bear on the authority of Arab regimes; giving aid to the Palestinian cause strengthened rulers against challenges from within or meddling from abroad. With the years, Israel's military prowess rendered the idea of destroying it increasingly senseless - yet the failure to find other sources of political legitimacy meant that Arab rulers continued to depend on anti-Zionism.

In understanding Palestinian nationalism, it's important to recognize its relationship with pan-Arabism. Palestinian nationalism is less about the dispossession of the Palestinians - if that were the case, it could have been solved easily by now - than it is about non-Arab encroachment on Arab land: Israel.

It's telling, of course, that the "moderate" leader of the PLO sees the need to honor Habash. (via memeorandum)

PFLP founder George Habash died at age 83 in his home in Amman. His terror gang massacred dozens of Israeli adults, children and babies, assassinated Minister Ze'evi and plotted to kill Rabbi Ovadya Yosef.

PA chairman Mahmoud Abbas announced three days of mourning following the death of George Habash, the founder of terror gang PFLP. All PLO flags will be at half mast and there will be an official "house of mourning" in Abba's Ramallah office.

The Democracy Project emphasizes an aspect of the NY Times obituary:

For those who argue America's retreat from Vietnam had no ill effects:

Mr. Habash later remarked that the Arab defeat that year [1967] convinced him of the need to adopt a strategy like that of the Marxist guerrillas in Vietnam. “By 1967, we had understood the undeniable truth, that to liberate Palestine we have to follow the Chinese and Vietnamese examples,” he said in an interview in 1969.



JammieWearingFool notes
that Habash's death was announced by Leila Khaled. For those of you with long memories, she wasn't just a member of the PFLP but a hijacker. Theodore Dalrymple had a nice summary of her career:
Consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds, so perhaps it is petty to complain that the presence of the Palestinian terrorist Leila Khaled in Britain, to address a meeting of students at London University’s prestigious School of Oriental and African Studies, undermines Britain’s claim of iron commitment to the anti-terrorist cause.

For a time, Khaled was the most famous airplane hijacker in the world. In 1969, she took part in the hijacking of a TWA flight that was diverted to Damascus. She escaped by sneaking on to the same bus that carried away the hijacked passengers. She did not give up after her escape. In 1970, she attempted to hijack an El Al flight, which made an emergency landing at London’s Heathrow Airport. Authorities arrested her, and she spent four weeks in prison but was then freed in exchange for a hostage held by the Palestinians.

Now Khaled is back in England’s green and pleasant land. To do her justice, she is not a turncoat to her cause. She told the meeting at SOAS (packed, of course, as you’d expect) that there were no suicide bombers, only freedom fighters. The fact that freedom is not a conspicuous aspect of the political culture of the part of the world from which she comes seems to have escaped her.



JudeoPundit slams
the BBC's "eulogy" for Habash and reminds us:
He was a pioneer in the use of the airline industry for terror-purposes. That makes the 9/11 operation part of his vile legacy.

Unfortunately, most people - especially media folk - don't have memories that long.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 7:13 AM

Between rafah and hamas

via memeorandum.

Gazan masses foil attempt to seal off Rafah border

Some Egyptians were also worried that Israel would exploit the situation to try to "drag" Egypt back into the Gaza Strip.

Husam Sweilem, a retired Egyptian army general, voiced concern that Israel was planning to push Egypt to annex the Strip and to hand the West Bank over to Jordanian control, thus "ending the dream of establishing a Palestinian state."

In Ramallah, Palestinian Authority officials said Hamas was using the crisis to extract concessions from the Egyptians on the issue of the Rafah border crossing. The officials expressed "disappointment" over Mubarak's call for unconditional talks between Fatah and Hamas.

Of course, President Mubarak has the solution to the chaos:

Mubarak proposed in a newspaper interview that representatives of the two movements come to Cairo for talks. "I want this language of violence to stop," Mubarak was quoted as saying. "Peace could be achieved on the basis of international resolutions and agreements that demand the establishment of a Palestinian state."

In case he hasn't been paying attention, Gaza is the Palestinian state for now. Israel withdrew from Gaza in 2005, in accordance with "international law". And it hasn't led to greater peace or stability.

Mubarak is pushing for reconciliation between "moderate" Fatah and the terrorist Hamas organization. A Blog for All thinks that this proposal is Egypt's way of becoming relevant again.

As I've predicted in the past, Egypt is now trying to push its own diplomatic efforts after watching the Saudis proffer their own last week. They want to mediate between Hamas and Fatah. The Palestinian civil war continues to simmer as both sides are unwilling and incapable of conceding on basic issues.

From its side Egypt hasn't shut down the border leading to increased commerce.

You will also note that the Egyptians did not succeed in shutting down the border at 3:00 yesterday like they said they would. In fact, they still haven't shut it down. Rafah has become one massive shopping mall in which the supposedly 'penniless' 'Palestinians' look for bargains, just like Massachusetts residents do in New Hampshire and Illinois residents in Wisconsin.... Well... sort of....
The Weekly Standard explains Egypt's fears in detail:
The breakdown of the Gaza border also exposes the rift between the moderate government in Cairo and the Palestinians. While Arab governments delight in Palestinian attacks on Israel, they are wary of the violence spilling over. The Kuwaitis despise the Palestinians for backing Saddam Hussein during the invasion of Kuwait in 1990. Palestinians wore out their welcome in Baghdad after some were connected to terror attacks following the U.S. invasion in 2003. And the Palestinians in Lebanon are treated like third class citizens, unable to hold jobs outside the refugee camps. The Fatah al Islam uprising in the Nahr al Bared camp in northern Lebanon claimed the lives of 122 Lebanese troops while the Ein al Hilwah camp is essentially a no-go area for government forces.

And Israelly Cool! continues to liveblog the whole thing.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 7:05 AM

Haveil Havalim #151 is UP!

It's odd writing this when I had nothing to do with it. Haveil Havalim #151 is UP at Jack's Shack. He's got a great array of posts on topics ranging from personal reminisces to Israel to the presidential campaign to Anthrax (the rock group, that is.) Check it out!

To submit a post about Judaism or Israel for the next edition click here. If you're a blogger and wish to host let Jack know here. And please, especially if you have a post featured in the current edition, PUBLICIZE IT!

Listed at the Truth Laid Bear Ubercarnival.

Technorati Tags: , , , .

Posted by SoccerDad at 5:36 AM

January 26, 2008

Mehr News: World Arrogance "'satisfied' with the extensive disqualification of the candidates"

Guardian Council disqualifications of candidates make Iran's elections almost meaningless. Nobody is allowed to admit that in this article, but someone is quoted asserting that the "World Arrogance" approves of the disqualifications, presumably because the Satans of various sizes are rooting against Iranian "democracy." (A man can only hold out so long against the use of scare quotes.) The Iranian Press does not suppress all admissions of discord. Not yet, anyway--look for the final steps in acquiring nukes to usher in new oppressive measures. In the meantime admissions that the country is not surging ahead with the might of single-minded unity are usually quite interesting:

Negotiations aimed at "bypassing the law" will not influence the vetting practice by the Guardian Council, the GC spokesman Abbas-Ali Kadkhodaii told a press conference on Saturday.

"Guardian Council’s criterion for vetting the candidates is law, and if negotiations about requalifications are based on law, they will be effective; but if the consultations are aimed at bypassing the law, they won’t have any effect on the body."

Assuring that there would be no problem in studying the petitions of the rejected candidates, Kadkhodaii said, "We expect the parties and individuals not to jump to conclusions."

Asked whether membership in Islamic Iran Participation Party (IIPP) and Islamic Revolution Mojahedin Organization (IRMO) has led into rejection of some candidates, he said GC vets candidates regardless of their affiliation to political groups or parties except those who are members of illegal parties.

GC will inform the excluded candidates about the reasons behind their disqualification, he vowed . . .

Former Majlis speaker Mahdi Karrubi, former president Mohammad Khatami and Expediency Council Chairman Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani were likely to meet to negotiate about banned candidates, Esmail Gerami-Moghadam, the spokesman for the National Confidence Party, told the Iranian Students News Agency (ISNA) on Saturday.

Karrubi, the NCP secretary general, is going to meet with many of prominent political figures to negotiate the situation created after the rejection of some candidates at the request of NCP central committee and other reformist figures, Gerami-Moghadam noted.

"I intend to defend the rights of all candidates who have been unfairly disqualified including the members of the National Confidence Party and other reformists and even conservative figures who protest the screening," Karrubi has told a NCP extraordinary meeting.

"I have always been against politically-motivated disqualification and believe it is not in the national interest," he has pointed out.

"If the present vetting process by the oversight bodies is not corrected, we will not have any nominees in many of the constituents," Democracy Party Secretary General Kavakebian told ISNA on Saturday.

He urged the supervisory commissions not to disappoint the country’s political elite.

"World arrogance" is not interested in a high turnout in the March election and contrary to what it claims it is "satisfied" with the extensive disqualification of the candidates because it prevents a massive participation in the voting by the Iranians, he commented.

Hardliners get the last word:
Meanwhile Morteza Nabavi of the conservative Islamic Society of Engineers has said those who were convinced of their exclusion registered for the ballot to question the election.

Some of the rejected ones have recently said it was not necessary for the candidates to accept the "principles of the Islamic system" and this was a strong indication for rejecting their candidacy, the former MP noted . . .

"Not necessary"? Can't have that.

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 11:38 PM

The BBC eulogy for George Habash

The article is accompanied by a wild-eyed picture of Habash gesturing with a raised hand, with the caption "George Habash supported violence against Israel." Three one-sentence paragraphs toward the end take up the subject (mentioned earlier as well) of his "support" for violence:

[...] Throughout his life Habash supported the use of violence against Israel.

One of the most deadly PFLP attacks was the gunning down of 27 people at Israel's Lod airport in May 1972.

Forty-seven people were killed when a Swissair jet was bombed in 1970.

And here is how the article concludes:
Israeli tried for years to capture Habash, even intercepting a commercial airliner in 1973 and forcing it to land, mistakenly believing he was on board.

Habash stepped down as leader of the PFLP in 2000, by which time the group had been marginalised by the growing power of Islamist movements like Hamas.

Mr Abbas called Habash a "historic leader" and ordered Palestinian flags to fly at half-mast.

The current deputy secretary-general of the PFLP, Abdel Raheem Mallouh, called Habash a "distinguished leader... who struggled for more than 60 years without a stop for the rights and the interests of his people".

He was married, with two daughters.

His wife, Hilda, said: "We will all carry the banner of Habash and the Arab nation he dearly cherished. Habash always believed Palestine would be liberated."

"He lived for his people and died for his people," she told Reuters.

His heart-attack at the age of 80 was for the sake of "his people"? That's nice. He was a pioneer in the use of the airline industry for terror-purposes. That makes the 9/11 operation part of his vile legacy. Yemach shmo.

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 11:01 PM

The Nation on the Weathermen: What could be as quintessentially American as a work accident?

The Nation currently has a a review essay of Weatherperson Cathy Wilkerson's Flying Close to the Sun. Besides actually referring to Wilkerson as a "terrorist," and also reminding us of the history of nail-studded bombs meant for dancers, the essay reflects on the "American" character of the lovable SDS:

[...] The movement's revolutionary turn was not so much a measure of its un- or anti-American character, as conservative critics would have it, but rather an indication that, if anything, the New Left might have been a bit too American for its own good. Its impatience with the half-measures of liberal reformism, its lack of interest in creating a stable constituency or institutional base, and its promotion of a politics of confrontation and risk ("putting your body on the line," as the saying went) revealed the movement as an exotic but recognizable descendant of the powerful Protestant antinomian tradition of radical individualism--one whose adherents defied social custom and religious law to follow the inner promptings of God's voice wherever they might lead. "John Brown is a good symbol for us," Langer noted in passing. "At one point he wanted to run a school for Negroes but he came to find the idea too small: he had to attack Harper's Ferry." [...]

Wilkerson's fame, or rather infamy, was bound up with a single moment five months later, on March 6, 1970, the date of the "Townhouse Explosion." The building in question, on West 11th Street in Greenwich Village, belonged to Wilkerson's father, a well-to-do New York City advertising executive who had no idea that his wayward 25-year-old daughter was using it in his absence as a temporary safe house and bomb factory. While she was upstairs on that March morning incongruously ironing sheets, three of her comrades were in the basement putting the finishing touches on a nail-studded dynamite bomb they intended to plant and set off that night at a dance at Fort Dix in New Jersey. Their desire to "bring the war home" with a homemade antipersonnel weapon outstripped their understanding of electrical circuitry, however, and instead of killing others, Terry Robbins, Ted Gold and Diana Oughton killed themselves. [...]

Thereby sparing us memoirs (and reviews in the Nation), no doubt. Towards the end the essay comments:
An entire page is devoted to a poem written in 1970 commemorating Ted Gold, one of Cathy Wilkerson's three comrades who died in the Townhouse Explosion, including the line "he is dead/Of a bomb meant for better targets." Really? Would the "better targets" have been just the soldiers at the dance at Fort Dix, or would they have included their girlfriends and wives as well?
Can you imagine the Nation asking this about Hamas terrorists? I thought not.

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 10:03 PM

January 25, 2008

Why they hate us

In a fascinating article "The fallacy of Grievance based Terrorism" author, Melvin Lee writes of the centuries old conflict between the West and Islam. Toward the end he observes:

One of the greatest challenges facing strategic leaders today is objectively examining the centuries-old roots of Islamic jihadism and developing a strategy that will lead to a lasting solution to the Western conflict with it. Many Western policymakers fail to assess realistically why Arab and Islamic governments have been unable to improve the condition of their populations, especially in contrast to the West. This inability to grasp the root of Islamic jihadism is the result of a moral relativism prominent in modern Western liberal thought. For example, over the last few decades, it has become common to value diversity and multiculturalism above societal well-being and improvements in the human condition.

It is not, as Thomas Friedman argues in The World Is Flat, that the fruits of the American experiment—free markets, property rights, tolerance, democracy, and the rule of law—have left Islam behind.[39] On the contrary, it is Islam that has opted out of progress by allowing, promoting, and embracing centuries of reactionary and retrospective reforms that rejected the idea that humans can indeed improve their condition through reason and rationality. Muslim clerics and leaders within the impoverished nations of the Islamic world need to understand that they are responsible for the condition and grief of their people. It is Islamism's rejection of religious tolerance, democracy, and the rule of law, in conjunction with its embrace of anti-Semitism, theocracy, and sectarian strongmen exempt from law and privileged by the authority they have usurped, that is the real enemy in the Islamic world's centuries-long interaction with the United States. While Islamists skillfully manipulate the Western mass media to enunciate an ŕ la carte menu of grievances, eighteenth- and nineteenth-century interactions show these are not the root cause of jihadi terror. Indeed, a U.S. intelligence assessment, published two years before Israel's independence and any subsequent jihadi grievance, already highlighted Islamist terrorism as a long-term threat.[40] So long as Western officials adopt a nearsighted, grievance-based view of the roots of Islamist terror, they will embolden jihadis through appeasement.

Indeed one of the great accomplishments of Palestinian nationalism was to couch an anti-Western movement in terms that appeal to Western liberals. After all, who can argue with a notion of national self-determination?

Lee's article is an important antidote to many of the assumptions underlying what's often called the "realist" approach to foreign policy. It also is a reformulation of aspect of two earlier articles.

Back in 1999, Bernard Lewis wrote "The Roots of Muslim Rage" in the Atlantic. He views things somewhat differently from Lee, but still understands that the source Islamic hatred of the West isn't anything we've done, but how our society is viewed.

Ultimately, the struggle of the fundamentalists is against two enemies, secularism and modernism. The war against secularism is conscious and explicit, and there is by now a whole literature denouncing secularism as an evil neo-pagan force in the modern world and attributing it variously to the Jews, the West, and the United States. The war against modernity is for the most part neither conscious nor explicit, and is directed against the whole process of change that has taken place in the Islamic world in the past century or more and has transformed the political, economic, social, and even cultural structures of Muslim countries. Islamic fundamentalism has given an aim and a form to the otherwise aimless and formless resentment and anger of the Muslim masses at the forces that have devalued their traditional values and loyalties and, in the final analysis, robbed them of their beliefs, their aspirations, their dignity, and to an increasing extent even their livelihood.

There is something in the religious culture of Islam which inspired, in even the humblest peasant or peddler, a dignity and a courtesy toward others never exceeded and rarely equalled in other civilizations. And yet, in moments of upheaval and disruption, when the deeper passions are stirred, this dignity and courtesy toward others can give way to an explosive mixture of rage and hatred which impels even the government of an ancient and civilized country—even the spokesman of a great spiritual and ethical religion—to espouse kidnapping and assassination, and try to find, in the life of their Prophet, approval and indeed precedent for such actions.

More recently, in the Philosopher of Islamic Terror, a biographical sketch of Said Qutb by Paul Berman, Berman wrote:

That was Qutb's analysis. In writing about modern life, he put his finger on something that every thinking person can recognize, if only vaguely -- the feeling that human nature and modern life are somehow at odds. But Qutb evoked this feeling in a specifically Muslim fashion. It is easy to imagine that, in expounding on these themes back in the 1950's and 60's, Qutb had already identified the kind of personal agony that Mohamed Atta and the suicide warriors of Sept. 11 must have experienced in our own time. It was the agony of inhabiting a modern world of liberal ideas and achievements while feeling that true life exists somewhere else. It was the agony of walking down a modern sidewalk while dreaming of a different universe altogether, located in the Koranic past -- the agony of being pulled this way and that. The present, the past. The secular, the sacred. The freely chosen, the religiously mandated -- a life of confusion unto madness brought on, Qutb ventured, by Christian error.

Sitting in a wretched Egyptian prison, surrounded by criminals and composing his Koranic commentaries with Nasser's speeches blaring in the background on the infuriating tape recorder, Qutb knew whom to blame. He blamed the early Christians. He blamed Christianity's modern legacy, which was the liberal idea that religion should stay in one corner and secular life in another corner. He blamed the Jews. In his interpretation, the Jews had shown themselves to be eternally ungrateful to God. Early in their history, during their Egyptian captivity (Qutb thought he knew a thing or two about Egyptian captivity), the Jews acquired a slavish character, he believed. As a result they became craven and unprincipled when powerless, and vicious and arrogant when powerful. And these traits were eternal. The Jews occupy huge portions of Qutb's Koranic commentary -- their perfidy, greed, hatefulness, diabolical impulses, never-ending conspiracies and plots against Muhammad and Islam. Qutb was relentless on these themes. He looked on Zionism as part of the eternal campaign by the Jews to destroy Islam.

In the end, the Islamist hatred of the West is not a grievance we can address. Attempting to accomodate the demands of Islamists only encourages them. For there to be peace between Islam and the West, there needs to be a change of heart in Islam. Anything else is useless.

Crossposted on Yourish.


Posted by SoccerDad at 1:02 PM

If ... you must 01/25/08

If you haven't read Nothing Loftier at A Simple Jew; you must.
If you haven't read In Gaza, some Journalists remain in the dark at Daled Amos ; you must.
He's right about Taranto's observation. You can see one of the photos in question here. Not that it's anything new. (What light is casting the shadow of the table leg?)
If you haven't read 4200 Balloons at Elder of Ziyon; you must.
If only the media were interested in context, not cheap sensationalism and radical chic.
If you haven't read And people complain about Israeli Bureaucracy at Life in Israel; you must.
If you haven't read Israel Matzav's the Gaza Dilemma; you must.
This is an excellent rebuttal to Noah Pollak's Good News from Gaza.
If you haven't seen Mech Mosaic at Not Quite Perfect; you must.
If you haven't read Long live the Hydrox at Oyvay Blog; you must.
It's funny, you often don't realize when certain popular brands disappear. But my question was never sandwich cookies. If I was eating them, I'd usually get a store brand. My weakness is for the chocolate chip cookie. My preference is for Chip's Ahoy over Chip's Deluxe. But in the past there were two brands I'd liked that are no longer around: Burry's Mr. Chips and Duncan Hines, which produced cookies for a short time during the 90's.
If you haven't read Seraphic Secret's Hollywood Shooting Star; you must.
He was a star. He died young. He wasn't Heath Ledger.
If you haven't read The Patient's Worry at Futility Closet; you must.
Who thinks of these things? Still it's brilliant.
If you haven't read Biofuel disaster at Wolf Howling; you must.
I do a substantial proportion of the household shopping. In the past year or two prices of staples have increased at a higher rate than anything I remember over the past twenty years. Cheap margarine that used to sell for 99 cents, is now $1.59. A dozen eggs is now over $2.00. And let's not forget gas prices. A lot of this has been due to the increased use of ethanol which bids up the price of corn. To add insult to injury, it may not even be helping the enivronment! A cautionary tale for the global warming acolytes.

Posted by SoccerDad at 12:26 PM

Council speak 01/25/08

The council has spoken. And we're really muddled.

Other than a clear cut victory to Done with Mirror's critique of Jonah Goldberg's Liberal Fascism there were seven entries tied for second. I guess the trouble I had in choosing was shared by the rest of the council.

The winning non-council post was the brilliantly funny Bylines of Brutality by Iowahawk.

To all winners, a job well done.

If you're a blogger and you like what you see, please consider submitting your own post to the competition. Just followt the rules here. With only 2 first place finishes all year I was pretty far down in the rankings.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 4:02 AM

I'm sure this will help him with the base

The New York Times endorses: Primary Choices: John McCain (via memeorandum):

Still, there is a choice to be made, and it is an easy one. Senator John McCain of Arizona is the only Republican who promises to end the George Bush style of governing from and on behalf of a small, angry fringe. With a record of working across the aisle to develop sound bipartisan legislation, he would offer a choice to a broader range of Americans than the rest of the Republican field.

We have shuddered at Mr. McCain’s occasional, tactical pander to the right because he has demonstrated that he has the character to stand on principle. He was an early advocate for battling global warming and risked his presidential bid to uphold fundamental American values in the immigration debate. A genuine war hero among Republicans who proclaim their zeal to be commander in chief, Mr. McCain argues passionately that a country’s treatment of prisoners in the worst of times says a great deal about its character.

"Small, angry fringe?" Were they looking in the mirror when they wrote that?

Anyway the notion that McCain makes an "occasional, tactical pander to the right" is frankly absurd. Here are a few selected ratings of McCain's conservatism.

2007 In 2007 The Club for Growth gave Senator McCain a rating of 100.

2006 Senator McCain supported the interests of the American Conservative Union 65 percent in 2006.

2006 Senator McCain supported the interests of the Americans for Prosperity 100 percent in 2006.

2006 According to the National Journal - Conservative on Economic Policy calculations, in 2006 Senator McCain voted more conservative on economic policy issues than 64 percent of Senators.

Contrast that with this selected record of the other endorsee of the New York Times, Sen Hillary Clinton.

2007 In 2007 The Club for Growth gave Senator Clinton a rating of 11.

2006 Senator Clinton supported the interests of the American Conservative Union 8 percent in 2006.

2006 Senator Clinton supported the interests of the Americans for Prosperity 0 percent in 2006.

2006 According to the National Journal - Conservative on Economic Policy calculations, in 2006 Senator Clinton voted more conservative on economic policy issues than 35 percent of Senators.

This isn't pandering. It may not be as conservative as some conservatives would like, but it's pretty clear that he supports the conservative side of issues rather consistently.

John Podhoretz doesn't think
it will help McCain much:

I ... just got a gloating e-mail from Rudy Giuliani’s press office about it.

(The Times endorsement takes some nasty shots at Giuliani. The racial polarization at the time came largely from the race hustlers like Al Sharpton. But Bensonhurst, Crown Heights and Howard Beach all occurred before Giuliani became mayor.)

Gateway Pundit marvels at the number of MSM outlets who absolutely love McCain. It's as if those endorsements were, by themselves a disqualification.

Roger L Simon blasts the Times for its assault on Giuliani.

When I used the word pathological, I wasn't exaggerating. The hatred is out of control. It would be interesting to speculate on why, but it's late and I leave that to readers. It is , however, an eye roller to see this kind of purple prose coming out of the quondam newspaper of record on its editorial page.

Not surprisingly the Times also endorses Sen. Clinton on the Democratic side. (via memeorandum ) The Times has used all its resources - yes it's news pages too - to promote Hillary Clinton ever since she sought the Senate seat from the Empire State. I still believe that one of the reasons she chose NY as her home is because she looked forward to the free advertising she'd receive from the paper of record.

Ben Smith's analysis rings true.

The endorsement won't sway a lot of votes in South Carolina, but the editorial page has become more a voice of well-educated progressives — who might lean toward Obama — than of the Democratic establishment, and so it offers Clinton a useful boost, and one on her adopted home turf.

Getting back to McCain. I know that he rankles a lot of conservatives. Still, given that I still consider the war on terror to be the overriding issue of our time, I believe that McCain still represents an excellent choice to lead that fight.

In a recent column, Jeff Jacoby observed this interesting bit about McCain:

"I had not just been dishonest. I had been a coward, and I had severed my own interests from my country's. That was what made the lie unforgivable. All my heroes, fictional and real, would have been ashamed of me."

Now try, if you can, to imagine Hillary Clinton writing those words. Or Mitt Romney, or Mike Huckabee. Is it conceivable that John Edwards, who fiercely indicts the moral shortcomings of others, would ever speak so bluntly and harshly about his own? Would Ron Paul? Would Barack Obama? Among America's leading politicians, I cannot think of any who is so forthright about his own failings, or so willing to let the world see him struggle with his conscience.

I would agree that that sort of self aware candor that politicians are usually incapable of. No, I don't buy McCain's "straight talk" reputation, as that seems mostly be media pandering.

Sen. McCain is not my favorite candidate. However if Mayor Giuliani drops out of the race, I'd have to give him serious consideration. Baseball Crank makes a case for McCain as the second choice.

While the Times may have picked John McCain for all the wrong reasons, I'm not convinced that, in the end, they are totally wrong.

UPDATE: more at buzztracker.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 3:30 AM

Didn't he used to write speeches for walter mondale?

Charles Krauthammer is on a roll. For the third straight week he's dissecting the dynamics of the Democratic primary race. And as he pithily puts it (in his column from two weeks ago)

The Democratic primary campaign has been breathtakingly empty. What passes for substance is an absurd contest of hopeful change (Obama) vs. experienced change (Clinton) vs. angry change (John Edwards playing Hugo Chávez in English).

In that column two weeks ago psychiatrist pundit analyzed Sen Barack Obama in A sneer, a tear, a comeback.

It showed a side of Barack Obama not seen before or since. And it wasn't pretty. Asked in the Saturday Democratic debate about her dearth of "likability," Clinton offered an answer both artful and sweet -- first demurely saying her feelings were hurt and mock-heroically adding that she would try to carry on regardless, then generously conceding that Obama is very likable and "I don't think I'm that bad."

At which point, Obama, yielding to some inexplicable impulse, gave the other memorable unscripted moment of the New Hampshire campaign -- the gratuitous self-indicting aside: "You're likable enough, Hillary." He said it looking down and with not a smile but a smirk.

So when the real Sen. Obama showed through, he wasn't all that hopeful and perhaps, more than a little cynical. Cynicism defeats hope.

But the problem isn't just Sen. Obama's. It's the free pass that he's given as Krauthammer relates:

The freest of all passes to Obama is the general neglect of the obvious central contradiction of his candidacy: The bipartisan uniter who would bring us together by transcending ideology is at every turn on every policy an unwavering, down-the-line, unreconstructed, uninteresting, liberal Democrat.

He doesn't offer even a modest deviation from orthodoxy. When the Gang of 14, seven Republican and seven Democratic senators, agreed to restore order and a modicum of bipartisanship to the judicial selection process, Obama refused to join lest he anger the liberal base.


Last week in Black Dreams, White Liberals, Dr. Krauthammer examined the Clintons.

The analogy Clinton was implying was obvious: I'm Lyndon Johnson, unlovely doer; he's Martin Luther King, charismatic dreamer. Vote for me if you want results.

Forty years ago, that arrangement -- white president enacting African American dreams -- was necessary because discrimination denied blacks their own autonomous political options. Today, that arrangement -- white liberals acting as tribune for blacks in return for their political loyalty -- is a demeaning anachronism. That's what the fury at Hillary was all about, although no one was willing to say so explicitly.

The King-Johnson analogy is dead because the times are radically different. Today an African American can be in a position to wield the emancipation pen -- and everything else that goes along with the presidency: from making foreign policy to renting out the Lincoln Bedroom (if one is so inclined). Why should African American dreams still have to go through white liberals?

At once the Clintons want to be viewed as liberators and as the only interlocutors their grateful subjects should depend on.

This week he analyzes Sen John Edwards in Losing Ugly (or here).

People can change their minds about something. But everything? The man served one term in the Senate. He left not a single substantial piece of legislation to his name, only an astonishing string of votes on trade, education, civil liberties, energy, bankruptcy and, of course, war that now he not only renounces but inveighs against.

Today he plays the avenging angel, engaged in an "epic struggle" against the great economic malefactors that "have literally," he assures us, "taken over the government." He is angry, embodying the familiar zeal of the convert, ready to immolate anyone who benightedly holds to any revelation other than the zealot's very latest.

Apparently there are not only two Americas, there are two John Edwards(es).

But I digress, the doctor continues:

Nothing new about a convert. Nothing new about a zealous convert. What is different about Edwards is his endlessly repeated claim that the raging populist of today is what he has always been. That this has been the "cause of my life," the very core of his being, ingrained in him on his father's knee or at the mill or wherever, depending on the anecdote he's telling. You must understand: This is not politics for him. "This fight is deeply personal to me. I've been engaged in it my whole life."

"[V]ery core of my being?" Doesn't that recall "seared into my memory?" So maybe he has convictions, but they are very shallow as Dr. Krauthammer deftly describes:

By his own endlessly self-confessed record, his current pose is a coat of paint newly acquired.

So according to the one-time Democratic speechwriter, the current Democratic field is made up of a hopeful cynic, a narrowminded liberal and a shallow radical. It almost sounds if they're more likely on their way to Oz than to Denver.

UPDATE: more at buzztracker.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 2:26 AM

January 24, 2008

Tehran Times: "Trilaterals triangulating in Pakistan"

This little essay on the hidden hands pulling the strings (because tentacles are very awkward at pulling strings) is also available at Mehr News:

In a one-on-one meeting with Zulfikar Ali Bhutto in Lahore in August 1976, Henry Kissinger, then U.S. secretary of state, threatened the Pakistani prime minister, who was pressing ahead to acquire nuclear technology for his country despite U.S. opposition, saying, "We will destabilize your government and make a horrible example out of you." [...]

The United States is basically run by a small clique of wealthy families who own and control the Federal Reserve System, and the Trilateral Commission is their policy think tank.

The Trilateral Commission was established in 1973 by David Rockefeller as a private organization with the goal of promoting cooperation between the United States, Europe, and Japan.

Rockefeller was inspired to forge this trilateral alliance after reading Zbigniew Brzezinski’s book Between Two Ages. [...]

The Federal Reserve/Trilateral clique formulates U.S. foreign policy, defines U.S. interests in the world, and controls all the U.S. intelligence agencies and the Pentagon.

They have no qualms about toppling governments at home and abroad or assassinating political leaders who refuse to toe the line.

Many have said the Federal Reserve/Trilateral clique organized the conspiracy to assassinate John F. Kennedy after he challenged their power.

From his early days as foreign minister in the 1960s, Zulfikar Ali Bhutto had called for an independent and non-aligned foreign policy free of U.S. encroachment as well as for the closure of U.S. military bases in Pakistan, which were used for surveillance of the Soviet Union. As foreign minister, he built bridges with China, lessened tensions with the USSR, and gradually distanced Pakistan from the United States.

In the 1970s, a nationalization program of key industries under his government was carried out, which undermined the interests of multinational capital, owned mostly by the same wealthy clique that calls the shots in the United States. [...]

In the mid 1970s, the Trilaterals had already formulated their plot to lure the Soviets into their own Vietnam in Afghanistan. However, the articulate and intelligent leader of Pakistan was a major thorn in the side of the plotters. They were aware that he would not fight a proxy war for the United States. The independent-minded Bhutto was too smart to support one superpower against the other and destroy his country in the process.

The moment his government was toppled by the military ruler, Bhutto was aware of the forces at work and knew his fate. He shared all this with his family and especially with the young Benazir Bhutto.

Three decades have passed since the Trilaterals toppled the Bhutto government and then eliminated him physically, but their efforts to destabilize Pakistan are still on. In fact, with the assassination of Bhutto’s daughter in Rawalpindi on December 27, they have intensified their efforts to destabilize this immensely important South Asian country -- a geopolitical hub which the U.S. wants to use as a base for military intelligence operations.

The U.S. seeks to gain a stronger foothold in Pakistan to gain additional leverage against Russia and China. Meanwhile, Israel wants Pakistan’s nuclear technology neutralized, as it acts as a silent deterrent to the Zionist regime’s evil designs on the region. This is why the Western media raised the specter of Pakistan’s nuclear weapons falling into the hands of religious extremists after the assassination of Ms. Bhutto. An Islamic country with nuclear weapons, advanced missile technology, a prospering economy, and increasing stability could harm the interests of both the Zionists and the Trilaterals. [...]

Not to mention the Bilderbergers, the CFR, the Illuminati, and the Modern Language Association. Oh, and the Rothschilds.

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 10:22 PM

For your fix of tv trivia

... check out TV Trivia Thursday #10 at Elie's Expositions.

It's mostly awards, but it has a "24" question submitted by me.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 9:38 PM

The Egypt/Gaza Fence Is Not The Berlin Wall

Although some might have difficulty telling the difference--like Abdel Rahman, Hamas Security Officer:

"I can smell the freedom," he said. "We need no border after today."
One difference is that when the Berlin Wall came down, there was no fear of terrorists taking advantage of the situation in order to carry out suicide bombings more easily. Arlene Kusher has a post today on her site about Gaza's new open border with Egypt and the indications that freedom is not the primary motivation:
First there was the comment cited in today's Post by Khaled Abu Toameh. One Ibrahim Abu Taha, a Palestinian from Gaza, had moved through the fence and gone into Egypt, where he was planning on buying rice and sugar, milk, wheat and cheese. The same food stuffs were available in Gaza, said Abu Taha, but at three times the cost.

Wait! Did he say food was available in Gaza? Uh huh.

Couple this with the observation by Calev Ben David that in September 2005, after Israel had pulled out of Gaza, Hamas had blown up the fence at the border with Egypt, at the Philadelphi Corridor. But "nobody was hungry then; nobody needed fuel or medicine."

Then there are other, political motivations for breaking through the fence that have nothing to do with the "humanitarian needs" of the people?

In fact, now that Hamas has mixed things up on the Egypt-Gaza border, they may have ideas about the border with Israel as well--after all, Hamas has no problem throwing live bodies at Israel and the IDF:
Senior Hamas official Ahmed Yusuf has now warned Israel that "next time, 500,000 people will break down the border with Israel at the Erez Crossing and stream through. They will be willing to give their lives to go back to their [purported] original homes [from before 1948]. This is not imaginary."

There is disagreement here in Israel as to how seriously to take this.

Then, in the midst of all this, it is being suggested that Hamas is not the only one who may use the current situation to their advantage:
[Labor MK Yuval] Steinitz, who has been sounding warnings about Egypt for years, now says, "You will see, very soon Egypt will say they want to reopen the [1979 Camp David] peace treaty agreement with Israel about how many forces they are allowed to have in the Sinai, and they'll say they need many more in order to monitor the crossing. Their goal is to have as many forces as they can close to Israel."
Some suggest that the destruction of the fence puts all kinds of pressure on Egypt, creating a new dynamic that may actually work to Israel's advantage--but there are no developments in the Middle East, no matter how fortuitous they may appear, that do not somehow work to Israel's disadvantage.


Update: Check out David Hazony's post at Contentions, where he concludes:

With the floodgates open, there is no siege. The occupation is over. Gaza is now Egypt’s problem.
And Shrinkwrapped notes in the comments that Israel's job of dealing with Kassams out of Gaza just got easier:
...once the missiles fly, Israel can ramp up the retaliatory attacks knowing that if things deteriorate further in Gaza, the human shield population will have an exit. The strictures under which Israel operates have just been loosened (which does not mean the Palestinians won’t try to reprise Pallywood, but that it will be increasingly ineffective when the actors have the ability to leave the scene.)
Of course, when Israel left Lebanon and disengaged from Gaza, the same sort of claim was made. Whether the new dynamic makes a difference, and Hamas made have made life easier for Israel, remains to be seen.

After all--there is still Olmert.

Daled Amos

Technorati Tag: and and and .

Posted by daledamos at 2:22 PM

IRIB: "the enemy intends to wipe Palestine off the world map"

The actual title is "Bush try to topple some Arab leaders"--savor the Irangrish. The use of the phrasing "wipe . . . off the world map" is very interesting. That is what Ahmadinejad said about Israel according to the IRIB archives--although only Neocon swift-boaters would prefer the word of native Persian speakers to that of Juan Cole, right? If Iran is defensively trying to turn the phrasing into a counter-accusation, it implies that they accept it as a good rendering of what A said, doesn't it? And yes, I know he was echoing an older statement from the Ayatollah.

IRI Head of Committee to Support Intifada of Palestinian Nation said on Wednesday if American President George W. Bush and the Zionist Premier Ehud Olmert would be successful in defeating Palestinians, they would soon try to topple some Arab leaders, as well.

Former interior minister Ali-Akbar Mohtashamipour made the comment at National Conference on Palestine, titled "Palestinian National Rights, National Unity, Liberation Path, and Repatriation" at Sahari Conferences Complex of Damascus.

He added, "The Muslim nations should not permit American and the Zionist regime's leaders to come up with the dangerous conclusion through which they can divide the limbs of the Islamic body."

Mohtashami said that severe scarcity of fuel, medicine, and foodstuff in Gaza is already a human catastrophe, asking the various Islamic countries to take advantage of the various levers at their disposal aimed at ending the sad situation speedily.

"He said that the brutal Zionist regime has deprived the Palestinians of fuel to warm their children in the cold season, and of medicine to heal the victims of the inhumane Israeli Army's brutal attacks against civilian elderly folks, women, and children."

Because otherwise they wouldn't need medicine.
The Head of Iran-based International Committee to Defend the Intifada of the Palestinian nation added, "By creating endless problems for the Gaza Strip's residents, the enemy intends to wipe Palestine off the world map, but the Zionists had better know t hat the Palestinian resistance gets stronger with the passage of each newday."

The political activist said, "The Islamic Republic of Iran heartedly supports resistance forces in Palestine and Lebanon."

900 Palestinian personalities, including members of resistance movements, civil and popular groups, repatriation committees and independent personalities, as well as 300 distinguished foreign guests from various countries around the globe are attending the National Palestine Conference.

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 1:43 PM

Complicit

I've argued in the past that when a newspaper gives a platform to Hamas it is strengthening an organization whose values are at odds with the values that a newspaper stands for.

This week we saw something much worse. Newspapers actively aided Hamas in its effort to open the Rafah crossing this week.

Yesterday, the Times of London reported that the plan to knock down the Rafah wall was underway for months. (via memeorandum)

Hamas, which took control of the coastal territory last June after a stand-off with Fatah, has denied that its men set off the explosions that brought down as much as two-thirds of the 12-km wall in the early hours.

But a Hamas border guard interviewed by The Times at the border admitted that the Islamist group was responsible and had been involved for months in slicing through the heavy metal wall using oxy-acetylene cutting torches.

Given the amount of time that was clearly invested in the effort to collapse the wall, it's not surprising to learn 'Hamas staged some of the blackouts' (via memeorandum)

In the first case, journalists who were invited to cover the Hamas government meeting were surprised to see Prime Minister Ismail Haniyeh and his ministers sitting around a table with burning candles.

In the second case on Tuesday, journalists noticed that Hamas legislators who were meeting in Gaza City also sat in front of burning candles.

But some of the journalists noticed that there was actually no need for the candles because both meetings were being held in daylight.

(I really don't think that you needed a news story, anyone with half a functioning brain could see that candles were often not needed but were mere props used for effect.)

Not only did international pressure help Hamas accomplish this goal of opening the border with Egypt, it also weakened Israel's attempt to prevent rockets from being fired at its cities.

The New York Times remains clueless, an editorial Trapped in Gaza starts:

The neglect and mistreatment of the 1.5 million Palestinians trapped in the Gaza Strip is a disgrace, and a very dangerous one. They are pawns in the struggle among Hamas, which controls Gaza and uses the territory to bombard Israel daily; its rivals in the Fatah movement that run the Palestinian Authority and the West Bank; and Israel. If something isn’t done quickly to address the Gazans’ plight, President Bush’s Annapolis peace process could implode.

It isn't the Gazans plight that works against the peace process. It is the failure of the Palestinians to accept Israel. If the Palestinians accepted Israel, they'd turn their energies and resources to creating a civil society that would live in peace with Israel. As long as Palestinian grievances are nurtured there will be no peace and the terror against Israel is justified. The Palestinians voted for Hamas, so they're not exactly innocent either.

It's also worth noting that the Qassams increased in freqency after Israel withdrew from Gaza. Moves designed to bring peace often backfire. Without Israeli troops around to hinder them, rocket makers flourished in Gaza. The problem isn't misery, but opportunity.

The Times continues:

It is no wonder that tens of thousands of Palestinians rushed out of Gaza into Egypt on Wednesday after a metal border wall was toppled. Life for Gazans, never easy, has been worsening since Hamas seized control last summer, and most international aid — except humanitarian assistance — was cut off. Hamas has turned a deaf ear to the Gazans’ plight, refusing to negotiate peace or accept Israel’s right to exist.

The logic here is baffling. Poll after poll shows support among Palestinians for violence against Israel. Hamas has heard Gazans (indeed all Palestinians) quite well. They don't accept Israel's right to exist (neither do members of "moderate" Fatah for that matter) and Hamas represents those views quite effectively.

The Washington Post (h/t Backspin) gets a lot closer to the truth.

THE HAMAS movement provided a dramatic illustration yesterday of its ability to disrupt any movement toward peace between Israelis and Palestinians. As tens of thousands of residents of the Gaza Strip surged across the border into Egypt, Hamas security forces directed traffic; earlier, they stood by as organized groups of militants blew up the fence along the previously sealed border. As Hamas no doubt expected, the government of Egypt greeted this illegal invasion with a quick surrender: President Hosni Mubarak announced that Gazans would be allowed to shop in Egypt because they "are starving due to the Israeli siege."

In fact, as Mr. Mubarak well knows, no one is starving in Gaza -- though food, fuel and cigarettes are much cheaper across the border. Israel closed its border with the territory and disrupted power supplies over the weekend in response to a massive escalation of Palestinian rocket launches from Gaza at nearby Israeli towns -- between Tuesday and Saturday last week, some 225 rockets were aimed at the town of Sderot, where more than 20,000 Israelis have been relentlessly terrorized. Hamas took advantage of the blockade first by arranging for sympathetic Arab media to document the "humanitarian crisis," then by daring Egypt to use force against Palestinian civilians portrayed as Israel's victims. Its ultimate goal, stated publicly yesterday by Damascus-based leader Khaled Meshal, is to force Egypt to permanently reopen the border in cooperation with Hamas; that would greatly diminish Israel's ability to respond to rocket attacks with economic sanctions, and it would undermine the rival Palestinian leadership of Mahmoud Abbas.

My one quibble with this is singling out the "sympathetic Arab media" for blame. The international media - including the Washington Post - were complicit in assisting Hamas achieve its goals.

So maybe you could argue that the media were duped. Maybe. But Israel Matzav and Elder of Ziyon figured out the goal of the riots a day before Hamas knocked down the wall. My guess is that reporters on the ground at least heard whispers from their sources about what was to happen. Even if they didn't have definite knowledge of that action, it's hard to believe that they couldn't have put things together. Still they promoted the "blackout" myth without regard to the possibility that it was a cover for something else.

Elder of Ziyon is right when he writes:

So when the media talk about how Hamas won the PR war with Israel, it is a bit disingenuous of them not to admit their own responsibility for that victory - the news organizations are not only susceptible to obvious staging, they welcome being manipulated if they can get a good picture or story out of it.

Similarly Simply Jews observes:

Somebody should tell the august leader writer of The Guardian that when the “leader” starts with a lie, the featured article becomes just merchandise sold at a loss in order to draw customers.

In this whole sorry chapter, the media have played a shameful role as accomplices to Hamas. I don't expect any introspection from them, which is a shame. Philip Graham famously said that newspapers were the "first rough draft of history" acknowledging the role of the media in reporting on events. I don't think he meant that newspapers would have a role in staging the events that would eventually become history. But that's what the media is doing.

UPDATE: See more at Buzztracker.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 5:56 AM

Juggling carnivals 01/24/2008

PICT0061.JPG

Incoming Carnivals

Thanks to Dr. Sanity for including my submission in the latest Carnival of the Insanities along with friends Israelly Cool!, Yid with Lid, Israel Matzav, Wolf Howling, JudeoPundit and Simply Jews.

The newest Kosher Cooking Carnival is UP! Check it out for some recipes to warm you up and pictures to whet your appetite!

Upcoming Carnivals

This Sunday is the next edition of the Carnival of Maryland. If you have a post about the Old Line State, submit it here.

Also this coming Sunday the 151st edition of Haveil Havalim, the Jewish/Israel blogging carnival is scheduled to be hosted at the home of its new administrator, Jack's Shack. Jack gets around the blogosphere more than anyone I know, but still, make it easy on him and submit your best post about Judaism or Israel by tomorrow. And please, if you're a blogger, consider hosting. Being the administrator should mean taking care of the logistics and (maybe) occasionally hosting. Please help Jack out and make Haveil Havalim even better than it's been!

Sideshow

Haven't see the latest Musical Monday? Check out the trivia contest that Elie's Expositions alternate hosting, at Elie's Expositions this week! There are still a lot of lyrics that haven't been identified.

Posted by SoccerDad at 5:55 AM

Submitted 01/24/2008

The new Watcher's Council nominations have been submitted.

What Is "Freedom"? - The Colossus of Rhodey uses a recent viewing of a film version of 1984 to consider the anti-freedom implications of our heightened sensitivity about not being offensive.
The Radicalization of American Politics - The Glittering Eye looks at and laments the purity tests that seem so prevelant in America today.
Liberal Fascism - Done With Mirrors takes issue with the labelling that's the center of Jonah Goldberg's new book.
Hillanomix 101 -Wolf Howling looks at, dissects and, finally, disembowels the economic thought of the junior senator from NY.
If Ever We Needed a Special Prosecutor (BUMPED) - Rhymes With Right provides the background of a Texas state justice's legal troubles and argues that an independent inquiry is necessary, not least because the state's AG is compromised.
Di Caprio Lies and Hustles Bucks - Cheat Seeking Missiles comprehensively takes apart
The Problem With Obama's Race - Bookworm Room argues that identity politics has given Sen. Obama a built in immunity to criticism.
'I Have A Dream' -- The Democrat's Version - Joshuapundit neatly demonstrates that the social equality preached by the Democrats isn't so much an uplifting ideology celebrating America's diversity, but rather a cynical game of quotas.
Mike Huckabee for Minister in Chief? - Big Lizards dismisses the former governor of Arkansas.
Our Out of Control Borders: Who's Accountable? - The Education Wonks lives near the border with Mexico, sees some of the risks posed by illegal immirgrants and asks who is going to do something about that risk.
Grim Choices Confront GOP - Right Wing Nut House looks at the Republican field and finds himself unimpressed.
Rose Colored Rudy - I wondered if Mayor Giuliani's Florida strategy was another bold initiative - as when he took over the "ungovernable" NYC or (more likely) a bad gamble.

Well some more numbers are in and he's toast. Or not.

John Podhoretz looks at the American Research Group poll and concludes that Rudy's finished, then changes his mind.

Then the Buzz publishes polling results that show Giuliani tied with Huckabee for third, well behind Gov. Romney and Sen. McCain. Worse Marc Ambinder calls the pollster, the best in Florida. But Q - the Florida Politics Blog looks at the margins of error and says that he's not impressed with the accuracy.

Read, Enjoy. Be Informed.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 4:51 AM

January 23, 2008

"The White Man is the Jew of Liberal Fascism"

In his bestselling book, Liberal Fascism, Jonah Goldberg uses the phrase "The White Man is the Jew of Liberal Fascism," which has been attacked. Here is some of what he wrote:

The white male is the Jew of liberal fascism. The “key to solving the social problems of our age is to abolish the white race,” writes the whiteness studies scholar and historian Noel Ignatiev. Whiteness studies is a cutting-edge academic discipline sweeping American higher education. Some thirty universities have WS departments, but many more schools teach the essentials of whiteness studies in other courses. The executive director of the Center for the Study of White American Culture explains, “There is no crime that whiteness has not committed against people of color . . . We must blame whiteness for the continuing patterns today . . . which damage and prevent the humanity of those of us within it.” The journal Race Traitor (ironically, a Nazi term) is dedicated “to serve as an intellectual center for those seeking to abolish the white race.” Now, this is not a genocidal movement; no one is suggesting that white people be rounded up and put in camps. But the principles, passions, and argumentation have troubling echoes.

First, there is the left’s shocking defense of black riot ideology and gangsterism. The glorification of violence, the romance of the street, the denunciations of “the system,” the conspiratorialism, the exaltation of racial solidarity, the misogyny of hip-hop culture: all of these things offer a disturbing sense of déjŕ vu. Hip-hop culture has incorporated. On college campuses, administrators routinely look the other way at classically fascist behavior, from newspaper burnings to the physical intimidation of dissident speakers. These attitudes ultimately stem from the view that the white man, like the Jew, represents every facet of what is wrong and oppressive to humanity. As Susan Sontag proclaimed in 1967, “The white race is the cancer of human history.” Meanwhile, Enlightenment notions of universal humanity are routinely mocked on the academic left as a con used to disguise entrenched white male privilege.

Personally, I see more of a comparison with Israel and the excuses for the behavior of Palestinian Arabs and their apologists. In any case, on his new Liberal Fascism Blog, Goldberg addresses what he meant. Here is part of his explanation:
...One of the more under-appreciated motives of the Nazi extermination campaign against the Jews was how it was driven by paranoia. Nazi anti-Semitism wasn't merely bigoted, it was conspiratorial. The Nazis and affiliated intellectuals firmly believed that the Jew was behind the scenes, pulling strings, manipulating events, rigging the system — even the language — in profound and pernicious ways. Carl Schmitt — quite popular on the left today — was tasked with the job of purging the Jewish spirit from the law. Other similar projects were launched across the political, economic and intellectual landscape. Jeffrey Herf recently wrote an absolutely brilliant book on this exact point, bringing to the fore what was long considered mere background noise of the 12 year Reich. I wrote about his book, The Jewish Enemy, here.

This paranoia itself had roots in Marxist thought — though hardly exclusively so. Marx himself was one of many ur-socialists who considered the Jew, figuratively and literally, to be the fullest realization of everything that was wrong with capitalism or the status quo. The Jew, as the classic middle-man minority (as Tom Sowell would say), seemed to stand in the way of every utopian and nationalist aspiration. When you read Nazi intellectuals discussing the influence of Judaism on Germany it's deeply metaphysical. The Jew and by extension the "Mediterranean religion" of Christianity had poisoned the authentic German spirit and mind to the very foundations. Politically, the Nazis insisted that "the Jews" had attacked Germany first. Every bad circumstance or inconvenient fact could be laid at the feat of the Jews. Hitler even proclaimed that the conscience itself was a Jewish invention designed to keep the oppressed Aryans and others down.While still a Nazi collaborator, Paul de Man— the revered postmodern theorist who eventually taught at Yale and
Cornell—wrote of the Jews, “Their cerebralness, their capacity to assimilate doctrines while maintaining a cold detachment from them,” is one of “the specific characteristics of the Jewish mind.”

Read the entire post.

So not only are some pointing to Muslims as the "new Jews,"--now you don't even have to be a minority.

Update: In his comment, Bruce Godfrey writes that he has a post to continue the discussion. Check it out.

D

Crossposted at Daled Amos

Technorati Tag: and and .

Posted by daledamos at 1:45 PM

Israel resumes gas shipment and, oh, that

The NYT:

After widespread criticism of its decision to cut off supplies of industrial diesel oil required to run a power station that serves Gaza City and its hospitals, Israel resumed fuel shipments on Tuesday on what it said would be a temporary basis.

The European Union, which pays for the fuel, called the cutoff “collective punishment,” but Israeli officials said they were simply trying to convince Gazans of the need to stop militants from firing rockets into Israeli towns and farms.

11 paragraphs down:

Israeli officials have made it clear, as one senior official said, that as long as rockets are hitting Israel, “the people of Gaza will be uncomfortable and know that life is not normal.” Israel, however, will not allow a “humanitarian crisis,” Mr. Olmert has said. About 13 Qassam rockets landed in Israel on Tuesday, the Israeli Army said, but did no damage.

Additional demerit: Mentioning the EU reaction without dissent. The Jerusalem Post observes:

Perhaps more European officials should visit Sderot before opening their mouths. Dutch Foreign Minister Maxime Verhagen did just that, and had this to say: "Hamas is deliberately intensifying the crisis in the Gaza Strip in order to create pressure from the international community on Israel." The international community need not play Hamas's game. If Western officials uniformly blamed Hamas instead of amplifying its propaganda, it might be forced to stop its aggression, ending the "humanitarian crisis." As necessary as Israeli military and non-military measures are, the greatest pressure of all would be if the international community let it be clearly known that it was fed up acting as Hamas's dupes.

The Washington Post:

Israel eased its blockade of the Gaza Strip for at least a day Tuesday, allowing the European Union and United Nations to truck in the first food shipments in five days, along with fuel to restart the Palestinian territory's idled power plant.

Gaza, which has a population of 1.5 million, had been cut off since Friday, when Israel closed entry points in response to an increase in rocket barrages from the strip last week. About half a million Gaza residents were without power for most of Sunday and Monday after the territory's power plant exhausted its fuel reserves.

6 paragraphs down:

Israel has said since it began the blockade that it would allow in shipments only after individual review. Palestinians launched at least 17 rockets at Israel from Gaza on Tuesday, causing no damage, the Israeli military said.

Additional demerit: Including a slideshow that emphasizes Gaza without power but no views of damage to Sderot.

What's clear is that when Israel tightened restrictions on shipments to Gaza the rocket attacks decreased. When Israel resumed shipments, the rocket attacks increased again. Idiots like Amira Hess excluded, sensible people would conclude that the fuel is being used not only for hospitals and other matters of public welfare, but also to fuel rockets.

It wouldn't be the first time that the Palestinians were sacrificing the welfare of their population for the opportunity to attack Israel. Last year they were digging up sewage pipes to make Qassams regardless of the sanitation nightmare that it would cause.

But Hamas learned. The world would lean on Israel to avoid a "humanitarian crisis" and the terror could continue.

The NY Times and Washington Post have chosen, in the words of the Jerusalem Post to join the "Dupes of Hamas" and emphasize Israel's reactions, portraying them in the worst possible light and all but ignoring the actions that precipitated Israel's response and the success that could be credited to that response.

Special demerits to Secretary of State Rice:

SECRETARY RICE: Yeah. We have talked to the Israelis, yes. And I think that they are -- they’ve said that they do not want a humanitarian crisis and that they understand the need to permit fuel and electricity in Gaza. So we will see. But my understanding is that they’ve said that they will try and respond in a way that will not allow a humanitarian crisis to unfold there. Ultimately, Hamas is to blame for this circumstance because if they were more responsible toward the international community, then there would be -- Gaza would be connected to the outside world rather than cut off. But with that said, nobody wants innocent Gazans to suffer. And so we have spoken to the Israelis about the importance of not allowing humanitarian crisis to unfold there.

QUESTION: But don’t you think it’s (inaudible) every time there is tension and (inaudible).

SECRETARY RICE: Well, I think the Israelis are trying to deal with also an untenable situation from their point of view, which is the firing of rockets from Gaza into Israel and the anxiety and the terror that that’s causing for the population. So I’m not surprised that this is a situation of tension. But I’m hopeful that perhaps people can look at different ways of dealing with Gaza. As you know, the Quartet has suggested that Salam Fayyad’s idea of allowing the PA to have more of a role on the -- perhaps on the crossings might be something that could be examined. And I think people need to start to try to think creatively about how to deal with the situation in Gaza.

One wonders why the Old South comparisons fail her now? Would it be that impolitic to mention that armed extremists are keeping Israeli children from school as surely as armed guards once kept black children from school?

More from Boker Tov Boulder, Elder of Ziyon and Meryl Yourish.

Here's a useful primer on the construction and use of Qassams.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 8:18 AM

What the support says

The Jerusalem Post reports on the support that PM Olmert has:

Prime Minister Ehud Olmert received a boost from the far left of the political map Tuesday when former Knesset speaker Avraham Burg, former Meretz leader Shulamit Aloni and Peace Now director-general Yariv Oppenheimer said he should be allowed to remain in power after the Winograd Report's publication.

Burg retired from politics in 2004 and has since made headlines by adopting increasingly extremist positions. He most recently made news six months ago when he obtained a French passport and wrote a book comparing Israel to Nazi Germany and suggesting that Israel should no longer be a Jewish state.
...
Aloni endorsed Olmert in an interview with Yediot Aharonot. She blamed the problems of the war on the IDF and said that due to his lack of military experience, Olmert could not have been expected to contradict the generals.

"Under the current conditions, I would prefer that Olmert remain," Aloni said. "I have no trust in [Labor chairman Ehud] Barak. It could be that [Barak] is a wonderful pianist and he knows how to take apart and put back together watches, but I stopped liking him long ago. I would vote for Olmert."

Oppenheimer sent a letter to members of Labor's executive committee and the party's branch heads calling upon Barak to keep Labor in the government in order to advance the peace process. Oppenheimer will host a rally with the same message on Sunday at Labor headquarters.

Perhaps PM Olmert's support is broader based, but these three are saying that his failings, evidenced by his mistakes during the Lebanon war of 2006, ought to be overlooked.

Ari Shavit writes that there is another group that dissents, The company commanders' outcry:

The dozens of company commanders who sent a warning letter yesterday to the prime minister are not all cut from the same cloth. Among them are residents of Jerusalem and Tel Aviv, Haifa and Modi'in, Kiryat Ono, Gedera and Eli. Among them are high-tech people and real-estate dealers, students and educators, engineers, programmers and tour guides. Among them are religious and secular people, leftists and rightists, urbanites, moshav members and kibbutz members. All of them are company commanders in the reserves. Combat companies in the infantry, the armored corps, paratroops and the artillery corps. And they are telling Prime Minister Ehud Olmert: Take responsibility. Acknowledge the value of responsibility.
...
The company commanders who signed the letter sent yesterday evening to Olmert are a significant part of the IDF assault command, and this group has said in its letter that it is no longer possible to continue in this way. That the way the prime minister is behaving has damaged the value basis of national security. That a supreme commander who does not know how to take responsibility for his actions loses the moral authority to send soldiers into battle.

According to Shavit, these commanders didn't use their position to threaten to disobey orders - unlike more publicized similar letters - but simply asked that the political leader of their country accept responsibility.

The Jerusalem Post reports on another, more personal blow against the Prime Minister:

FORMER JUSTICE and finance minister Dan Meridor and Prime Minister Ehud Olmert go back a long way together. They were both second generation MKs raised in the Revisionist ideology of their fathers, and elected on a Likud ticket. When Meridor's sons were bar mitzva, Olmert not only came to the party, but also to the synagogue service, indicative of a close friendship. It must therefore have been difficult for Meridor to speak out against Olmert at the opening day, in the Knesset, of the annual Herzliya Conference.

Meridor was one of the panelists in the session on the Winograd Committee and National Security Decision-Making, and had to leave early, so he was spared the embarrassment of being asked at question time to elaborate on his remarks, which didn't mention Olmert by name. What he said was that, "There are people who are capable of being elected but not of making decisions. The public should elect people who not only reflect their ideology, but who have the capacity to lead. The person elected should not devote time to getting re-elected, but to learning, so that he would never get to the stage of saying: 'They told me, but what do I understand?'"

I won't pretend that this will make a difference. It won't. Unless enough coalition members decide that it's worth jeopardizing their political futures, Olmert will remain in power. Unfortunately Israel's political system is so configured that vanity is more important than integrity. A political leader who lost the public's trust need not regain that trust to stay in power; he needs only to convince 61 people that he is indispensable to their ambitions and interests.

Still it's telling that those who most publicly support the PM unconditionally are at the political margins. Maybe when he was elected, PM Olmert represented a centrist coalition; now he is the candidate of the Left.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:20 AM

January 22, 2008

Jews were firing missiles from warsaw to danzig

According to this detestable post (and letter to the editor that inspired it) we may conclude:
1) In 1941, the Jews of Warsaw were firing rockets from Warsaw at civilians in Danzig.
2) European Jews had a history of killing thousands of people by blowing themselves up in crowded public places.
3) Nazi doctors were saving hundreds of Jewish children.
4) The world stood by while Jews were being attacked by their enemies.

Well 4 is accurate anyway. The other 3 must have occurred in some parallel universe that I am unaware of.

OK, this isn't misguided. This is antisemitism. It's appalling that the editors of the Sydney Morning Herald saw fit to print such garbage.

UPDATE: Please see Psychotoddler's comment.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:28 AM

Humanitarian considerations

In order to pursue its policy of deterring rocket attacks on its civilians Israel has to justify the military actions with the legal authorities to determine What exactly is a humanitarian crisis?

The officer of the Coordinator of Government Activities in the Territories is government's eyes and ears on this matter.

The office includes several departments responsible for doing the job. For example, one section maintains contacts with international aid organizations and other groups that monitor Gaza, while another is responsible for maintaining contacts with Palestinian officials in charge of infrastructure in the Strip, including electricity and water.

This is the body that provides the cabinet with the relevant data and carries out research on questions raised by the government.

For example, when Defense Minister Ehud Barak decided to reduce the Israeli supply of electricity to Gaza, Attorney-General Menahem Mazuz asked for details about which power lines supplied power to hospitals and other humanitarian facilities, to make sure their supply would not be harmed by the measure.

As long as Mazuz is satisfied that a specific government measure within a range of measures that he has approved will not damage these fundamental humanitarian requirements, he will okay them.

That, at least, is the theory.

There's no word whether Meshaal and Haniyeh discuss at what point Qassams cause a humanitarian crisis in Sderot.

Interestingly a Saudi editor comes close to getting it right.

Abdel Rahman Rashed, a Saudi national serving as general manager of the pan-Arab Arabiya news channel, said Hamas was responsible for the suffering of some 1.5 million Palestinians living in the Gaza Strip.

"Hamas committed a stupid act when it gave the Israelis an excuse to launch attacks in retaliation for a few antique rockets," Rashed wrote in the London-based daily Asharq Al- Awsat.

"Prior to that, Hamas committed a big crime against the Palestinian people by overthrowing the Palestinian Authority [in the Gaza Strip]. The Palestinians in the Gaza Strip have suffered a lot because of Hamas's actions. Hamas is bringing Israel back into the Gaza Strip after it was liberated by the Palestinian groups."

Rashed questioned the wisdom of firing rockets and mortars at Israel which, he said, was only increasing the suffering of the Palestinians, let alone that they were not causing much harm to Israel. He pointed out that "only" 10 Israelis were wounded in the recent attacks as opposed to the "huge disaster" that has befallen the Palestinians in the Gaza Strip.

Rashed is regarded by many Arab journalists as an unofficial spokesman for the Saudi royal family. He previously served as editor-in-chief of the Saudi-owned Asharq Al-Awsat newspaper and his writings regularly reflect the views of the Saudi establishment.

It would be nice if there was someone also acknowledging that the blackouts were staged. Still it's true that if Hamas wasn't attacking Sderot, Israel wouldn't be restricting fuel shipments to Gaza.

Still, with the active complicity of the international media, Hamas is turning this episode into a PR victory. (H/T Backspin)

Some of PA President Mahmoud Abbas's top aides were convinced that the countdown to Hamas's collapse would begin immediately after large parts of the Gaza Strip were plunged into darkness Sunday night.

But the PA leaders were in for an unpleasant surprise.

Instead of seeing anti-Hamas demonstrators, the PA officials in the Mukata presidential compound got televised footage of children and women holding candles in the dark streets of Gaza City.

Al-Jazeera and other Arab TV networks carried live coverage of the peaceful protesters, many of whom blamed not only Israel, but the PA government and the rest of the Arab countries for their plight.

The pictures coming out of the Gaza Strip were so damning for the PA that some of its representatives accused Al-Jazeera of serving Hamas's interests and inciting against Abbas.

(No, it's just Al-Jazeera, go to Google News and search on "Palestinians candles" - currently 520 results - and then search on "Sderot damage" - currently 299 results.)

According to the New York Times, Israel has now resumed allowing some necessities into Gaza.

As aid officials warned that Gaza, gripped by fuel and electricity shortages, was two or three days from a health and food crisis, international alarm mounted and criticism of Israel intensified.

Israeli officials said they had made the decision after reviewing the situation in Gaza, which they had insisted they would not allow to become a relief crisis, and after seeing a reduction in rocket fire. They denied that international pressure was a factor.

Mr. Barak ordered the closing of border crossings into Gaza on Thursday night, halting all imports, in response to last week’s intense rocket fire against Israel by militant groups in the Gaza Strip, which is run by Hamas.

No goods have been allowed in since, and Gaza shut down its only power station on Sunday as the industrial diesel needed to fuel it ran out.

And when rocket fire intensifies again, will we see the same interest in the daily travails of the residents of Sderot. Probably when Haniyeh and Meshaal start considering the humanitarian crisis in Sderot.

More here.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:09 AM

January 21, 2008

Rose colored rudy

I've made no secret of my preference for Rudy Giuliani to be the next president of the United States. It's not because he's the most conservative candidate. It's not because his personal life has been the most exemplary. It's because as mayor of New York he oversaw a dramatic decrease in crime the likes of which have rarely been seen.

When Giuliani took over as mayor, murders in New York had declined from a high in 1990 of 2245 to 1946 in 1993. Over the next eight years murders declined to a low of 633 rising slowly to 714 in 2001 (apparently not including 9/11.) Using the 1946 as a baseline, you could argue that over 8000 survived Giuliani's two terms in office who wouldn't have otherwise.

In a nutshell, Fred Siegel, Giuliani's biographer (and booster) writes:

Dinkins' New York was organized around the unspoken assumption that poverty was a permanent condition, and that the best that could be done was to make it bearable. In Giuliani's words, "We blocked the genius of America for the poorest people in New York." Under Giuliani, the city restored the ideal of upward mobility. Giuliani spoke not only of the rights of the poor but also of their obligations to society. As mayor, he delivered greater safety and a rising standard of living in the city's most blighted areas, from Mott Haven in the South Bronx to Brooklyn's East New York. New York's poorest neighborhoods experienced the sharpest drop in crime and the biggest rises in income and property values. None of this was predestined. No other city has made comparable gains, let alone sustained them. New York's crime rates continue to decline even as they have been rising in other big cities. Turning the tables on those who would substitute intentions for outcomes, writer James Traub has asked of Giuliani's critics, "Isn't preserving people's lives, well-being, and property the most compassionate policy of all?"

When it came to being mayor, Rudolf Giuliani refused to abide the accepted wisdom of the time. He decided to change the way New York was governed and the city benefited greatly.

So too, he approached the presidential primary system. He wasn't going to submit to the tyranny of the established system. He was going to challenge it. Giuliani would sit out most of the early contests and establish his candidacy when the contests started meaning something - allocating significant numbers of delegates.

A few weeks ago strategist Brent Seaborn wrote a memo "Looking Good" in which he argued that the Giuliani campaign was right where it wanted to be. (The memo was also at the campaign website, but that's impossible to navigate.)

Our rivals seemingly have built campaigns based on the old calendars' strategies -- a couple of very early state wins to propel them deeper in to the nomination process. To the contrary, our plan allocates time and resources to the many states which vote a bit later -- on January 29 (Florida) and February 5.

For the record, only 78 delegates will be picked prior to Florida whereas 1,039 delegates will be picked on January 29 and February 5. Additionally, it is important to note that voting HAS ALREADY STARTED in Florida, Missouri, Georgia, Illinois, New Jersey and New York - tens of thousands of people will have already cast their ballot by the time you are reading this note. And more February 5th states, including California will begin early and absentee voting soon. All of this points to the folly of over-estimating the impact of the results of Iowa and New Hampshire and the wisdom of our strategy.

Putting a high priority on spending our time and money in a proportional basis in Florida and the large delegate states voting on February 5th is clearly the right thing to do.

Unfortunately those words are out there now for all to see and recall. Looking at the polls or the delegate count, I can't believe that Seaborn expected the current state of the campaign. Though lately Giuliani has started to trend upwards in Florida, his polling have shown a decline over the past two months; and a pretty steep one since the primaries started. While Seaborn talked about how many delegates his candidate could have before Florida, that looks pretty optimistic by current standards.

If Mayor Giuliani wins even a minority share of the 78 delegates from pre Florida states, wins Florida's 57 delegates, wins the 201 available in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and Delaware, and wins only a plurality of delegates from large February 5th states like California, Georgia and Illinois, he will have a commanding lead in delegates for the nomination with more than half of the delegates selected.

Currently, Giuliani has all of 2 delegates, trailing both Ron Paul and Duncan Hunter. While his campaign decided to forgo these early contests, I can't believe that they expected to have so few delegates at this point.
Instead of being comfortably in first in Florida, Giuliani is competing for the #2 spot. In an earlier discussion of the campaign's strategy, Seaborn and Michael DuHaime told of the campaign's expectations:
Florida is often referred to as Rudy's "firewall," and the Giuliani campaign clearly sees this as the first state where their man can begin to break away. Even stripped of 50% of its delegates by the RNC along with the other states, Florida still has 57 delegates at stake which, like South Carolina, will be awarded on the basis of winning Congressional districts plus and for winning the statewide vote. But, their thinking goes, with more than a two-to-one advantage in the polls, Giuliani will be able to scoop up the lion's share of the delegates in the Sunshine State.

In a sense, Florida, could still be Giuliani's "firewall." It will not be the boost that shoots him into the delegate stratosphere on Super Tuesday. At best it will be the moment that he breaks his freefall and returns to relevancy. That assumes that it's not too late for comeback.

Andy McCarthy is lamenting the current state of affairs. (via memeorandum)

It's not that New York cares all that much what red-neck evangelists who don't even know which one is the salad fork think. It's that New York cares deeply about what the media think. If they're not leading it, they're following it so as to appear to be leading it. It's a show Rudy could not afford to be out of. No one could.

For all the mocking that the Giuliani campaign is likely to endure, especially if the candidate doesn't win the nomination, little noted is that Giuliani and his people did try to change the system. Maybe it was too optimistic. But he did try to challenge the early importance of the small bellwether states. It clearly didn't work as his campaign anticipated. Maybe it's not too late for Giuliani to pull this out. But it looks like it doesn't pay to be invisible in Iowa and New Hampshire.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 3:34 PM

Fueling the libel

Gaza is supposedly in darkness. USA Today reports:

The exiled leader of Hamas appealed to Arab leaders and his rival, Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, on Sunday asking them to forget their differences and help the beleaguered Gazans, who saw Gaza City plunge into darkness after Israel blocked a shipment of fuel that powers its only electrical plant.

The plea was rare show of emotion for the hard-line Khaled Mashaal, who lives in exile in Damascus, Syria.

From articles like this you'd never know that Israel is supplying 70% of the usual amount of the fuel it has supplied Gaza in the past despite the dangers or that most of Gaza's power is supplied by the Israeli and Egyptian power grids not the power plant in Gaza.

Uninformed comment unsurprisingly, breathlessly uses Wikipedia to declare Israel guilty of war crimes.

Wikipedia is just the common sense of the blogosphere. The Geneva Conventions were intended to avoid a repeat of the atrocities of WW II.

The Israelis are going to have to live in the midst of the Palestinian people for the rest of the century. The Palestinians are not going away. The Israelis cannot wish them away or intimidate them into accepting statelessness, dire poverty, foreign domination and a condition analogous to slavery.

Moreover, Israel itself requires, in order to flourish, extensive economic and other relations with the outside world. If it is going to behave like this, the outside world will become less and less willing to have those relations. The Israeli Right is their country's own worst enemy.

Given that his criticism is of Prime Minister Olmert, I wonder by what leap he concludes that the PM is member of the "Israeli Right." Still his reading of the Geneva Conventions is selective. Here's the text of articles 28 and 29 of the Fourth Geneva Convention

Art. 28. The presence of a protected person may not be used to render certain points or areas immune from military operations.

Art. 29. The Party to the conflict in whose hands protected persons may be, is responsible for the treatment accorded to them by its agents, irrespective of any individual responsibility which may be incurred.

It is Hamas that is ultimately responsible for the well being of the residents of Gaza. Given that they are shutting down power generation (with the connivance of the international media) and restricting their citizens access to power so that they can launch attacks against Israeli civilians, it's clear that perpetrators of atrocities are Hamas and not Israel. Juan Cole and his fellow travelers remain impervious to facts and logic.

The PoliGazette extends blame beyond Hamas, to those who elected the terror group.

As can be expected from the MSM, and especially the AP, journalists agree with the UN and “human rights organizations” (and I use these words loosely) that Israel’s the bad character in this story, but the fact of the matter is that if there’s anyone to blame, it’s the Palestinians.

They could’ve dealt with the terrorists among them years ago already, if only they were truly willing to do so. That there still are so many terrorists in ‘Palestine’ tells us all we need to know about the attitude of the average Palestinian towards terrorism.

They’re being punished because they deserve to be punished. If they don’t want to live without lights, perhaps they should force the terrorists out of their neighborhoods.

Hamas is popular, not because of its bureaucratic competence but because of its radicalism. Hamas does reflect the views of its constituents. The people of Gaza are suffering because they voted to make war against Israel. Now their suffering is coming as their leaders use them as pawns. It's hard to feel sympathy.

Meryl writes:

Israel is sending diesel fuel to power the Gaza electric plant. It’s actually a smart move. If Hamas refuses to power it up, Israel can say, “Hey, we just sent you the fuel. You’re not using it.”

It would be a smart move if the Israeli claims was treated with any seriousness by the media. Unfortunately they're more interested in highlighting the phony grievances of Hamas than in publicizing the truth.

More at technorati.

Crossposted at Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 1:28 PM

A worthy goal. chuckle.

via memeorandum

Reuters reports:

In an interview with Reuters, Prince Turki al-Faisal, a former ambassador to the United States and Britain and adviser to King Abdullah, said Israel and the Arabs could cooperate in many areas including water, agriculture, science and education.

Asked what message he wanted to send to the Israeli public, he said:
"The Arab world, by the Arab peace initiative, has crossed the Rubicon from hostility towards Israel to peace with Israel and has extended the hand of peace to Israel, and we await the Israelis picking up our hand and joining us in what inevitably will be beneficial for Israel and for the Arab world."

The 22-nation Arab League revived at a Riyadh summit last year a Saudi peace plan first adopted in 2002 offering Israel full normalization of relations in return for full withdrawal from occupied Palestinian, Syrian and Lebanese land.

Israel shunned the offer then, at the height of a violent Palestinian uprising in the West Bank and Gaza Strip.

There's a nice response from the Spectator:

Here is a message to Prince Turki al Faisal: that if the Arabs stop trying to occupy Jewish land and attack the west, they can join the civilised world.

And Israel Matzav observes

The problem is that he isn't kidding. He actually believes that the 'Saudi peace plan,' which calls for Israel to return to the pre-1967 Auschwitz borders in exchange for 'full recognition' of Israel - but not diplomatic relations, let alone peace - is something an Israeli leader can accept.

There's something surreal about Turki reviving this offer. First of all, if Abudullah ever meant it seriously he quickly showed his insincerity by accepting Syrian claims that Shebaa farms is Lebanese effectively denying that Israel fully withdrew from Lebanon.

Still it's hard to credit any of these Saudi overtures. One of the hallmarks of peacemaking has been the concept of "confidence building measures." Well as a confidence buidling measure why doesn't Saudi Arabia offer to allow the Mogen David Adom as a full symbol of the ICRC? Or lead the fight against antisemitism in the Arab media? Neither of those actions would necessarily be the equivalent of recognizing Israel and could be ascribed to promoting co-existence.

In the end this offer is worthless because it isn't an offer of peace with clearly defined terms of what the Saudis and the rest of the Arab world are offering Israel, it is a list of demands. Peace does not come from ultimatums.

But then there's the delicious irony that if Israel successfully helps create a Palestinian state that stifles the free press and restricts freedom of religion (yes, I'm assuming that past performance predicts future results) then it will be fit to join a group despots who rule by divine right or force and deny their citizens a voice in how to run their own lives.

Now that's something to aspire to.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:31 AM

Fighting fakes

via memeorandum

Popular Science has an interesting feature on hi-tech techniques for fighting counterfeiting.

My question: is anyone aware of the lo-tech method employed by Israel to fight counterfeiting?

(This is for math geeks.)

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:13 AM

The public editor's job

via memeorandum

Tigerhawk complains:

Apparently we need another public editor to explain why the first one spends himself on trivia and the arcania of conflict policy instead of examining a front page story with statistical "reasoning" so unbelievably fraudulent it is hard to believe that it was not intentional.

It's only a problem if you assume that the job of the ombudsman or public editor is to ensure objectivity. In truth the job of the ombudsman is to explain to the ignorant masses what journalism is. That's why Hoyt has chosen to defend giving op-ed space to the representative of a terror organization but questioned the decision to give op-ed space to a(n apparently) reformed criminal or *gasp* a neo-conservative.

Journalism involves some really odd moral calculations. Hoyt's job is to defend them, not to ensure greater transparency, accuracy or objectivity.

I know that a lot of conservatives bashed Dan Okrent the first public editor of the Times. What was refreshing about him is that he possessed a candor that has been sorely lacking from his successors.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:06 AM

A changing of the guard

As I wrote last week, I'd like to thank all of you who helped in the various aspects of producing Haveil Havalim. I don't remember what I thought of Haveil Havalim when I started it, but in three years it has grown pretty big. It also appears to be one of the longest running blog carnivals on the web. I greatly appreciate that Jack's Shack volunteered to take over administration of the project when I announced that I was stepping down.

Jack has been the most frequent host of Haveil Havalim over the past three years. Hopefully he'll get more volunteers than I have.

I'd just like to share a few observations.

1) I haven't counted recently, but last time I did that about half the entries were submitted and half were gleaned by the host.
2) While I like to encourage submissions, it's important to keep in mind that the time involved in putting together an edition of Haveil Havalim is about 3 hours.
3) Ideally a blogger should submit one or two posts for Haveil Havalim. It shouldn't be the host's job to sift through someone else's submissions. It is more time consuming than you might think.
4) A blogger shouldn't wait until the last minute to send submissions. Roughly one third of the posts are submitted on the last day. If the host is working on assembling Haveil Havalim during the week, this means a lot of last minute reconfiguring.
5) Submitting a post is not license to have it included. Haveil Havalim is done at the host's/hostess's discretion. There is one rule that I've regretted violating. I linked to a few posts that included profanity. That was a red line I never should have crossed. But again each host is different.
6) I expect that Jack will probably attract more participants given that he's not as set in his ways as I am.
7) I wish that more of the high traffic Jewish/Israel blogs would link to the host especially when they have a post included. Obviously the inclusion is often done without a submission and reciprocal links are voluntary. But such linkage would be beneficial to the J-Blogosphere overall. I very much appreciate those who do. I just wish that there were more.

Again thanks to all of you who have participated. I expect that under Jack's leadership Haveil Havalim will become even greater.

UPDATE: Whoops, I forgot this. If you have a post for the Kosher Cooking Carnival please submit it by Wednesday.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 5:41 AM

January 20, 2008

Haveil Havalim #150







Welcome to the January 20, 2008 edition of haveil havalim.

Contents
Post of the Week
Israel
Judaism
Politics
Abuse of Power
History
Antisemitism
Personal
Torah
Phoning it in
Humor

Post of the week



My Shrapnel recalls the terror attack in which she was injured in Helpless .
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Israel



Letters of Thought presents Mottel in the Holy Land, with, of course, stunning pictures.

Secular Blasphemy presents Israel's economy outperforms Europe, US. I guess it shows what you can do when you're interested in building up your society instead of looking for handouts.

Contentions.Noah Pollak gives some specific examples in The Shiny Shekel.

The Muqata جميل فيالمقاطعة presents an account of Miracle Girl; The Wedding of Rachel Sharansky.

Hashmonean.com writes about a recent military advance in Extended Range: Jericho III Israeli Missile Test.

me-ander observes the coming of global warming to Israel in Bursting Pipes.

The Israel Situation presents The Israel Situation: Religious Bus Lines posted at , saying, "A commentary on the Religious-Secular divide on "Kosher Bus Lines"."

Esser Agaroth presents A Likely Story, saying, "Do not be fooled by the "new" YeSh"A Council leadership."
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Judaism



Lion of Zion writes about the merit due to Jews Who Adopt Babies.

me-ander shows full cabinets that will have to be emptied and reflects that The Countdown Begins!.

Schvach - פני דל. presents Why Judaism is Important – Part Three (I Think).

Lionden Landing presents Closure, saying, "Plans for celebrating our first Havdalah as a family."

My Right Word presents Kapara. Oops. saying, "Nu, so how much could Kapparot cost you? MyRightWord knows."

LIFE-of-RUBIN presents A glimpse into the life of R' Menachem Shmuel Dovid Halevi Rachik A”H.

The Hedgehog Blog presents the disturbing case of how Canadian Doctors Try to Cut Off Life Support of Elderly Patient Against Wishes of Him and His Family.

Schvach - פני דל wonders what kind profession is NASCAR for a good Jewish boy in Nicht Fűr derJuden.

Shira bat Sarah presents Community Needs , saying, "Rebuildin our shul, Beth Israel, has run into roadblocks. From insurance issues to construction bids coming in at double than expected, to families having to move because their homes or places of business destroyed by Hurricane Katrina: Congregation Beth Israel in Biloxi Mississippi needs more help."

Not Quite Perfect the official artist of Haveil Havalim presents Tu B'Shvat 5768.

JewsByChoice.Org presents How Do You "Do" Shabbat? saying, "As Jews we are all quite unique and diverse. In this post I share how I do Shabbat. Be sure to check the comments, lots of neat Shabbat stories there. Oh, and JewsByChoice.Org is NOT only for converts. We all CHOOSE to be observant..and that too is a choice."

BARBARA'S TCHATZKAHS asks IS STOP SNITCHING A JEWISH VALUE?.

Fortunately, Cross-Currents answers "no" in Silver Lining of the LA Scandal Cloud .
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Politics



It's Almost Supernatural writes about the missing details in Bad Reporting All Round.

Backspin presents a corrective Today's Terror: By the Numbers. To keep up with the daily news look for Israelly Cool's liveblogging updates.

Mere Rhetoric reduces the absurdity of the "peace process" to a great title Abbas To Israel: I Won't Take Any More Of Your Land If You Keep Defending Yourselves.

Rubicon3 wonders who ought to be called Friends of Israel?.

In a post that was cited by Daniel Pipes The Muqata جميلفيالمقاطعة writes about a shocking reversal in Censoring Bush's call for Palestinian “right of return”.

Jewish Current Issues observes more reversals in Stuck in the Tight Sequentiality of the Roadmap.

snapped shot presents That's One Powerful Candle. Note that there's a shadow from a table leg that cannot possibly be coming from a flash!

Working off an excellent Jeff Jacoby column Elder of Ziyon presents The limits of reliance.

My Right Word presents They're Out saying, "Yisrael Medad notes the Left-wing hypocrisy while displaying a poster of the teenaged identification refusers just released from prison."

SimplyJews writes about a fellow who's nearly as ubiquitous as Edward Said once was in Norman Finkelstein in Lebanon: when the unmentionable meets the unspeakable.

The Spine writes about the failure of the Palestinians to create functioning insitutions of government The Price of Shedding Blood.

Israel Matzav writes about The purchase of Shalom House in Hebron. Amazingly buying up Jewish property that was taken by force is somehow controversial.

Bookworm Room writes about sympathy for Charles Enderlin in Israel in More fake but accurate ? this time from Israel.

Guide to the Perplexed notes a surprising revelation from Enderlin arafat faked.

My Right Wordpresents Cost? It Provides Dividends saying, "MyRightWords takes on the London Times' cartoonist"

J O S H U A P U N D I T reports Olmert Government Loses A Major Coalition Partner. As yet there has been no follow up action to force the government to fall.

YID With LID presents Faith in Fatah Will NOT BRING PEACE. I would think this is obvious. But for some it, alas, is not.

YID With LID looks at the President's recent trip to the Middle East and concludes All I Ever Really Needed to Know About the Middle East I learned From Bush's Trip (With Apologies to Robert Fulgham).

Judeopundit presents Michael Lerner on the "handful of unknown people who are bombing Sderot". Apparently the fellow responsible for the "politics of meaning" doesn't know the meaning of "terrorists."

Jon Swift presents How Bobby Fischer Won the Cold War saying, "Young, handsome, brash, spoiled, somewhat insane, Bobby Fischer became a role model for American youth when he beat Soviet grandmaster Boris Spassky in the 1972 World Chess
Championship. Sure, Fischer, who was probably the greatest chess player who ever lived, was anti-Semitic (although his mother was Jewish), renounced his American citizenship after he was arrested in Japan for violating sanctions against the former Yugoslavia, and rejoiced on September 11 saying he wanted to "see the U.S. wiped out," but nobody is perfect. For me he will always be an American hero."
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Abuse of Power



A contributor at Mystical Paths Blog & Emunah Paths Podcasts is called in for interrogation and ... INTIMIDATION ! ! !.

Shiloh Musings writes about some teenagers who found themselves in the Wrong Place, Wrong Time.

The (not) Forgotten Prisoners of Zion presents The (not) Forgotten Prisoners of Zion: Daughters Of Zion, saying, "Two posts in one regarding the plight of a group of teen aged girls in thrown into the Israeli prison system."

Israel Matzav notes some awfully convenient timing in Just a coincidence? Lieberman's daughter interrogated.

treppenwitz writes about those who are curiously silent in ... but when they came for me it was too late..

And yet somehow Israel Matzav observes that helping Israeli's enemies actually brings some rewards in Knesset to pay retirement grant, monthly pension to traitor Bishara.

YID With LID tells how British Parliament Called on to Investigate JEWISH CONSPIRICY. Apparently Walt and Mearsheimer's ideas are finding practical applications across the ocean.
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History



Yourish.com writes about another "inconvenient" archaeological find in More proof of Torah.

Life in Israel presents Adventures in Eretz Yisrael: Central Shomron: Avarta - the hornet's nest.

And SimplyJews presents more recent history inWerner Theodore Barazetti - another hero of Kindertransporte.

Likelihood of Success reflects on President Bush's recent comment and George McGovern's recent recolleciton in We?re all sorry now.
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Antisemitism



Working off Maryland Conservatarian's post, Maryland Weekly takes aim at Ms. Magazine's ms.fire from the Left in MD Conservatarian: "You Go Girls!" | Maryland Weekly.

The Colossus of Rhodey.Hube presents Hugo Chᶥz's next scapegoats: The Jews More here: Local Jews Feeling Vulnerable in Chavez's Venezuela.

Solomonia presents Solomonia: University of Rochester Distances Itself From Gandhi Statement. Gandhi has now resigned his position and the editors of "On Faith" have offered a mealy mouthed apology.
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Personal



BARBARA'S TCHATZKAHS presents BLOG BULLIES & BLOG SNOBS - Part II.

Tamara Eden asks Do a Mitzvah?Help some kids? saying, "An easy way to do a mitzvah, donate $1 or $100, whatever works. The money will go to purchase technological equipment to help me help my students."
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Torah



Daf notes teaches The Law of the Kingdom is the Law.

Dixie Yid presents Changing Minhagim to Reflect Changing Values posted at Thoughts on life and Chassidus, saying, "This post discusses the pros, cons and timing of changing one's minhagim."

Schvach - פני דל points to some interesting lessons and instructs us to …Now Go And Learn!.
For all the attention given Bobby Fischer, it's nice to read of someone who was proud of his Judaism. He wasn't famous, but he will be remembered positively, for he looked out for his own.
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Phoning it in


Seraphic Secret participates in a radio interview with me and recounts his experience in Barely awake on the radio.
There was a blogger roundtable with Amb. Dore Gold at One Jerusalem. Mere Rhetoric has details.
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Humor



Israeli Satire Laboratory introduces a new Batman villain in Settlements Frozen After Bush Visit.

the Dry Bones Blog presents Our Dopey Leadership.
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That concludes this edition. Submit your blog article to the next edition of
haveil havalim
using our carnival submission form.
Past posts and future hosts can be found on our blog carnival index page.



Technorati tags:

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Posted by SoccerDad at 10:06 AM

Beethoven as Rapist

Wall Street Journal Online has a good current article about Beethoven's Ninth, including the following odd interlude:

Naturally, the Ninth Symphony has its critics, and chief among them is a new breed of musicologist who sees the organizing principle of Western art music -- its reliance on the gravitational pull of tonal centers, and the artful control of musical tension and resolution -- as a direct reflection of the male libido and its primal urge toward domination. One of the leading figures of this school of thought, Susan McClary, found in the opening movement of Beethoven's masterpiece the "murderous rage of a rapist incapable of attaining release" (in her article "Getting Down Off the Beanstalk"; she subsequently toned down the language for a reprint in a published collection, but the sentiments remained the same).
According to the ever-useful Wikipedia, here is a fuller quote of McClary's original passage:
The point of recapitulation in the first movement of the Ninth is one of the most horrifying moments in music, as the carefully prepared cadence is frustrated, damming up energy which finally explodes in the throttling murderous rage of a rapist incapable of attaining release.
And here is how she revised it:
The point of recapitulation in the first movement of Beethoven's Ninth Symphony unleashes one of the most horrifyingly violent episodes in the history of music. The problem Beethoven has constructed for this movement is that it seems to begin before the subject of the symphony has managed to achieve its identity.
What's "horrifyingly violent" about that? Incomplete revisions endanger coherence. Unless you're Beethoven maybe.

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 4:04 AM

Qassam Brigades Info: "What if the Zionist entity executed its threatens and assassinated your leaders, How your response will be look like?"

This is from an interview-style article at Ezzedeen Al-Qassam Brigades Information Office entitled "Abu Obaida, the English spokesman, answers important Questions about the Brigades." I'll just post some of the more interesting ones:

What is the justification behind the martyrdom operations against the " Israeli" civilians?

There is no justification for targeting civilians. It is against Islam to deliberately kill unarmed civilians during jihad. In addition, our doctrine is to target the enemies army, security services, and support apparatus. But it is known that Zionist society is a militarized society. Service in the army is mandatory; and reserve duty continues past the age of 40. Our determined stance is that unarmed persons on both sides of the conflict should be left out of the fighting. However, we will not accept giving the enemy a free hand against our civilians . . .

The politicians in the Zionist entity have plans to execute more bloody operations against the brigades and Hamas, what can you say about that?

They have been doing that for 20 decades. Nothing new here. They have failed to eliminate us; and their failure, Allah-willing, will continue till we attain all our rights.

What if the Zionist entity executed its threatens and assassinated your leaders, How your response will be look like?

We do not and will not discuss details. But let us compare Hamas before and after the assassinations of Sheikh Yassin, Eng. Abu Shanab, and Dr. Rantisi. We have gained strength from these painful losses; and our organization has become more powerful. We are not a figurehead organization; we are a resistance movement with deep roots in our Palestinian, Arab and Islamic culture. We are only the tip of the iceberg of a nation of hundreds of millions of freedom-loving Muslims.

What is your message to the Zionist entity?

Our message is clear. We will not give up a single right of ours; and we will continue the struggle till our rights are restored. Till then the sword will be the judge between us . . .

How does one become a Member of Al Qassam In Gaza?

Al-Qassam chooses its members. We do not have an open registration policy.

I guess the booster club is open.
Why does Hamas stay silent about kouffaar regimes who make their support for Abbas and al-Fatah?

Our struggle is against the Zionist enemy. We are not in a war against non-Muslims or against Muslims who support parties that act against the resistance. However, we make it clear that we will defend our resistance project with all our strength. We will not allow any party to interfere or hinder our resistance action.

How come Ezzedeen al-Qassam don't punish these regimes?

We take actions, covert and visible. However, our main enemy is the Zionist occupation. We will not let this enemy rest by getting involved in other conflicts . . .

Will Hamas make the most of its weaponry and existing capabilities, by increasing the usefulness of its weapons? This can be done readily by adapting Qassam rockets to carry new warheads like smoke, teargas, anti tank, incendiary and cluster sub-munitions. It can also include the use of thermite warheads on rockets and hand grenades. Thermite will melt any Zionist armored vehicles and structures.

We are doing our best to upgrade our capabilities . . .

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 2:09 AM

Dissident Voice: Zahar "has saved more Jewish lives . . . than . . . Olmert. And how has he been rewarded?"

No good deed goes unpunished:

Hamas’s second in command, Mahmoud al Zahar, has saved more Jewish lives in his short tenure as Palestinian Foreign Minister, than Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert. And how has he been rewarded?

Yesterday his son, Hussam al Zahar, was shot dead while defending a civilian enclave in the Palestinian territory by a roving band of Israeli troops. The young man was not connected to any terrorist action. He is simply got in the way of an Israeli bullet and now he’s dead. End of story.

18 other Palestinian men were killed in the attack which has been condemned by foreign leaders around the world. But not in the United States where such barbarity is considered laudable.

Even American stooge, Mahmoud Abbas, blasted the raid saying, “What happened today is a massacre, a slaughter against the Palestinian people. Our people cannot keep silent over these massacres.”

There are photos in Aljazeera of the elder al Zahar offering a final prayer over the corpse of his dead son. It is very sad. This is his second son to be killed by the Israelis. His eldest son was killed in a bombing raid two years ago that was aimed at him. Al Zahar still has not recovered.

As part of the democratically-elected government of the Palestinian people, al Zahar supported Hamas suspension of all suicide bombings within Israel.

How many Jewish lives have been saved by the directive?

At the same time, Israel’s vain and stupid Prime Minister, Ehud Olmert–whose public approval is a paltry 4%–is responsible for the deaths of 113 Israeli soldiers by his bloody and pointless invasion of Lebanon a year ago.

Consider the paradox: Hamas leaders are now saving more Jewish lives than Israel’s own Prime Minister. What bitter irony. [...]

This article kinda makes you want to say "Don't tase me, Bro."

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 12:08 AM

January 19, 2008

Al-Jazeera has contacts with Israelis because "the knowledge about the enemy's opinion would help the Muslim media to consolidate their position"

Al-Jazeera addresses Muslims concerns. From IRIB:

Aljazeera News Director Waddah Khanfar acknowledged that most of Arab media and television channels have proved little efficient to reflect the realities in the world of Islam, not least Palestine.

"In my opinion, there is a news vacuum regarding the Palestinian issue," he told Qodsna reporter Wednesday.

"News coverage is not enough. We must also analyze and examine the Palestinian developments," he added.

"The problem is that the Palestinian issue has undergone daily developments. This would make the audience fed up. We must renovate the issue by analysis and examination of the details," he encouraged.

Asked why the Aljazeera network keeps ties with the Israeli officials, the director general said that the knowledge about the enemy's opinion would help the Muslim media to consolidate their position.

"Interviews with Israeli officials never means normalization of ties and I don't think any one would read the interviews as that," he added.

"Israelis too has criticized us. In the recent war against Lebanon they refused to allow our reporters to operate," he added.

Asked about Aljazeera news policies about the Palestinian issue, Khanfar said the TV Network has provided its staff with news guidelines, called "professional media attitude manual," the main aim of which to teach the staff to cover news material responsibly.

They must loan it to CNN. That would explain a lot.
"Our editorial policy recognizes the Palestinian dead as martyrs. It is fortunate that many giant media do not observe the idea," he added.
That was probably supposed to read "unfortunate."

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 10:11 PM

January 18, 2008

Bobby fischer square up

via memeorandum

Chess champion Bobby Fischer died

Bobby Fischer, the reclusive chess genius who became a Cold War hero by dethroning the Soviet world champion in 1972 and later renounced his American citizenship, has died. He was 64.

I first learned of Bobby Fischer when I was about 9 or 10 and someone bought me "The Jew in American Sport" that featured profiles of 3 chess players: Emanual Lasker, Sammy Reshevsky and Bobby Fischer. Given that Bobby Fischer first gained notice as a chess player when he was only a few years older than I was at the time, he became something of an idol. Of course my chess playing abilities were never championship caliber. But I don't think that I comprehended that at the time. (See Just One Minute too.)

(It did happen that I had the opportunity to play Sammy Reshevsky at a demonstration as a freshman at YU. He played 30 students at once and won 29 games and drew one. Needless to say he beat me with ease. Bill Jempty, though, got a chance to get drubbed by Fischer. Of course, he's also a more serious chess player than I am.)

In the Mad Genius of Bobby Fischer Bill Ordine writes about the state of sports and, I guess, detente at that time:

I was there for Fischer-Spassky. I was in the Navy, stationed at the NATO base in Keflavik doing pretty much what I still do. I was a Navy journalist. In between my normal duties, I occasionally got to go to the big city down the road. One of those days, I covered the chess match. I recall it went on forever and the hot dogs were made of lamb. And even with the confrontation being what it was -- the young, brash American genius from Brooklyn against the established Soviet champion -- it became increasingly difficult to root for Fischer as his eccentricities overwhelmed even an overwhelming sense of nationalism many of us felt at the height of the Cold War.

In short, Fischer was a jerk complaining about everything, making incessant demands. Spassky was gracious and urbane. Imagining what might happen to the Soviet back home if he lost, you could almost have some sympathy for him. In the end, Fischer prevailed and it was a great triumph for the U.S. But at the same time, the Summer Olympics were going on in Germany. The United States lost that controversial basketball game to the Soviets. And, of course, the Munich Massacre, where members of the Israeli delegation were killed, stunned the world and obliterated everything else going on in sports.

It's funny that he was there. We flew over Iceland one of the days the match was going on; though I don't know if a match was going at the time or if we even flew over Reykjavik. We were on our way back from Israel at the time.

A few years ago, amateur chess player and (one time) professional psychiatrist, Charles Krauthammer asked "Did Chess make him crazy?"

Why such proximity between genius and madness in chess? There are three possible explanations. One is that chess is a monomania. You study it intensively day and night from childhood if you are going to rise to the ranks of the greats, and that kind of singular focus constricts your reality and makes you more vulnerable to distortions of it. "A chess genius," wrote George Steiner, "is a human being who focuses vast, little understood mental gifts and labors on an ultimately trivial human enterprise. Almost inevitably, this focus produces pathological symptoms of nervous stress and unreality." Plausible, perhaps, but there are lots of folks who are monomaniacal in other "trivial" spheres and who come out psychically intact. Tiger Woods was raised from infancy to be a great golfer and is not just intact but graceful and charming. The ranks of great golfers, swimmers and Dominican shortstops are not more noticeably skewed to the deranged than the general population.

Well, then, this must be monomania of a certain sort. Chess is a particularly enclosed, self-referential activity. It's not just that it lacks the fresh air of sport, but that it lacks connections to the real world outside--a tether to reality enjoyed by the monomaniacal students of other things, say, volcanic ash or the mating habits of the tsetse fly. As Stefan Zweig put it in his classic novella The Royal Game, chess is "thought that leads nowhere, mathematics that add up to nothing, art without an end product, architecture without substance."

But chess has a third--and unique--characteristic that is particularly fatal. It is not just monomaniacal and abstract, but its arena is a playing field on which the other guy really is after you. The essence of the game is constant struggle against an adversary who, by whatever means of deception and disguise, is entirely, relentlessly, unfailingly dedicated to your destruction. It is only a board, but it is a field of dreams for paranoia.

However in Bobby Fischer's perfect death Gabriel Schoenfeld concludes not:

And while there have been several deranged grandmasters, whether the frequency of mental illness in this group is higher than the average rate among geniuses is doubtful.

But not before he recalls the contents of a disturbing letter that Fischer wrote to the Encyclopedia Judaica.

Two years later, he wrote to the Encylopedia Judaica asking for his entry to be removed (the underlinings are as in the original):

Gentlemen:

Knowing what I do about Judaism, I was naturally distressed to see that you have erroneously featured me as a Jew in ENCYCLOPAEDIA JUDAICA. Please do not make this mistake again in any future editions of your voluminous, pseudo-authoritative publication. I am not today, nor have I ever been a Jew, and as a matter of fact, I am uncircumcised.

I suggest rather than fraudulently misrepresenting me to be a Jew, and dishonestly abusing my name and reputation as a kind of advertising gimmick to improve the image of your religion (Judaism), you try to promote your religion on its own merits — if indeed it has any!

In closing, I trust that I am not being unrealistically optimistic, in thanking you in advance for your anticipated cooperation in this matter.

Truly yours,
Bobby Fischer
The World Chess Champion

A passionate hatred of Jews was to stay with Fischer for the rest of his life.

Whatever the source of his madness, Bobby Fischer was once the best in his field.

Crossposted at Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 2:06 PM

Feckless in the forward

I read the editorial "Reckless in Gaza" in today's Forward with a growing sense of disbelief. Then I reached this paragraph.

Now, however, the whole deal may be off, including Shalit’s freedom. Among the dead in the Gaza incursion was the 24-year-old son of Muhammad Zahar, a leader of the hawkish wing (yes, there is one) of Hamas. Zahar is now gaining stature along with sympathy, strengthening Hamas opponents of cease-fire and accommodation.

"[Y]es there is one"!?!?!? There's a "hawkish wing" to Hamas? Really? Why, I never knew.

I can't quite grasp the naiveté of that line. Do the editors mean to imply that there's a "dovish wing" to Hamas or are they assuming that such is true? And what does "hawkish" mean in this context. In the context of a legitimate government it would refer to those who would more readily resort to force. But given that Hamas is a terrorist organization, by definition it's "hawkish" in that it believes in the use of force against civilians.

What's the gist of the editorial? Israel ought not to fight back. Fighting back is counterproductive. Earlier the editorial informs us:

In the past two years, Israeli forces killed 810 Palestinians in Gaza, as the director of the Shin Bet security service, Yuval Diskin, told a Cabinet meeting last week. Of the total, about 200 were not clearly linked to terrorist organizations — that is, bystanders. A separate study by the Ha’aretz newspaper found that the civilian toll was actually higher, totaling about 360, of whom 152 were under age 18, including 48 children under age 14.

Israel’s death toll from terrorism in 2007, reported this month by the human rights group B’Tselem and confirmed by the military, totaled 13, including seven civilians. That was the lowest toll since 1999. The toll that year, the last full year that the Oslo accords were in effect, was zero.

For all that, the Palestinian war against Israel “is not being checked, but is actually intensifying,” the internal security minister, Avi Dichter, reported at the same Cabinet meeting. Dichter, a former Shin Bet chief, estimated that there are some 20,000 Palestinian fighters in Gaza, of whom Israel has killed about 5%. He said the army should shift gears and step up its efforts. It wasn’t clear how much killing he thought would suffice.

I find it fascinating that the editorial states that

the last full year that the Oslo accords were in effect, was zero.
Are the editors implying a causal relationship here? Make peace and there will be no terror? Well how do they explain the terror of 1994, 1995, and 1996?

And it's interesting that 1999 was a year of no terror. For half the year Binyamin Netanyahu was Prime Minister. But terror started up again the next year, with a vengeance, when Ehud Barak was Prime Minister. Netanyahu was widely vilified (especially by folks sympathetic to this sort of mushy-minded thinking) as hurting peace. But under his leadership - when he actually had the gall to demand compliance from the Palestinians - terror actually dropped. It picked up when his successor, Barak tried to make peace. Hmm. Is there a correlation?

Let's go the last paragraph. Minister Dichter estimates that Israel has killed 5% of 20000 terrorists in Gaza. So how does the editorial respond.

It wasn’t clear how much killing he thought would suffice.

What shortsightedness! My guess is that if 95% of Gaza's terrorists survive, then there aren't nearly enough of them are scared of Israel yet. Need Dichter spell out an estimate? Or maybe we ought to just let Israel continue fighting Hamas as it needs to. Killing the significant leaders of the organization might also have a positive effect on terror as we've seen in the past when Israel killed Sheikh Yassin and Dr. Rantisi as Elder of Ziyon observed.

I could go on, but the whole editorial is based on assumptions that have been disproved time and again. Israel must kill those who seek to destroy it. It's not a matter of bloodthirstiness, but of necessity.

Then there's a column by Markus Bouillon and Michael Shtender-Auerbach that argues Push for Peace Now, Before Bush and Abbas Step Down

Like no other Palestinian leader, Abbas has been committed to peaceful coexistence with Israel and a negotiated, nonviolent end of the Israeli occupation. Reaching back to the 1980s, he was the first and most important proponent of negotiating with Israel. He was a key protagonist during the Oslo years, and in 1995 presented the first-ever draft of an Israeli-Palestinian final status accord with Yossi Beilin.

Abbas also spearheaded attempts to reform the Palestinian Authority as its first prime minister, but was pushed out of office by the self-serving Yasser Arafat. Still, when Arafat passed away, it was Abbas who inherited the mantle of the unifying Palestinian leader. There are simply no alternatives to him.

Even if Abbas was convinced to run again, in the absence of a true peace process or signaled agreement, he would most likely lose. Worse still, as of now it is entirely unclear who might succeed him.

Even assuming that this columns portrayal of Abbas as a moderate is correct, what does it say when even now, 14+ years since Oslo, he's the only Palestinian of political importance who is dedicated to coexistence with Israel. Clearly, he hasn't built a constituency for these views. If there's no one who could carry the mantle of coexistence in negotiations, there is also no one could do it maintain peace once Israeli concessions were agreed to and implemented. Even if Israel could come to an agreement with Abbas as head of the truncated PA, whose left to carry on those peaceful policies. When you're only choice with the necessary "street credibility and popular appeal" is a man convicted of multiple counts of murder, you realize that the problem isn't the failure to make peace but the absence of anyone to make peace with.

The Forward ought to be a bulwark against such dangerous nonsense, instead it promotes it.

In a different (but parallel) context, Asaf Romirowsky writes:

A disturbing variable in the equation, which complicates the situation further, is the unwillingness of many American Jews to take a strong stand on the Arab-Israeli conflict. In particular, rabbis and Jewish educators -- no matter where they stand on the political spectrum -- often behave in an apologetic manner when it comes to Israel, rather than make assertive arguments from a Zionist point of view.

This unwillingness to confront the pro-Palestinian propaganda being nurtured by Middle Eastern-studies departments is one of the major sources of confusion among Jewish students. For example, so long as liberal American Jews fail to speak up about the issue of post-1948 Jewish refugees from Arab lands, and instead, merely allow the discussion to center on a Palestinian "right of return," Jewish students will be on the defensive.

If pro-Israel advocates on campus are discussing the Jewish state only in terms of "Israeli oppression," rather than in debunking such notions, the result is always going to favor the anti-Israel forces. That is why college campuses today have become podiums for those who denigrate Israel, as is apparent from the different human rights, anti-globalization and anti-imperialism groups that have adopted the Palestinian cause.

Here we have a Jewish newspaper, that instead of fighting the propaganda undermining Israel's right to defend itself (and to exist) contributes to the cause of its enemies in the name of phony humanitarianism.

Crossposted at Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:42 AM

Council speak 01/18/08

The council has spoken.

The winning entry among the council members was Colossus of Rhodey's Ed. Schools: They're Awful (for the most part) in which he describes an experience where students learn more about educational fads than real skills for the classroom. The runner up among Council members was WolfHowling's The Race Card, Liberal Guilt and Our Next President an examination of identity politics in the Democratic primary.

The winning non-council post was Ezra Levant's statement on being investigated for hateful speech: Kangaroo Court. The first runner up, Covenant Zone, Ashamed to be a Canadian was basically the same thing, framed by a paragraph or two. Barack Obama -- I'm Sure We've Seen Him Somewhere Before at Guardian Unlimited was about the ephemeral nature of Sen. Obama's substance. Finally, The Media Does It Again at Winds of Change was about another non-story that the NYT conflated into a trend.

My own nominee Ms. Magazine Refuses to Publish Ad About Israel's Most Powerful Women
at Yourish.com tied with Seraphic Secret's expose CNN reporter as Terror enabler tied for third.

Also the Watcher posted the Results of the Watcher of Weasels Awards for 2007 compiled from the winning (or tied for first before the tiebreaker) here.

If you're a blogger and you like what you see, please consider submitting your own post to the competition. Just followt the rules here. With only 2 first place finishes all year I was pretty far down in the rankings.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 4:13 AM

If ... you must 01/18/2008

If you haven't read Irony is officially dead at Secular Blasphemy; you must.
If you haven't read Un-believable at LostINto2; you must.
h/t Wolf Howling - However I'm partial to #10.
If you haven't read An anniversary bumper sticker at Michelle Malking; you must.
If you haven't read The sky ain't fallin' at Don Surber; you must.
If you haven't read From One of the High School Asteroid Discoverers: at the Volokh Conspiracy; you must.
And see Now t hat is cool! too.
If you haven't read Jules Crittenden's Stupid Criminal; you must.
The students in the previous item were more impressive.
If you haven't read Cultural Immersion at Snapped Shot; you must.
If you haven't read Meryl Yourish's AP Equates bombing civilians with targeting terrorists; you must.
If you haven't read Idiotic lawsuit of the day at Oyvay Blog; you must.
It sounds a bit like the Incredibles, doesn't it?
If you haven't seen Mech Mosaic at Not Quite Perfect; you must.
If you haven't 14 years ago the Earth Shook at Jack's Shack; you must.
If you haven't read Michael Lerner on the "handful of unknown people who are bombing Sderot" at JudeoPundit; you must.
If you haven't read the Return of SoB at Israelly Cool!; you must.
I thought about blogging this. But he already did.
If you haven't Peace Now will have to publicize EU contributions at Daled Amos; you must.
If you haven't read What did the Syrian Mufti tell the UN Parliament? at Elder of Ziyon; you must.
If you haven't read Kurtzer on Egypt at Israel Matzav; you must.

Posted by SoccerDad at 2:32 AM

Will a clinton nomination suppress the vote in november?

Maybe Charles Krauthammer's onto something with Black Dreams, White Liberals.

First Krauthammer notes the history:

The principal objection was that Clinton appeared to be disrespecting Martin Luther King Jr., relegating him to mere enabler for Lyndon Johnson. But it is certainly true that Johnson was the great emancipator, second only to Abraham Lincoln in that respect. This was a function of the times. King was fighting for black enfranchisement. Until that could be achieved, civil rights legislation could only be enacted by a white president (and a white Congress).

That does not denigrate King. It makes his achievement all the more miraculous -- winning a permanent stake in the system for a previously disenfranchised people, having begun with no political cards to play.

Here's where he finds fault with Sen. Clinton's remark:

In my view, the real problem with Clinton's statement was the implied historical analogy -- that the subordinate position King held in relation to Johnson, a function of the discrimination and disenfranchisement of the time, somehow needs recapitulation today when none of those conditions apply.

The analogy Clinton was implying was obvious: I'm Lyndon Johnson, unlovely doer; he's Martin Luther King, charismatic dreamer. Vote for me if you want results.

Forty years ago, that arrangement -- white president enacting African American dreams -- was necessary because discrimination denied blacks their own autonomous political options. Today, that arrangement -- white liberals acting as tribune for blacks in return for their political loyalty -- is a demeaning anachronism. That's what the fury at Hillary was all about, although no one was willing to say so explicitly.

Maybe he's reading too much into the statement. (Maryland Conservatarian, for example, didn't see things this way. And, frankly, I agreed with him.)

However consider other signs of black disenchantment with Hillary Clinton. Red State reports:

Mayor C. Jack Ellis, the recently term limited out of office Mayor of Macon, GA, called in the show. Mayor Ellis was the first black mayor of this racially charged city. And he is hopping mad at the Clintons. So mad, in fact, he's off to South Carolina to help organize the vote for Barack Obama.

He said this morning that the African-American community stood by the Clintons through eight years of everyone else abandoning them. After all (and this is me, not him), they took the Sister Souljah moment, they took welfare reform. Hell, they took Ginsberg and Breyer. How did the Clintons' pay them back?

They didn't.

Or looking at a larger sample, African-Americans in Michigan voted nearly 70% for uncommitted and only 25% for Hillary Clinton.

For all the talk of the problems Republicans are having and how each candidate might alienate a critical segment of the base who will stay home in November, there's been precious little speculation of what might happen to the black vote in November should Sen. Clinton win the nomination.

Finally, Krauthammer's closing is brilliant:

The nation has become inured to the playing of the race card, but "our first black president" (Toni Morrison on Bill Clinton) and his consort are not used to having it played against them.

Bill is annoyed with Obama. As Bill inadvertently let on to Charlie Rose, it has nothing to do with race, and everything to do with entitlement. He had contemplated running in 1988, he confided to Charlie, but decided to wait. Too young, not ready. (A tall tale, highly Clintonian; but that's another matter.) Now it is Hillary's turn. The presidency is her due -- the ultimate in alimony -- and this young upstart refuses to give way.

But telling Obama to wait his turn is a tricky proposition. It sounds patronizing and condescending, awakening the kinds of racial grievances white liberals have spent half a century fanning -- only to find themselves now singed in the blowback, much to their public chagrin.

Who says there's no justice in this world?

UPDATE: WolfHowling doesn't think that the charges of racism will end with the Democratic nomination and sees the seeds of an even more divisive general election:

I can truly appreciate Krauthammer's enjoyment in this conundrum of our modern left, but I see in it a great potential for harm to our nation. As I stated in my post a few days ago, if Obama becomes the nominee and allows Republican's to be smeared with charges of racisim for any criticism they aim towards Obama, this portends to become a destructive and bloody Presidential campaign indeed.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 1:27 AM

Scalder gets off lightly

From the Baltimore Sun:

The 9-year-old boy went outside without his godmother's permission. His punishment was to sit in a bathtub as the woman filled it with five pots of boiling water.

When he emerged from the scalding water, the lower half of his body was covered in severe burns. The woman waited four days to take him to a hospital.

The facts read into the court record during Shamia Lawson's plea agreement in November were horrific, making her punishment yesterday in Baltimore Circuit Court all the more shocking to city prosecutors and the boy's relatives: six months behind bars. Lawson, 25, had been caring for her godson for several years at her West Baltimore apartment. She also has a young daughter of her own - whom she may be able to keep in her home.

Adding insult to injury:

She temporarily lost custody of the girl after the boy was burned, but city child protective services "saw fit to return her daughter to her," Nicholas Comaromi, Lawson's defense attorney, said in court yesterday. Lawson had been out on bail until yesterday.

Why didn't the judge impose a more severe sentence?

Circuit Judge John M. Glynn called the case "troubling," "disturbing" and "bad," and said there had to be "serious consequences for this."

Then he sentenced Lawson to 10 years in prison, with all but six months suspended. Explaining why in court, Glynn said, "The real point of a sentence like this is to deal with the defendant into the future."

He said he didn't think putting Lawson behind bars for several years "would be helping the situation" and said it would be up to the state-run Department of Social Services, which oversees Baltimore's child protective services, to decide what to do with the boy and the woman's biological daughter.

What did she say in her defense?

But she maintained that the scalding was not a punishment for his behavior, saying that the apartment had hot water problems and that they routinely added boiled water to raise the bath temperature.

This explains nothing. An idiot can tell the difference between very hot and scalding. But even let's say - for the sake of argument - one pot of boiling water might be understandable. But five?

But even one pot of boiling water defies belief. Water at about 105 degrees Fahrenheit will be uncomfortably hot.

But here's what the CPSC writes about tap water scalding:

Most adults will suffer third-degree burns if exposed to 150 degree water for two seconds. Burns will also occur with a six-second exposure to 140 degree water or with a thirty second exposure to 130 degree water. Even if the temperature is 120 degrees, a five minute exposure could result in third-degree burns.

The article only describes "severe burns" not what degree they are. Still, the CPSC says that a burn can occur in an adult with a 6 second exposure to 140 degree water. It strains credulity past the breaking point to believe that this assault was accidental.

The judge is concerned about disrupting the defendant's life, but here's the consequences of her actions:

Fairley, the boy's grandfather, dismissed Lawson's resume, though he said he thought the judge was influenced by it.

"No matter how educated you are, child abuse is child abuse," he said.

Fairley said the boy is still undergoing treatment and rehabilitation. He has had several skin-graft surgeries, and doctors worry about permanent damage.

What was the judge thinking?

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h/t Tom Marr

Posted by SoccerDad at 12:30 AM

January 17, 2008

Thursday is monday ...

Thursday is Monday at Elie's Expositions.

Posted by SoccerDad at 9:47 PM

Arabist apologia

via memeorandum

McClatchey's Washington Bureau provides an analysis of President Bush's recent tour of the Middle East, Bush departs Mideast with few apparent gains, experts say

President Bush wraps up a weeklong tour of the Middle East Wednesday, leaving many Mideast political observers mystified as to the purpose of the visit and doubtful that the president made inroads on his twin campaigns for Arab-Israeli peace and isolation for Iran.

Bush is heading back to Washington mostly empty-handed, said several analysts and politicians throughout the region. Arab critics deemed Bush's peace efforts unrealistic, his anti-Iran tirades dangerous, his praise of authoritarian governments disappointing and his defense of civil liberties ironic.

I guess the "experts" of the headline are "Arab critics." I'm not aware of any tirades the President threw on his trip. Are warnings about Iran's threat to the region so unreasonable?

And, since the Arab critics were the focus of the story we get this bit of nonsense.

The challenges were evident Tuesday. The Israeli military carried out an operation in Gaza that killed at least 18 Palestinians, including the 24-year-old son of Hamas leader Mahmoud Zahar, in the most violent day since the militant group seized control last year. Separately, a Palestinian sniper killed a young farmer from Ecuador who was working on an Israeli kibbutz near the border with Gaza.

Palestinians warned that the military raid could sour their talks with Israelis and undermine the momentum from Bush's visit to lead both parties back to the negotiating table.

"Skepticism on all sides is enormous," said Nicholas Pelham, a Jerusalem-based senior analyst with the International Crisis Group.

What's missing? Well for one thing the constant missile attacks from Gaza into Israel. And to quote the Palestinian warning about Israel's self-defense is to credit the "moderate" Mahmoud Abbas when he is declaring his lot with the terrorists of Hamas.

I agree that President Bush's trip didn't accomplish much. But it's largely because the so-called pro-American Arab states are more interested in appeasing Iran than in cooperating with the United States. This analysis is less a criticism of Bush than an apology for America's Arab "allies."

UPDATE: Daniel Pipes essentially criticizes President Bush for the same things from the other side. He gives President Bush credit for having good ideas in 4 areas: Radical Islam, pre-emptive war, and the Arab-Israeli conflict and democracy. He finds the President wanting in all four areas despite some promising starts. The end result Pipes laments is:

I respect Bush's benign motivation and good intentions while mourning his having squandered a record-breaking 90 percent job-approval rating following 9/11 and his bequeathing to the next president a polarized electorate, a military reluctant to use force against Iran, Hamas ruling Gaza, an Iraqi disaster-in-waiting, radical Islam on the ascendant, and unprecedented levels of global anti-Americanism.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:32 AM

Assignment desk - 01/17/2008

Jeff Jacoby wrote The Death of the Bush Doctrine. A number of bloggers have taken electrons to CRT's to expound on Jacoby's essay.

Digital Irony writes:

I had high hopes for Bush's "you're either with us or against us" policy of terrorist sponsoring states. The palestinians are definitely against us all. And when Abbas whines about the elimination of his supposed enemies (Hamas terrorists), you know his lip service to Bush and Rice is nothing more than lies and wolves in sheep's clothing.

Elder of Ziyon writes:

It is clear that both Bill Clinton and George Bush have great affinity and feelings for Israel. But it is equally clear that it is a mistake for Israel to rely on any promises, letters, or understandings from a third party when the subject is Israel's security. In the end, countries act in their own interests, and in the case of the current administration the Arab world has fooled the White House into thinking that they would support the West against Iran if only the Palestinian Arabs get what they want, no strings attached. Since the Iranian problem is truly a geopolitical threat to the West, the false linkage to Israel turns into something that Washington needs to address.

Contentions.Eric Trager writes:

But as far as American credibility is concerned, Rice’s statements do not bode well. Indeed, if the sudden push for Israeli-Palestinian peace is really all about building a broad coalition against Iran, Rice’s dismissal of the Road Map—which was supported by the U.N., E.U., and Russia after much arm-twisting—is truly counterintuitive. Moreover, what kind of message does it send when the Secretary of State kills her own administration’s peace plan because she finds the first steps too challenging?

If you (as a blogger) have written a response to this excellent article please e-mail me with a link to your post. Or if you've (as a blog read) seen a worthy commentary on Jacoby's column e-mail me a link. In either case I'll add a link and a snippet here.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:13 AM

Juggling carnival 01/17/2008

PICT0061.JPG

Incoming Carnivals

Dr. Sanity generously linked to a post of mine in this past Sunday's Carnival of the Insanities. She also linked to good friends Daled Amos (the second one overall, I think), Elder of Ziyon and Wolf Howling among others.

If you checked out this past Sunday's Carnival of Maryland at Annapolis politics you'd learn from West Virginian Don Surber that Rep. Dutch Ruppersberger is wrong when he seeks more federal funds to help the Chesapeake.

Thanks to “help” from earmarks, crab harvests in the Chesapeake Bay have fallen 41%. A few more billion and the crabs will be wiped out entirely.

And remember that entries for the next Kosher Cooking Carnival
are due soon.

Side Shows


Though the deadline has passed check out Seraphic Secret's Say the Word contest. Make a sentence with 3 obscure words courtesy of Futility Closet. Even though the deadline passed check out the entries. I think, though, that Kishke had the best. He did his in haiku. Now with prizes!

Posted by SoccerDad at 6:12 AM

Arutz Sheva Challenges Haaretz's Editorial Policy

Until Haaretz can see to the rape of Israel, it appears it is satisfying itself with the rape of free speech.

Arutz Sheva Director of English Media, Baruch Gordon, wrote to the Haaretz Editorial Board on its policy for comments:

To:Editorial Board
Haaretz Newspaper
English Edition
Fax: 03-6810012
Email: contact@haaretz.co.il

Dear Sirs,

I found of great interest your list of guidelines for publishing talkback comments which appear at the end of the article: "I Voted for a War Criminal."

I commend you for guarding "openness of dialogue" and stating that "Political orientation will have absolutely no bearing on whether a comment is posted or rejected."

However, your last criteria for deletion of a comment was puzzling: "Use of the phrase: 'There are no Palestinians' or derivatives thereof." Such statements are beyond the pale of openness of dialogue, according to your editorial policy.

This historical truth of no distinct Palestinian people was articulated by none other than former Israeli Prime Minister Golda Meir who said:

"There were no such thing as Palestinians. When was there an independent Palestinian people with a Palestinian state? It was either southern Syria before the First World War, and then it was a Palestine including Jordan. It was not as though there was a Palestinian people in Palestine considering itself as a Palestinian people, and we came and threw them out and took their country away from them. They did not exist."
Sunday Times, 15 June, 1969; The Washington Post (June 16, 1969)
But your readers won't be allowed to consider Golda's remarks since her political orientation on the issue of Palestinian peoplehood is not considered legitimate at Haaretz.

But, it's not just Golda who made the point. Many Arabs admitted that the campaign to utterly destroy the Jewish State unites Palestinians and not aspiration for statehood.

Palestine Liberation Organization executive committee member Zahir Muhsein said just that on March 31, 1977 in an interview with the Dutch newspaper Trouw:

"The Palestinian people does not exist. The creation of a Palestinian state is only a means for continuing our struggle against the state of Israel for our Arab unity. In reality today there is no difference between Jordanians, Palestinians, Syrians and Lebanese. Only for political and tactical reasons do we speak today about the existence of a Palestinian people, since Arab national interests demand that we posit the existence of a distinct "Palestinian people" to oppose Zionism.

For tactical reasons, Jordan, which is a sovereign state with defined borders, cannot raise claims to Haifa and Jaffa, while as a Palestinian, I can undoubtedly demand Haifa, Jaffa, Beer-Sheva and Jerusalem. However, the moment we reclaim our right to all of Palestine, we will not wait even a minute to unite Palestine and Jordan."

Would Zahir Muhsein's comment be deleted from your talkback?

Lebanese American Sharon Nader Sloan, Esq. noted in her article "The Big Lie" from 2001:

"…Did you know that for 19 years Jordan occupied and ruled the whole West Bank, including Jerusalem? ...All this time, …did we hear anything about a Palestinian state? No, we did not. Why not?
Because their never existed a Palestinian state. And in the entire history of nations, Jerusalem was never the capital of any country other than that of ancient Israel and modern Israel. So how can there be a claim on Jerusalem as the capital of a state that never existed?
[Palestine] is the name of a region -- just like Siberia is a region, not a country. There is no Siberian country, nor is there a Siberian people…

Some may argue that Golda's statement from 1977 is irrelevant today, as she would most probably recognize "new political realities." Now, wouldn't that question be fertile ground for legitimate argument in a talkback between political rivals on Israel's left and right?

But your current policy has disqualified historical truths that would otherwise be voiced by those of a certain political orientation. This, despite your assertion that "Political orientation will have absolutely no bearing on whether a comment is posted or rejected."

Your rule of deleting derivatives of the statement 'There are no Palestinians' does not coexist with your "guiding principle of openness of dialogue." One of them must go.

I urge you to retain your openness, and allow the political right to freely express historical truths which support its agenda.

I await your reply.

Respectfully,

Baruch Gordon
Director of English Media
Arutz Sheva, IsraelNationalNews.com

Just this Sunday, Israel Matzav posted about a bill to make bloggers responsible for all content on their blogs--including comments.

The latest trend?

Update: UPDATE: When I was mentioned this to Baruch Who, he asked whether according to the Haaretz guidelines it would be permitted to leave a comment questioning the connection of Jews to the Eretz Yisrael.

What do you think?

D

Crossposted on Daled Amos

Technorati Tag: and .

Posted by daledamos at 3:48 AM

January 16, 2008

Answers to musical monday #28

Here are the answers to Musical Monday #28 at Elie's Expositions. Since this was a joint project, I'm providing the answers.

As long as we're here, here's a trivia question with 3 parts.
Who was the original singer of 24?
What was his relationship to Fleetwood Mac?
What was his son's biggest (American) hit?

1) "It's just no good anymore since she went away"
One - Three Dog Night

2) "Why does what I'm saying hurt you?"
Breaking us in two - Joe Jackson

3) "...Can only be one, and one is a lonely number"
Two divided by Love - Grass Roots

4) "With the help, last night, of Daddy G."
Quarter to 3 - Gary U.S. Bonds

5) "Hey there fellow with the hair colored yellow"
Gimme three steps - Lynyrd Skynyrd

6) "You had no faith to lose, and you know it"
Positively 4th Street - Bob Dylan

7) "It's only half past twelve but I don't care"
It's 5 O'Clock Somewhere - Alan Jackson and Jimmy Buffett

8) "Not a shirt on my back, not a penny to my name"
500 Miles - Peter, Paul and Mary

9) "But I see his six strings laid against that wall"
6th Avenue Heartbreak - Wallflowers

10) "Flashing lights against the sky"
25 or 6 to 4 - Chicago

11) "There are stars in the southern sky"
Seven Bridges Road - C,S&N or Eagles

12) "But as soon as she said hello, I hung up the telephone line"
Just Seven Numbers - The Four Tops

13) "In Chicago, Richard Speck, accused murderer of nine student nurses."
7 O'clock News/silent Night - Simon and Garfunkel

14) "Hold me, love me, hold me, love me"
Eight days a week - Beatles

15) "It smelled like turpentine. It looked like Indian ink."
Love Potion #9 - The Searchers

16) "Pour myself a cup of ambition"
9 to 5 - Dolly Parton

17) "From a tenement window a transistor blasts"
10th Avenue Freezeout - Bruce Springsteen

18) "Today can last another million years, today could be the end of me"
11:59 - Blondie

19) "I'll love you 'till the clover has lost its perfume"
Twelfth of Never - Johnny Mathis

20) "Young girls are coming to the canyon"
Twelve-Thirty - The Mamas and the Papas

21) "Won't you tell your dad, 'Get off my back'?"
Thirteen - Big Star

22) "Your stupid girlfriends tell you that I'm to blame"
14 Years - Guns N' Roses

23) "Inside outside, nowhere is home"
Five-Fifteen - The Who

24) "You walked out of my dreams and into my arms"
You're Sixteen - Ringo Starr

25) "It was long ago and far away, the world was younger than today"
At Seventeen - Janis Ian

26) "Johnny and Eddie and me and Jimmy and Jack"
Sexy and Seventeen - Stray Cats

27) "I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart"
I'm Eighteen - Alice Cooper

28) "She don't remember the Queen of Soul"
Hey Nineteen - Steely Dan

29) "Your mother who neglected you owes a million dollars tax"
19th Nervous Breakdown - Rolling Stones

30) "She won't waste time on elementary talk"
20th Century Fox - Doors

Posted by SoccerDad at 8:29 PM

Modo on the middle east

In her inimitable manner, MoDo comments on President Bush's recent trip to the Middle East, "Faith, Freedom and Bling in the Middle East." This caught my eye.

Less than a week after the president arrived in the Middle East, three violent eruptions — an Israeli raid killing at least 18 Palestinians, 13 of whom were militants; an American Embassy car bombing in Beirut; and a luxury hotel suicide-bombing in Kabul — underscored how Sisyphean a task he has set for himself.

“This is one of the results of the Bush visit,” said Mahmoud Zahar, a Hamas leader, as he went to a Gaza hospital to see the body of his son, a militant killed in the battle. “He encouraged the Israelis to kill our people.”

Granted she's an opinion columnist, but Israel didn't just decide to go shooting up "militants" (the dictionary definition for these people is "terrorists," euphemism doesn't change what they are) once President Bush arrived. As evidence by January's Qassam calendar, Israel has been under attack quite a bit this month, prior to the 15th. My guess is that they just got some actionable intelligence.

But that's more forgivable than the lapse of a news organization as Mere Rhetoric points out.

There is in fact no quote about the attack from any Israeli politician, and nothing linking the daily bombardment of Sderot to today's raid. The only explanation for the raid is Hamas's murder of a kibbutz worker - which the article goes out of its way beforehand to point out happened after the raid started.

Maybe CNN just ran out of room after filling the article with paragraphs and paragraphs about Israeli "massacres," "spies," and "aggression against our people." You'd think they could have taken out one of the four "aggression" or "massacre" quotes to see what the Israeli Defense Ministry or Foreign Ministry had to say about the raid.

Oh well, at least the Israeli victims suffered only "minor injuries" and "light wounds" - which the article emphasizes twice just to make sure the message sinks in. Israeli sources had a different view of the injuries. The girl, by the by, is 5...

BTW, the problem with Modo isn't whether she's liberal or conservative. (BTW, I think that she's pretty clearly liberal, though I'm sure I'll get some arguments on that.) It's that she has one weapon in her arsenal: snark. And if that's all you're bringing to the fight it gets tired, really fast.

UPDATE: This was picked up by Buzztracker and Blogrunner.

via Blogrunner, I came to a post by Don Singleton that links to a Washington Post article that portrays Ms. Dowd as a bit of an ingrate.

Once she arrived in Jerusalem last Tuesday (the day of the New Hampshire primary), Dowd fell sick - and started second-guessing her decision to leave the campaign trail for the presidential bubble abroad. She was suffering some kind of stomach bug that left her nauseous, weak and feeling feverish.

"I'm not sure it was a New Hampshire fever or Jerusalem food poisoning," Dowd said.

Presidential aides, including press secretary Dana Perino, made clear early on that Dowd could see Dr. Richard J. Tubb, the Air Force brigadier general who oversees the White House medical office and takes care of the president at home and abroad.

But Dowd declined. With no medication, she tried to soldier on by grabbing whatever rest she could in her hotel room--not easy to do in a trip of constant movements. By the time the presidential entourage moved to Bahrain from Kuwait on Saturday, she felt even worse. She was so sick, in fact, that she could not write her regular Sunday column.

Dowd finally decided to take up the White House on its offer.

I know that a columnist's job is not to be nice. But the article describes the President's staff as being solicitous of the stricken journalist. Might she have criticized the President in a less mocking fashion?

Crossposted on Yourish.

, .

Posted by SoccerDad at 9:07 AM

Submitted 01/17/08

The new Watcher's Council nominations have been submitted.

You Be the General - The Glittering Eye carefully considers the implications of raising troop strength in Afghanistan. This post inspired Wolf Howling to provide a synopsis of the in country situation in Afghanistan.
The Race Card, Liberal Guilt and Our Next President - In this first look at identity politics, Wolf Howling carefully examines the implications of the race card and how it's being used by Senator Obama.
Ed. Schools: They're Awful (for the most part) - So you want to learn how to become a teacher? "Control freak," The Colossus of Rhodey.Hube warns you that going to graduate school may not be the best way to do it.
Tribes With Gods - Done With Mirrors considers the conditions under which Islam and Christianity were founded and the effect it has the nature of those religions now.
500,000 Iraqis Did Not Die - Cheat Seeking Missiles reviews the consequences of the dishonest JHU/Lancet report that claimed that over 500000 Iraqis died as a consequence of the American invasion in 2003. Here's a related question: How many newspapers that blamed President Bush for relying on faulty intelligence picked up the story uncritically?
Identity Politics Then and Now - In the second identity politics entry of the week, Bookworm Room examines the historical background of identity politics and how it's been used to marginalize those outside the mainstream of liberal thought.
Bush In Ramallah -- The Road To "Peace In Our Time" - Illustrated with an excellent Photoshop, Joshuapundit asks (among other things) the essential question: If President Bush couldn't trust the PA to protect one man for one day, how can he expect Israel to gamble the safety of its citizens on a daily basis?
Paul of Mises; or How the New Republic Bewitches the Right - Big Lizards disagrees with James Kirchik's critique of Ron Paul.
A Solution for the Pop-Tart's Problems - Who's the "pop tart?" The Education Wonks has the answer and a suggestion.
Disenfrancisement Example Is Actually Vote Fraud Queen -- And a Tax Cheat To Boot! - When you want to demonstrate outrage, you better make sure that your example is one who is being outraged and not one who does something outrageous. Rhymes With Right writes about a Democratic legal case to show voter disenfranchisement where one of the disenfranchisees was overly franchised.
Those Who Live By Identity Politics... - Right Wing Nut House presents the third of the entries about the use of identity politics in the Democratic primaries and what it portends for the two front runners.
Shavit's Prescription - This week I looked at a recent column by Ari Shavit of Israel's Ha'aretz and why I'm disappointed that President Bush does not seem to be following his advice.

Read, Enjoy. Be Informed.

.

Posted by SoccerDad at 6:28 AM

Cooler ties in the middle east

Accompanying this headline:
Bush's brief Egypt visit shows up cooler ties

was this picture:
mubarak-tie.jpg

In typical news organization fashion, AFP got a major element of the story wrong. President Mubarak's tie is decidedly not cool. It appears to be brick red with some yellow and, perhaps, navy blue diamonds. Not cool at all.

There's someone in my shul (synagogue) who has the coolest ties. You know where he gets them? He gets them from Nordstrom Rack. So two weeks ago, when I was in Nordstrom Rack, I got myself a cool tie too.

I guess the moral of the story, is that if they want to get cooler ties in the Middle East they really need a Nordstrom's Rack. (Syms also has some pretty cool ties.) Maybe then cooler ties will prevail.

Crossposted at Yourish.

, .

Posted by SoccerDad at 6:28 AM

In maryland all prices rise

Coming a little late to the party the O'Malley re-election committee Baltimore Sun finally discovered on Sunday that raising taxes wasn't a way to improve a politician's popularity in Taxes fuel discontent:

In one of the nation's most staunchly Democratic states, O'Malley's approval rating is just 8 percentage points above President Bush's rating in the same poll. O'Malley's job approval numbers are also close to 10-year lows in how Marylanders have felt about the work of their governors.

"He's given away all of his political capital on this special session," said Steven L. Raabe, president of OpinionWorks, the polling firm that conducted the survey for The Sun. "He probably needed to do it from a policy standpoint, but one could question the manner in which it was done because it has come at a great cost to his ability to lead the state."

The statewide poll, which was conducted Jan. 6-9, surveyed 904 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

(In this poll the Governor ranks ahead of the President, unlike the Washington Times poll. And, by the way, more here.)

The way it was done? That's interesting.
Keep in mind a few things.
According to the Tax Foundation before the increase, Maryland was ranked #15 in taxes paid per capita before the.
Over the past 10 years Maryland's budget has averaged an 8% increase per year. (It's doubled from $15 billion to $30 billion.)
Some of the taxes were extended in an arbitrary fashion.

Unlike the fitness buffs who voiced strong opposition last week during rallies and testimony, these three industries do not have an active presence in Annapolis.

"There's no strong voice," said Barbara Hoffman, a lobbyist and former state senator, said of landscaping, computer services and arcade owners. "I think that's one of the reasons they got picked, I've got to tell you ..... But I'm sure they'll come out of the woodwork."

Once you hear something like that it's clear that Governor and Democratic legislature were hellbent on raising taxes, not on keeping spending in check. The choice of industries to tax was not based on some objective economic criteria, but whether or not they paid lobbyists to grovel at the feet of the legislature.

Another indication of ignoring economic criteria is mentioned back by the Sun.

Marguerite Bowman, 60, a registered Democrat and retired teaching assistant who lives on Kent Island in Queen Anne's County, said she buys appliances and furniture in Delaware to save on sales tax and has even considered moving there to avoid high income taxes.

"I have thought about it several times," she said. "If I'm buying an appliance, I got news for you, I'm going to Delaware. If I'm buying furniture, I'm going to Delaware. People do it all the time out here, and we do it because we don't have to pay the sales tax."

To what degree the rise in the sales tax will drive consumers elsewhere remains to be seen. Certainly, those living on the Eastern Shore will be inclined to go to Delaware for larger ticket items. Perhaps those living near the Pennsylvania border will be more inclined to cross it to purchase clothes, which are not taxed by our neighbors to the north.

When I contacted one of my representatives and pointed out that $1.7 billion is less than 6% of the total budget and that the difference could be accounted for by some belt tightening, he responded that no one considered that an option, not even Republicans. (I believe some Republican legislators would disagree with that.) The impression I got was that my concern meant little or nothing to him. (Admittedly I've written some harsh things about and to him.) I wonder how many other Marylanders felt that their concerns were simply ignored by the Governor, legislature and their promoters in the media.

Given that Comptroller Franchot argued against the special session, it seems odd, but I think he was the voice of reason in this tax grab. That is a frightening thought.

I just notice this. Even though Governor O'Malley has had no problem raising taxes, he hasn't been able to accomplish one of things he campaigned on.

Not only has the O’Malley PSC allowed rates to continue their upward spiral, now they have approved another rate hike for … compact fluorescent bulbs.

I just hope the citizens of the PRoM remember all this when the governor and his rubber stamp legislature run again in 2 1/2 years.

.


Posted by SoccerDad at 6:16 AM

January 15, 2008

Paul Grubach at Press TV (Iran): "Holocaust revisionists and the hypocrisy of the French government"

If Holocaust denial were not criminalized, then the following vile piece of trash, "an open letter to France's Ambassador to the US, Pierre Vimont" by Holocaust denier Paul Grubach, could not exploit its criminalization:

Dear Ambassador Vimont

It has been reported that revisionist historian Robert Faurisson will face trial on charges that he made statements at the Iran Holocaust Conference in December 2006, which cast doubt on the d Holocaust.

As you know, the Gayssot Act of 1990 prohibits any public doubt in France about the Holocaust. This legal action was apparently initiated by former President Jaques Chirac. The duplicity, hypocritical double standards, and intellectual impotence of the French government are appalling. Offend Zionist Jews and the French government erupts in indignation.

Yet, if someone makes public statements that are offensive to Muslims, this is depicted as an expression of “free speech.”

The case of the high school philosophy teacher and author, Robert Redeker, illustrates the hypocrisy and double standard most clearly. In a commentary in the center-right daily Le Figaro, he made a scathing attack upon the Prophet Mohammed and the Islamic religion.

[Press TV is obliged to omit a certain Robert Redeker's quote from the original text.]

The French government labeled his statements as “expressions of free speech.” He was not put on trial or dismissed from his job. After receiving death threats, including one from an online Islamic forum, Redeker went into hiding under police protection.

In a show of support, the French government came to the defense of Mr. Redeker. Prime Minister Dominique de Villepin called the threats "unacceptable." He then added this most blatant falsehood: "We are in a democracy. Everyone has the right to express his views freely, while respecting others, of course." (See The New York Times, 30 September 2006, p. A 3)

That this is an outrageous lie is demonstrated by the plight of Dr. Faurisson. In 1991 he was removed from his university chair on the basis of his Holocaust revisionist views under the Gayssot Act. Many years later he was given a three-month suspended jail term for Holocaust revisionist remarks he made on Iranian television in October 2006.

The double standard here is blatantly obvious. The French government defends a man who insults the Islamic religion, despite the fact that his statements are offensive to millions of Muslims. Indeed, not only did they defend his right to freedom of speech in a well publicized statement, but they offered him police protection as well.

Yet, this same French government allows a French professor to be removed from his university chair, orders criminal probes into his comments, and gives him a suspended jail sentence because of his Holocaust revisionist beliefs. This clearly falsifies Prime Minister Dominque de Villepin's hypocritical claim that France is a democracy “where everyone has the right to express his views freely, while respecting others." One has the right to insult and attack the Islamic religion and deny the existence of God, but Holocaust revisionists are not allowed to freely express their viewpoints. The free speech rights of revisionists like Dr. Faurisson are routinely violated.

Furthermore, it appears as though the policy of the French government to prosecute Holocaust revisionists is simply a reflection of the wishes of influential French Jews. It was reported in the February 4, 2006 issue of The International Jerusalem Post (p.10) that filmmaker Claude Lanzmann wants Holocaust revisionism to be outlawed. In his own words: “How do you fight against Arab denial of the Holocaust? Certainly not like in Western countries. But I don't know, I'm not Sephardic…It has to be outlawed, like in France, that's all.”

If you do prosecute Dr. Faurisson, this will not only demonstrate the French government's hypocrisy, but it will also help to show that the Holocaust legend really is a weak and flimsy ideology that cannot be defended with reason and science. In a word, the Holocaust is a false doctrine that needs oppressive laws and prison sentences to protect it from rational criticism.

Sincerely, Paul Grubach

Ho-hum, Iran provides more evidence against itself.

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 9:39 PM

Shaky

Israeli PM Olmert's coalition might look a lot less solid at the end of the day. OneJerusalem reports that the 11 seat Yisrael Beiteinu faction is likely to leave the government, leaving the Kadima led coalition with 67 seats.

The Jerusalem Post has more:

At the start of Monday's Knesset plenum session, Israel Beiteinu showed its displeasure with the government by walking out on a no-confidence motion regarding Israel's negotiations with the Palestinians on core issues.

Sources close to Lieberman said the party head had received the impression that Olmert concluded that Labor and Israel Beiteinu could no longer exist in the same coalition and that he chose to keep Labor at Lieberman's expense.

They cited Olmert's statements to the Knesset Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee Monday about the need to negotiate the core issues of the conflict and his statements Sunday to Kadima ministers about outposts remaining being a disgrace.

While One Jerusalem speculates that this would increase pressure on the religious Sephardi party, Shas, to leave and bring down the government, the Jerusalem Post looks at the effect Yisrael Beiteinu's departure will have on Labor.

Olmert's associates said he had not intended to push out Lieberman but privately they admitted that if Israel Beiteinu left, it would give the diplomatic process a boost and make it more likely that Defense Minister Ehud Barak would keep Labor in the coalition.

Sources close to Barak said Israel Beiteinu's departure would indeed increase pressure for Labor to stay, but that Lieberman would not impact Barak's decision about whether to keep his promise to remove Labor from the coalition upon the Winograd Report's publication on January 30.

Channel 1's Ayala Hason reported Monday that if the Winograd report ended up being extremely critical of Olmert, Barak would give Kadima six weeks to elect a new leader. If Kadima would refuse, Barak would bring down the government and force an election.

Even if Shas stays, the result of the Winograd commission could leave Kadima severely weakened.

On his way out of Israel, President Bush urged Yisrael Beiteinu and Shas to stay in support of PM Olmert. This probably didn't help as it cast those critical of PM Olmert and Kadima as being against peace.

Israelis aren't against peace. But they aren't in favor of dangerous - not just painful - concessions. They've seen an increase in terrorism and radicalism since the Oslo process began. Now they see a an unpopular Prime Minister trying to boost his own fortunes by adopting policies that appeal to the American president but not to his electorate. President Bush's appeal to Yisrael Beiteinu and Shas was a slap in the face of the Israeli people.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:16 AM

All nied up

via memeorandum

from Bothersome Intel on Iran by Michael Hirsh, Newsweek

Israeli and other foreign officials asked Bush to explain the NIE, which concluded with "high confidence" that Iran halted what the document describes as its "nuclear weapons program." The NIE arrived at this finding even though Tehran continues to operate uranium-enrichment centrifuges that many experts believe are intended to develop material for a bomb, and despite the CIA's assertion that it had, for the first time, concrete evidence of such a weaponization program. Most confusing of all, the document seemed to directly contradict a 2005 NIE that concluded—also with "high confidence"—that Iran did have such a weapons program. Bush's national-security adviser, Stephen Hadley, told reporters in Jerusalem that Bush had only said to Olmert privately what he's already said publicly, which is that he believes Iran remains "a threat" no matter what the NIE says. But the president may be trying to tell his allies something more: that he thinks the document is a dead letter.

The final sentence is written in such a way as to indicate that President Bush has, for political reasons, ignored the professional analysis of his intelligence community. Of course the rest of the article, describing the Israeli displeasure with the conclusions of the NIE, suggest that Israel's intelligence community came to different conclusions from the United States.

Connect the Dots points out that what President Bush is disavowing is not the NIE itself:

The NIE may be perfectly sound, but the declassified summary of it, produced at the last minute after the White House decided to release the document, is something else. By relegating to a footnote the fact that Iran has a continuing uranium-enrichment program, and by declaring flatly that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003, without so much of an indication that a crucial aspect of that program — the development of fuel for a nuclear-bomb core — continues apace, the public — including America’s allies and adversaries — were baldly misled.

If Schoenfeld's speculation is correct, then, the NIE represents less of a departure than the president's critics, such as Hirsh portray it.

Israel Matzav looks at the implications for Israel.

There are two issues here and the only way Bush can quell that 'rising chorus of voices' is to resolve one of those issues and see to the resolution of the other issue. The issue Bush can resolve is the view here that the NIE shut the door on US action against Iran. Most people here believe that the NIE took the US military option against Iran off the table. If there still is a military option that the United States is prepared to use in the event that - as seems almost inevitable - sanctions will fail, that will go a long way towards quelling the 'rising chorus of voices' for unilateral Israeli action. A second - not nearly as satisfactory scenario - would be for Bush to make it clear that the US will support or at least not hinder Israeli military action against Iran if and when that becomes necessary.

From what I can gather, only the second option really remains. The summary of the NIE took the American option out of consideration.

Crossposted on Yourish.

, .

Posted by SoccerDad at 6:16 AM

Put yourself into jeopardy

Like 2 years ago, Jeopardy is again having online tryouts.

Last time I took it and estimate that I got about 40 of the questions right. Given that moving up to the next level was dependent on how others in my geographical area, that wasn't good enough. Regardless it was fun.

Posted by SoccerDad at 6:16 AM

Peace processing mirage

Still Waiting to Seize the Moment - Editorial from the New York Times.

Despite longstanding pledges, the Israelis are refusing to stop expanding settlements while the Palestinians aren’t doing enough to halt violence against Israel.


A Middle East Commitment
- Editorial from the Washington Post
So far U.S. prodding has failed to induce Mr. Olmert and Mr. Abbas to take initial confidence-building steps they have repeatedly promised, such as the dismantlement of illegal Israeli outposts in the West Bank or a campaign to stop incitement against Israel by Palestinian media and schools.

It's come to the point where this hackneyed boilerplate passes for analysis. The halting of terror was a premise of the whole peace process. There is no equivalence between terror that is encouraged and perpetrated by the PA and Israel building more homes for its citizens. The former violates every premise of peacemaking and yet it's treated as a "confidence building measure." On the latter, I'm reasonably certain that if Israel stopped building everywhere else but continued building in places like Gilo, Ramot and French Hill, that these august newspapers would still fault Israel.

Getting back to the NY Times:

For the first time, Mr. Bush did say that Israel must compensate Palestinians who left or were driven from their homes in what is now Israel. He also warned both sides that they are going to have to make difficult compromises on their borders.

Why is Israel responsible for Palestinians who left their homes? And why is there no mention of Jews who were driven from their homes? And as Amb. Dore Gold pointed out yesterday in a conference call of bloggers, Israeli territorial compromises are not just difficult but, based on past experience, dangerous too.

As bad as the NY Times editorial is, the Washington Post's is worse.

In 2001 he disparaged and quickly abandoned President Bill Clinton's personal attempt to broker a final peace settlement between Israelis and Palestinians during his final months in office. Seven years later, ending his first visit to Israel as president, Mr. Bush set a goal of finishing that peace treaty during his own final months; said he would personally involve himself in pressuring both sides; and, like Mr. Clinton before him, laid out his own parameters for a deal.

The only significant difference between the two sets of presidential ideas was that Mr. Bush was unwilling, unlike Mr. Clinton, to discuss a solution for Jerusalem, where the largest concessions will have to come from Israel. Instead, he mainly sketched the painful sacrifices required from Palestinians, including the surrender of some West Bank territory and the payment of compensation rather than the "return" of Palestinians who fled Israel in 1948. Still, none of what the president said was novel. Mr. Bush's statement merely confirmed that seven years of bloodshed, unilateral actions and diplomatic stasis, during which both Israelis and Palestinians sought to change the terms suggested by Mr. Clinton, have been a tragic waste of lives and time.

I won't disagree that the past seven years there has been a tragic waste of lives, but it isn't due to the president's disengagement. It's worth noting that the terror war waged against Israel that was going on when President Bush took office, occurred in the wake of the some of the most intensive diplomatic efforts ever undertaken in the Middle East. In fact it's incredible that the editors don't acknowledge that the the violence of seven years ago took place despite the Clinton parameters. This shows that the terror war was not a function of the lack of an agreement.

It's also an amazingly ignorant argument given that during President Bush's term in office Israel withdrew from Gaza. That led not to greater compromise and understanding but strengthened Hamas and put Israelis living in "non-occupied" Israel at risk from Qassam missiles. There hasn't been "diplomatic stasis" over the past seven years, diplomatic progress has been made; it just has produced the exact opposite results that the Post's editors assumed that it would.

In Here we Go Round the Mulberry Bush, Barry Rubin lays out a summary of the past seven years based on observation not wishful thinking.

In 2000, a seven-year-long peace process was due for completion. The Gaza Strip and much of the West Bank had been turned over to the Fatah-dominated Palestinian Authority (PA) led by Yasir Arafat. The PA had been given billions of dollars and military equipment, becoming a virtual client of the United States. Despite these efforts, there was anarchy in the PA-ruled territory, constant incitement to violence against Israel on the official news media, no psychological or ideological preparation of the Palestinians by their leadership for peace, and a massive wasting of funds.

Later, some analysts would explain away the failure by saying it was a mistake to force Arafat to the negotiating table for a decision. At the time, though, all one heard was how Arafat needed progress or he would lose control of his people and that the window of opportunity was closing. The U.S., Israeli, and European governments also wanted diplomatic progress for interests of their own. The result was not only the Camp David summit but also, and in some ways even more important, the Clinton plan that followed. The Palestinian leadership rejected both and instead opted for war.

Bush's new policy may be a big change for him but, after all, he is merely making the same analysis and offering the same terms as his predecessor. It was an understanding of what went wrong with Clinton's thinking and his generous bid--in part taught them by Clinton itself--that explains the Bush administration's lower level of effort for most of its time in office.

The problem then isn't the lack of American involvement, but the lack of a Palestinian commitment or ability to make peace.

Even if there was a Palestinian leader able to transcend all those pressures he would still restrained by knowing that to make a deal might not only be personally fatal but--far more certain--would destroy his reputation and career. Nobody will act like Egyptian President Anwar Sadat in making peace with Israel because look what happened to him (reviled, boycotted by the Arab world, and assassinated).

Nor do Palestinian leaders feel a need to run such risks. A far easier, successful policy is to take billions of Western aid dollars while doing nothing and blaming everything on Israeli intransigence and U.S. mistakes.

Calls for more American involvement in the peace process are based on a false belief that American pressure can help make peace. American involvement, instead, seems to have accomplished just the opposite. It has created an atmosphere that rewards (Palestinian) intransigence in the chimerical belief that enough foreign aid can somehow change deeply held beliefs.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:12 AM

Tabula Gaza

One of the impediments to the creation of a Palestinian state is something that Israel cannot be expected to concede:

A senior US official acknowledged on Saturday that an Israeli-Palestinian peace deal would depend on the fate of Gaza, which is controlled by the Islamist movement Hamas.

Hamas which evicted moderate Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas's Fatah faction from Gaza in June after a week of bloodshed, meanwhile, dismissed US President George W. Bush's vision of a Palestinian state.

The US official, who declined to be named, said the fate of Bush's targeted peace deal by the end of this year depended on Abbas taking back control of the Gaza Strip.

"I don't think in the long term that an agreement is going to work if Hamas continues to control Gaza," he said.

"That's why we repeatedly said that the Palestinian Authority should resume its responsibility for the government in Gaza as well," he said. "Exactly how that is going to work I don't know, I can't predict the future."

But that is not going to stop others from guessing:
Israel is planning to assassinate exiled Hamas leader Khalid Mashaal, deposed Palestinian Authority Prime Minister Ismail Haniyeh, and former PA Foreign Minister Mahmoud Zahar, but is waiting to give the green light on the operation until after US President George W. Bush leaves the region, the London-based newspaper, Al-Hayat reported on Sunday.
Supposing that there is any truth to this, it appears that somebody jumped the gun--someone was spotted at a Hamas rally carrying a large bag that contained 4 kilograms of TNT intended for Haniyeh. Hamas gave out no details about the person or with whom he is affiliated, just a statement that
"This assassination attempt is clearly linked to the visit of US President George W. Bush to the region."
(Sort of like the jump in rockets out of Gaza.)

But seriously--just imagine that this is true, and the Israeli assassination of these men make possible the triumphant return of Abbas to Gaza: will Palestinian Arabs have any greater respect for Abbas having required both the US and Israel to give him back what he managed to lose so easily on his own?

And is Gaza, which is reputed to be home to elements of Al Qaeda and Fatah Al-Islam, going to be more or less unstable with Abbas 'in control'?

D

Crossposted on Daled Amos

Technorati Tag: .

Posted by daledamos at 3:34 AM

Michael Lerner on the "handful of unknown people who are bombing Sderot"


From Daily Kos--Where else? The title is "A Rabbi in the Mosque":

[...] In a subsequent dinner with the leaders of the mosque and the Imam I heard many stories of frustration as they described to me various interfaith activities with the Jewish community in which they had participated, only to find that the friendly atmosphere closed down totally when they tried to get Jewish community leaders or lay people to acknowledge the suffering of the Palestinian people. Several of the participants in this discussion were Palestinians themselves, others were from Syria, Lebanon, Jordan and Egypt. They told me that they truly hoped that inviting me to speak would be a first step toward creating a deeper kind of dialogue that was open to hearing and acknowledging the pain of the Palestinian people (for example around the collective punishment currently being inflicted on the entire population of Gaza in response to the vicious and unjustified violence of a handful of unknown people who are bombing Sderot . . .
I did a Google search on "Sderot claims responsibility"

Here are the entities mentioned in the various items that come up in the first page of results:

Hamas
Al-Aqsa Brigades
Hamas again
Islamic Jihad
PRC
PRC again
Islamic Jihad again
Al-Aqsa again (That's Fatah)

Update: Hamas just took responsibility for Tuesday's qassam attack on Sderot. Hamas is led by two of the robed gentlemen pictured above.

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 12:16 AM

January 14, 2008

On the care and feeding of autocrats

Shibley Telhami, who has made a career of interpreting polling data from totalitarian regimes, tells us today that "It's not about Iran."

(If your leader, through the media and other apparatuses of state, makes clear that the Israeli "occupation" of Palestine is of utmost importance to his regime, you're not going to tell a person of uncertain affiliations that you think that the restrictions of freedom of assembly is a more pressing matter.)

In truth, I don't disagree much with the conclusion of the article: that the Arab world isn't really focused on the Iranian threat, I'm just skeptical of how Telhami reached that conclusion.

And even though Gulf Arab governments need the U.S. military umbrella for their security, their publics view the United States as a far greater threat than Iran. It is a challenge for these governments to have to continually depend on an America whose foreign policy is rejected by their own publics and whose record in recent years has been more of failure than of success.

Their own publics? The Arab world is not populated by regimes who abide by the consent of the governed. It's the other way around.

While America's policy in the Middle East hasn't been perfect, even now there appears a bit of the American push for democratization in the Middle East. Whether or not it ill take hold is uncertain, but would the president's outreach to democratic elements in the Gulf be possible if Saddam were still in power? It's not as if President Clinton's appeasement of Arafat led to better results.

The Arab/Muslim world indeed seems to be embracing Iran. But it's disingenuous to attribute it to the Israeli/Palestinian conflict. The conflict is real, but even if it were resolved, the Arab world would be no more friendly to the United States and its interests than it is now. Right now Iran seems to be have the certainty of purpose so it will have more friends in the Arab world. And the Iranian path, frankly, is the path to take for despots who wish to hold on to their power.

It's also ironic the Telhami focuses on the conflict, because a recent poll of Palestinian shows that the "occupation" is far down the list of their concerns.

The focus on the Israeli/Palestinian conflict is a way of allowing rulers who care nothing about the views of their own subjects to pretend to respect democracy. It's perverse, but this is what Prof. Telhami promotes. His CV says that he's "Anwar Sadat professor for peace and development at University of Maryland." What he promotes isn't "peace and development" but extended terms for tyrants.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 9:07 AM

On the radio

As noted on Friday, yesterday Shalom USA graciously interviewed Seraphic Secret and me.

Jay and Larry were extremely gracious hosts and went easy on us. No questions that were too tough.

I try to listen in as much as possible and am always impressed with Jay's interviewing ability. I got to the station a little early and got to hear the end of the previous topic. with notes in front of him Jay elicits some information and some evasions from the guest. It's much more impressive in person.

After the 9:30 break it's our turn. I wasn't nervous at all. According to Robert I no longer have any trace of New England or New York in my voice. Pure Baltimore apparently. Hopefully there wasn't much stutter either. (I think that I only stumbled once.)

The first major bit went to Robert. He explained why he didn't hold President Bush responsible for the peace process and possible concessions. He said that it was coming from Israel. He makes his case well. (I know that Robert said that people would rather read him write about Hollywood than politics, but if you read him you know the name of the actress who jumped off the Hollywood sign or what language Katherine Hepburn was not allowed to speak. You do get plenty of fascinating Hollywood too.)

I get a question about blogging. That's easy. I used to write letters to the editor, now I blog. True not as many people read a blog as a newspaper, but I do have certainty in this medium that I'll be published. (I didn't express that last bit explicitly.)

I also get to talk about Ari Shavit. Did I really compare him to Natan Sharansky? Yes. Both believe that there needs to be a fundamental change in Palestinian ideology before there can be peace. (I kept on name dropping too.)

Finally, my last question is about the role of blogging based on a contribution of Daled Amos. I get distracted and credit my co-blogger. After a gentle nudge, I'm responding to the question that I enjoy my role as gatekeeper and mention that blogging is as much editing as writing. Jay mentions that good bloggers point their readers to great information. (Yep, that's exactly what makes Instapundit great.)

The time flew, but I really enjoyed it. I have to find out if the show was recorded. It appears not. I didn't have the foresight to try to set up my computer (if possible.) Oh well.

I also wish that Mere Rhetoric had been to join us.

Thanks Jay and Larry for the chance to air my experiences.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:16 AM

Kristol clear

Clark Hoyt gives his support to the hiring of William Kristol as on op-ed columnist at the NY Times, He may be unwelcome but we'll survive.

Kristol would not have been my choice to join David Brooks as a second conservative voice in the mix of Times columnists, but the reaction is beyond reason. Hiring Kristol the worst idea ever? I can think of many worse. Hanging someone from a lamppost to be beaten by a mob because of his ideas? And that is from a liberal, defined by Webster as “one who is open-minded.” What have we come to?

How's that for full support? I believe that Mr. Hoyt was a lot more enthusiastic about giving space to someone who did believe that hanging people from lampposts was a good idea.

Needless to say, Bill Kristol didn't get off unscathed in the Times, as the paper published Father and Sons a review of Jacob Heilbrunn's recent book about "neo-conservatives."

While the Nazis herded Jews into the gas chambers, Kristol, then a 24-year-old Trotskyist, held fast to his conviction that the Allies were no different from the Axis in their imperialism. Kristol took this view because he was “indulging in an abstract crusade for a better world.”

Sound familiar? In March 2003, Kristol’s son, William, the editor of The Weekly Standard (and now a New York Times Op-Ed columnist), cheered on the United States invasion of Iraq while bin Laden remained at large. Hussein, Kristol wrote with Lawrence F. Kaplan, was “a threat to civilization” and defeating him would kick off a glorious campaign to spread freedom and democracy across the globe. Although William’s argument was precisely opposite to Irving’s 59 years earlier, it sprang from the same crusading myopia.

Well when something's "precisely opposite" it's hard to say that it sounds familiar. What Timoth Noah's brief history lesson shows is that neo-conservatives are capable of assimilating new information and adjusting their views accordingly.

And Noah's dismissal of the war against Iraq, might be overstating the case a bit. Roger L. Simon responds:

Needless to say, Noah ignores such inconvenient truths - and others including the fact that Iraq is a functioning (albeit limping) democracy with people in the streets and growing businesses, that it is one of our least violent wars (less than five percent the US fatalities of Vietnam) and at the very least we will be left with bases inside Mesopotamia to help control the expansionist fascisms in Iran and Syria. It could be better than that. Who knows? The Iraqis could turn into real allies for freedom, just like those dreaded neocons hoped.

Of course the recent gains in Iraq have been a result of President Bush's dismissal of Secretary Rumsfeld and the start of the surge, which, I believe was consistent with William Kristol's recommendations over a number of years.

But it was nice that that Times balanced their views of Bill Kristol. Had they only had Clark Hoyt's faint praise, I'd have been worried that the world was threatened to be overcome by chaos through some disturbance in the space-time continuum. The Noah review restored order.
(via memeorandum)

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:15 AM

Not that hillary

During this primary season, one of the things that candidates do is define themselves. No candidate is perfect and some are more flawed than others.

Among the Democrats, my favored candidate is Sen. Clinton. It's not because I support most of her policies, but because my foremost concern is the war on terror. For all of her faults, Sen. Clinton is the one Democrat who might take that struggle seriously.

Of course, among the many weaknesses Sen. Clinton has is her artificiality.

The recent death of Sir Edmond Hillary brings up an example of that. Edward Rothstein recently celebrated Sir Hillary's accomplishment and wrote:

In contemporary exploration near disasters and traumas are not an expected part of the project, the way breaking ice formations and dwindling oxygen are in Sir Edmund’s account. They are the failures, best passed over. The goal is for a safe routine, as if exploration could resemble the contemporary playground, with its rubber pads and redesigned play equipment, explicitly discouraging enterprising ventures and the testing of boundaries, eliminating all “monkey bars” and “seesaws.”

Of course that's not the point of this post. The point is that once upon a time Sen. Clinton claimed that she was named for Sir Edmond. Snopes investigated the claim and the controversy and concluded.

We still find this explanation rather incredible. In order to accept it, one has to believe that only after Hillary Clinton was nearly 60 years old, and only after she had been pilloried in the press for more than ten years for claiming she had been named after someone who was virtually unknown in the U.S. at the time of her birth, and only after her husband had unknowingly presented the fictitious story as true in his own autobiography, did her mother finally confess that the "sweet family story" she told her daughter wasn't the truth. (Hillary Clinton doesn't have the excuse that other people were spreading a falsehood about her, as she herself was the one who initiated the claim back in 1995.)

As we noted back in 2003, this story was likely a little white lie concocted for a special occasion back in 1995, and even if it really was a "sweet family story" Dorothy Rodham told her daughter Hillary many years ago, the latter has almost certainly known for quite a long time that it was just a story.

Using the name of the famous explorer didn't bother her. If it built her reputation, she wouldn't deny it. All politicians embellish, but there seems to be a different - slightly disturbing - aspect to her embellishments.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 5:51 AM

Musical monday #29

Wow we're nearing #30. Last week's collaboration with Elie's Expositions was a lot of fun and we plan to collaborate again for #31. Elie and I enjoyed working together. Did that make for a better quiz? Let us know!

You know the drill, no cheating and using Google or some other search engine, (even though your not-so-humble servant may indulge such crutches) and figure out the songs and the theme of the week. No prizes except the satisfaction of knowing that you can still remember the songs of your youth.

As is sometimes the case, the gaps are significant.

1) She said she believes in Robin Hood
2) If there was A grand canyon, She could fill it up with the lies he's told her

3) His bow tie is really a camera
4) For this is not a miracle

5) Your mommy don't mind, If we have another dance
6) Don't you even try tellin' me that you really don't want it to end this way

7) Til the stars fall from the sky
8) that's when she told me a story 'bout free milk and a cow

9) (Silly boy) then she said to my surprise
10) Misjudged your limits, Pushed you too far

11) Gone are the dark clouds that had me blind
12) Indians in the summer with a teenage diplomat

13) He's in love don't stand in his way
14) I ain't talkin' no high heel

15) You're the nearest thing to heaven that I've seen
16) Because I come from the land of plenty

17) We could float among the stars together, you and I
18) I used to drive you to work in the morning

19) Anything you want...we can make it happen
20) Each moment with you, Is just like a dream to me

21) Why do birds suddenly appear
22) Doesn't anybody stay in one place anymore?

23) If you wake up and dont want to smile
24) But this time before you run to her

25) Here come old flattop
26) I get so shaky and I feel so weak

27) But Ive never caught a glimpse of how the others must see the faker
28) You always won every time you placed a bet

29) You fritter and waste the hours in an offhand way
30) Seasons change and so did I

31) My suitcase and guitar in hand
32) Wednesday morning at five o'clock as the day begins

33) When I'm with you, it doesn't matter where we are
34) Ride the king's highway, baby

Solutions for Musical Monday #27 - Courtesy of Apollo C. Vermouth
"Send them looking out for their woman send them reaching out for their dollar" Mr Skin--Spirit
"I can bite like a turkey/I can slam like a drake" Please, Mrs Henry--Dylan
"We were at a policy meeting/They were planning new ways of cheating" Miss Gradenko--Police
"Oh it don't mean a thing/When the leader's singing" Hey Mr. Bass Man--Johnny Cymbal
"Over my window, they'd written my name" Mr. Spaceman--Byrds
"Maybe shes a devil in disguise" Little Miss Strange--Jimi Hendrix Experience
"Someone is spending my money for me" Dr. Jekyl and Mr. Hyde--The Who
"I'm off the beaten track." Dr. Jimmy--The Who
"I'd rather give my love to a poor guy that has a love that's true" Mr. Big Stuff--Jean Knight
"We never had the love that every child oughta get" Gee, Officer Krupke--Berstein/Sondheim
"Say goodbye in the wind and the rain in the back street." Madame George--Van Morrison
"He's just here from Alabama" Sister Ray--Velvet Underground
"You vanish with the night" In dreams I kiss your hand, Madame--Sinatra
"I'm gonna tell everybody that I'm down in misery" Lawdy Miss Clawdy--Lloyd Price et. al
"Would you pardon me if it's a nineteen carat golden thing" Good Golly Miss Molly--Little Richard
"Because believin' and deceivin', it's drivin' me to grievin' now." Miss Ann--Little Richard
"We gotta be extra careful that we don't build our hopes too high" Me and Mrs. Jones--Billy Paul
"But nobody seems to understand/What make a man can feel so blue." Mr. Pitiful--Otis Redding
"A splendid time is guaranteed for all" Being for the Benefit of Mr. Kite--Beatles
"My friend works for the national health." Dr. Robert--Beatles
"Do anything take us out of this gloom" Dear Mr. Fantasy--Traffic
"I'm tired of being told what to think/I'm tired of being told what to do." Mr. Suit--Wire

Theme: Titles that include titles

Rubicon3 came closest to guessing the theme. (She guessed Mr. and Mrs. songs.)Thanks also to Fiery Spirited Zionist, Elie's Expositions.


Previous editions:

Musical Monday #28

Musical Monday 27
Musical Monday #26
Musical Monday 25
Musical Monday 24
Musical Monday 23
Musical Monday #22
Musical Monday #21
Musical Monday #20
Musical Monday #19
Musical Monday #18
Musical Monday #17
Musical Monday #16
Musical Monday #15
Musical Monday 14
Musical Monday 13
Musical Monday 12
Musical Monday 11
Musical Monday 10
Musical Monday 9
Musical Monday 8
Musical Monday 7
Musical Monday 6
Musical Monday 5
Musical Monday 4
Musical Monday 3
Musical Monday 2
Musical Monday 1

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Posted by SoccerDad at 5:32 AM

The Bush Family & The Nazis--Not

Jack Kemp has a short post at The American Thinker, quoting from Jonah Goldberg's new book Liberal Fascism on the claim that the Bush family helped finance the rise of the Nazis:

"As for the charge that George W. Bush's grandfather was a Nazi collaborator of some sort, put forward in Phillip's book "American Dynasty," Peter Schweizer demonstrates why this is such a bad-faith slander:
One of Phillip's most attention-grabbing chapters posits the theory that the Bushes were involved in the rise of Adolf Hitler. While he correctly notes that Brown Brothers Harriman, an investment-banking firm employing Prescott Bush and George H. Walker (George W. Bush's great-grandfather), investing in Nazi-era German companies, Phillips fails to note that it was Averell Harriman, later FDR's ambassador to Moscow and Truman's commerce secretary, who initiated these investments (and some in Soviet Russia) before either of the Bushes joined the firm. Prescott Bush did not oversee these investments: the reality is that he was involved almost exclusively in managing the firm's domestic portfolio. It was Harriman who largely managed the foreign investments and, accordingly, it was he who met German and Soviet leaders. (Peter Schweizer, "Kevin Phillip's Politics of Deceit," National Review Online, March 30, 2004,
www.nationalreview.com/comment/schweizer200403300907.asp
[accessed Jan. 23, 2007])'
In his article for The National Review, Schweizer looks at the sources Phillip's used:
Besides The Nation, the only sources he uses to make the case of the Bushes' secret CIA links is the Adamson Report (cited four times), a newsletter produced by one Bruce Adamson, a geologist who runs a crackpot website called ciajfk.com. Adamson apparently believes that the Bushes are implicated in the assassination of JFK "and tied directly and indirectly to the Diana accident and the crash of September 11, 2001."

...[For other claims,] Phillips also relies on J. H. Hatfield's Fortunate Son, a now-discredited book about George W. Bush which was pulled by its publisher. He also accepts the reporting of Victor Thorn, writing in Babelmagazine.com, concerning the Bushes' relationships to Saudi Arabia. (Thorn's other credits include the books, The New World Order Exposed and The Real Reason Jesus Was Crucified.)

Read about the other sources Phillip uses--I had no idea the research behind the claim was so sloppy.

D

Crossposted at Daled Amos

Technorati Tag: and .

Posted by daledamos at 2:53 AM

January 13, 2008

Final Status talks timed to coincide with Pappe-Finkelstein Continued Existence talks

According to the AP:

Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas said the most serious peace talks in seven years would begin on Monday and the final deal must address all the sensitive issues including Jerusalem.

Abbas said his chief negotiator, former Prime Minister Ahmed Qurei, would meet his Israeli counterpart, Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni, as part of U.S. President George W. Bush's push for a statehood agreement before leaving office.

"All the issues will be discussed ... We told Bush that we will not accept delaying any of the final-status issues," Abbas said in a speech, referring to state borders, the future of Jerusalem and Palestinian refugees, and Jewish settlements in the occupied West Bank. [...]

Abbas went on to explain that the timing of the talks is particularly favorable because the question of Israel's continued existence is going to be settled at the Oxford Union debate between Norman Finkelstein and Ilan Pappe with Finkelstein assuming the role of Israel's defender. "If it happens to be determined that Israel is entitled to a final status that involves its continued existence," he explained, "then we can discuss what that final status should look like." (h/t: Martin Kramer)

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 6:13 PM

Dissident Voice on the origins of Ashkenazi Jewry

I sometimes link to items in the Dissident Voice, a blog-like self-styled "radical newsletter" that currently features a contribution from Cindy Sheehan. Recently it has been running a multi-part series called "Defining Israeli Zionist Racism," written by Dissident Voice "co-editor" Kim Peterson and a collaborator named B.J. Sabri. Part 12 addresses the topic of Jews who became refugess from Arab countries following the founding of Israel. According to Peterson (who "enjoys scuba diving, working out, and advancing the struggle for a world based on principles of peaceful and equitable sharing and respect for the environment and life") and Sabri

the total number of Arabs of Jewish faith from Egypt, Syria, Libya, etc. that Britain (again with the complicity of Arab rulers under its control) managed to send to OCCUPIED PALESTINE so the newly formed Zionist state would not collapse because of lack of population, could not have exceeded at best the 200,000. Any number beyond this is falsification.
We also learn that
the expulsion of Arabs of Jewish faith including a genuine minuscule minority of descendents from the ancient Hebrews (not to be mixed with European converts to Judaism), did not happen automatically, but was, again, engineered by Britain, France, and the United States.
Where do all these unsourced Arthur Koestler-like assertions about the origins of Ashkenazi Jewry come from?

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 2:18 PM

A brother could love

According to the New York Times:

Given the international uproar that unfolded after the bombing, “we can assume it’s not a reactor,” said David Albright, president of the Institute for Science and International Security, a private group in Washington that has analyzed the Syrian site.

If international inspectors eventually get to the site, he added, they will have a more difficult time looking for nuclear evidence. “The new building,” he noted, “covers whatever remained of the destroyed one.”

is it clear from this statement what Dr. Albright thought about the previous Syria site? Here's how the Washington Post reports Albright's statements. (These statements are more complete, though he apparently offered different quotes to each newspaper.):

"It would be very unlikely for this to be a reactor, and we would be very surprised if they tried to put a reactor inside this building," said David Albright, president of the Institute for Science and International Security, who analyzed the images and provided a copy to The Washington Post.

Albright said the new facility appears significantly different from the earlier one, having slightly larger dimensions and a vaulted roof. There are no visible signs suggesting a nuclear purpose, he said.

The new construction could complicate future efforts by outsiders to determine the purpose of the original building, Albright said. He added that it is possible that Syria might have constructed the facility to allow the country to secretly excavate all traces of the original building out of the view of spy satellites.

Getting back to the New York Times, it's pretty clear that they skimped on presenting Dr. Albright's full views (and I believe that he's somewhat skeptical of the charge) about the Syrian site and then the reporter adds

Skeptics have criticized the nuclear accusation, saying the public evidence that has so far come to light was ambiguous at best. They noted, for instance, that at the time of the attack the site had no obvious barbed wire or air defenses that would normally ring a sensitive military facility.

So Syria didn't seem to protect the site. Still why bolster the doubts but why play this up when Syria's whole approach to the bombing has been somewhat suspicious? Now Syria's building a new structure that is clearly unlike the first one and will make it that much harder to discover what's underneath. If it was an agricultural facility that Israel bombed (and even the NY Times reporter seemed somewhat skeptical of the claim) why didn't the Syrians complain louder? Why did the North Koreans complain at all? It's wrong for the Times to play up the doubts without giving a full accounting of the reasons to suspect the Syrians of playing nuclear games.

The Astute Bloggers (astutely) point out:

Transparency is central to International Security. Assad's tyrannical terrorist-enabling regime has no transparency, and this is why we must act preemptively: better safe than sorry.

(via memeorandum)

In other words, despite the Times effort to play down the threat because of uncertainty, the uncertainty is all the reason to be more concerned.

At the end of a disturbing post about Syria efforts to rebuild in the area of the structure that was destroyed in September by Israel (covered by the Tank at NRO), Daled Amos asks of Nobel Laureate Mohammed El Baradei:

Is El Baradei is equally chummy with Iran?

The answer, I think, comes from a recent news report:

In an unprecedented meeting, Iran's top leader told the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency on Saturday that the UN Security Council had no remaining justification for focusing on the country's nuclear program, state-run television reported.

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has the final say on all state matters in Iran, told Mohamed ElBaradei that the IAEA should exclusively handle Iranian nuclear questions, saying resolution of the controversy would be a "great success" for the UN nuclear watchdog.

My guess is that if Iran is seeking the jurisdiction of the IAEA over its nuclear program(s), it must feel awfully brotherly towards El Baradei too.

For more background on the shattered Syrian nuclear ambitions see Mere Rhetoric.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 2:16 PM

Detecting lung cancer

I don't often write about medical advances. But here's one that I heard about at the Shabbos table a couple of weeks ago. A Maryland company has developed a test for detecting lung cancer in its early stages.

LC Detect(SM) is a simple blood test to facilitate the identification of lung cancer, even among individuals with early-stage disease. Panacea Laboratories, a division of Panacea Pharmaceuticals, is certified under the Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments of 1988 (CLIA). The blood sample can be ordered by any physician and sent to Panacea for testing; sample and shipping requirements are available at www.panacea-labs.com.

Lung cancer accounts for the highest number of cancer deaths worldwide, in both men and women. An estimated 213,380 new cases of cancer involving the lung or bronchus are expected in the U.S. in 2007, accounting for about 15 percent of total cancer diagnoses. An estimated 160,390 deaths, accounting for about 29 percent of all cancer deaths, are expected to occur in 2007. Since 1987, more women have died each year from lung cancer than from breast cancer. Lung cancer was the third most common cancer for men and the fifth most common cancer for women in Japan in 2000. The five-year survival rate for lung cancer is only 15 percent. Survival rates for individuals in whom lung cancer is detected at an early stage while it remains localized are as high as 50 percent. Current screening and detection methods rely on imaging modalities, primarily chest x-ray and CT scanning. However, chest x-ray is not sufficiently sensitive and CT scanning is expensive with only a moderate improvement in sensitivity. Newer tests, such as low-dose spiral computed tomography scans and molecular markers in sputum have not proven to be useful to date.

This was a significant enough discovery that Time Magazine named it one of the top 10 medical breakthroughs of 2007.

No I don't usually discuss medical breakthroughs at the Shabbos table. Except that one of the scientists who helped develop the test was visiting with his family. Nice to know when one of your friends changes the world.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 12:38 PM

Syria Rebuilding It's Nuclear Reactor

The National Review's military blog, the tank, has a post about the New York Times article on Syria rebuilding the apparent nuclear plant bombed by Israel last year.

The Tank notes that International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) director-general Mohammed El Baradei seems pretty chummy with Syria:

Most interestingly, however, is how El Baradei, who won the Nobel Peace Prize for his alleged contributions to a more secure world, characterizes the Baathist regime in Damascus:

“So far, we have not received any information about any nuclear programs in Syria,” he said, according to a transcript posted on the newspaper’s Web site. Dr. El Baradei said he had asked for the Syrians’ permission “to allow the agency to visit the facility and to verify that it was not nuclear.”

He added: “The Syrian brothers did not allow us to visit and inspect the location.”

Syrian brothers? Is the supposedly neutral IAEA chief showing his true colors?
Is El Baradei is equally chummy with Iran?

D

Crossposted on Daled Amos

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Posted by daledamos at 2:11 AM

Haveil Havalim #149 is UP! (with an announcement)

Haveil Havalim #149 is UP! at Life in Israel.

This also is a good bye of sorts. After 3 years and 150 editions (more or less) I plan to transfer administration of Haveil Havalim to Jack's Shack after next week. It's been wonderful. But it's also been demanding. Right now, I don't have the energy to keep up with HH any more. I'm a bit fatigued. I know that a number of you aren't happy with the way I ran Haveil Havalim, most others were happy though. In addition to next week, I do hope to host in the future. And I plan to promote Haveil Havalim every week. (If I inadvertantly left you out, please send me an e-mail.)

For those of you who have had a hand in making Haveil Havalim a success by hosting, promoting, contributing or reading, I'd like to thank you. Haveil Havalim is one of the longest running blog carnivals around, and it wouldn't be so without your contributions. I expect that in Jack's capable hands it will success will be even greater.

Remember, that while the hosts and hostesses of Haveil Havalim do a wonderful job of editing and searching for interesting posts, they can't see everything. If you want a better chance of being included in Haveil Havalim please submit one or two posts for inclusion.

Use Blog Carnival's handy dandy Blog Submission Form to submit your entries and have a great week!

Thanks for participating, reading and keeping Haveil Havalim going!

However is someone decides that he/she wants to host in the future let me know at dhgerstman at hotmail dot com or use the BlogCarnival Contact form.

Listed at the Truth Laid Bear Ubercarnival.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 1:11 AM

January 12, 2008

Nasrallah: "Victory shall be ours by blood and will"

"Blood and will"--that has a nice Nazi sound. The source is Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting. This kind of rhetoric goes over well in Iran evidently:

Secretary-General of the Lebanese Islamic Resistance Movement, Hezbollah, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah slammed US President Bush for trying to force Lebanon to acknowledge Zionist regime and Palestinians to give up on right of return.

Nasrallah said Friday that "President Bush is forcing the Palestinians to give up on the right of return and accept refugees settling in other Arab nations."

Nasrallah spoke at a rally honoring the Muslin New Year, which was held at the Sayyed Al-Shuhada mosque in Beirut. "The Zionists would take their pick out of the '67 territories, Beit Ul Moqaddas and the settlement, and will give the Palestinians whatever crumbs they'll have left over."

"He (Bush) will demand the Lebanese accept reality and acknowledge Israel_ that is Bush's testament, which he feels like he can dictate to us," said Nasrallah.

Resistance, he continued, is the only way: "We will not emigrate_ We will stay on our land, in our cities and villages, even if our homes are destroyed and our soldier captured."

"The only way to deal with the Israeli plan for our region in through resistance... As I have promised you before _ we are going from victory to victory, and it shall be ours by blood and will."

"If he goes back 60 years, who started the killings? The Palestinians didn't do it, and the Jews who lived in Arab states lived peacefully. The ones doing the killing were Zionist gangs."

Nasrallah also slammed American media outlets and their pro-American-Zionist allies for presenting Zionist regime as a symbol of democracy in the region. His comments were met by chants of "Death to America and to Israel" from the crowd.

Bush, warned Nasrallah, views Israel "as a Jewish state, that is, racist...its existence is premised on race. Israel aspires for a racially pure existence." [...]

Nothing is more egalitarian than an Iranian-backed Shi'ite militia.

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 11:13 PM

January 11, 2008

Council speak 01/11/08

The council has spoken and wow! Two blowouts. In my time on the council I haven't seen anything like this. One blowout I expected, on the non-Watcher's side, Maj Andrew Olmsted's final post, Andy Olmsted, at Obsidian wings was the going away favorite. Out of a possible maximum of 8, the entry earned 6 2/3. That's huge. The runner-up on the non-council side was Dr. Sanity's Orchestrated Circuses and Clowns, a melancholy meditation on the field of candidates we have this year.

On the council side the winning post was Wolf Howling's Britain's Prosecution of The Blogger Lionheart for Criticism of Islam a comprehensive introduction to a disturbing attempt of the British government to stifle improper thought. Since the runner up was mine, let me give you some other runners up. First there was the Cotton Candy Candidacy by Right Wing Nuthouse, an enchanting look at the past of the primary system and a cynical look at one of the current front runners. Cheat Seeking Missiles explored the way the media ignored the "honor killings" of two Texas sisters in Honor Killings? What Honor Killings? JoshuaPundit's touching, personal tribute to Maj. Andrew Olmsted R.I.P. was the other second runner up.

Congratulations to all winners.

If you're a blogger and you like what you see, please consider submitting your own post to the competition. Just followt the rules here.

UPDATE: I added some content to the original posting.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:01 AM

What The UN And The Palestinian Authority Have In Common

Is there a reason they delayed the investigation until after Kofi Annan left?
Did they think that would make their workload lighter?

U.N. probes allegations of corruption, fraud

A U.N. internal investigative unit has found an unexpected amount of fraud and abuse at the United Nations and is currently investigating 250 cases, including alleged sexual and financial offenses.

"Our caseload has been very steady over the last three months, around 250 cases," Inga-Britt Ahlenius, head of the U.N. Office of Internal Oversight Services (OIOS), told reporters. "We found mismanagement and fraud and corruption to an extent we didn't really expect."

Ahlenius said two-thirds of the cases being reviewed related to peacekeeping missions. Around 80 involved possible sexual exploitation and abuse.

The former chief auditor of Sweden held the news conference in response to media reports suggesting that there has been widespread fraud related to U.N. peacekeeping contracts.

She said investigators have already confirmed that contracts worth around $600 million involved fraud at some level. The total U.N. peacekeeping budget for 2007-2008 exceeds $5 billion.

People defend the UN by claiming that the UN still does alot of good.
Give Daled Amos $5 billion and I can do alot of good too.
(Finally, a reason to open a paypal account...)

D

Crossposted on Daled Amos

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Posted by daledamos at 4:12 AM

Will blogging make a radio star?

The good folks - Larry and Jay - at Shalom USA have agreed to do blogging roundtable with me and two mystery bloggers Sunday morning at 9:30 AM. If you live in the Baltimore area tune in from 9AM - 11AM this (and every) Sunday morning for topnotch Jewish radio. Or you can listen to broadcasts on the web here, wherever you are.

I wonder if Jay remembers that nearly 30 years ago we shared a radio studio?

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Posted by SoccerDad at 3:07 AM

Arun amok

Arun Gandhi, grandson of Mahatma Gandhi and founder of the M.K. Gandhi Institute for Nonviolence, gives pacifism a bad name.

Here's a roundup of responses.

Shira bat Sarah (who brought this swill to my attention) writes in Family Tradition:

Why no calls from the Ghandis of the world for Arabs to lay down their arms? Why is there the implication that Jews and Israelis should not be allowed to defend themselves? Why do their words imply it is okay to have an open season on Jews?

In Arun Gandhi, disgrace of the third generation Solomonia writes:

Gramps suggested the Jews sacrifice themselves to the Nazis in the hope of exciting the sympathy of the world. Grandson apparently thinks the Jews of today should do the same, but goes further in blaming them for the state of the world. Amazing. Jewish identity doesn't depend on violence, but Jewish survival does. It's an inconvenient world.

Blog-o-fascists puts it simply:

Ignorance, bigotry...yes, anti-Semitism...thy name is Gandhi. How much dining out can you do on one famous last name?

Infidel Bloggers Alliance similarly observes Arun Gandhi: fruit doesn't fall far from the tree:

And to sum it up, let me pose this question:

Gahndi says,"the Jews should have offered themselves to the butcher's knife." So, how exactly does his philosophy differ, in practice, from that of Hitler?

Sometimes a picture says it best, and Force Duo does it with the Photoshop illustrating Gandhi's grandson, making his gramps proud!

Blogs of Zion writes:

It is apparent that Gandhi's legacy continues with his grandson Arun. Arun Gandhi ignores the real perpetrators of the "culture of violence" and excuses their behavior by using the Jews, Zionism, and Israel as scapegoats.

Reformed Pastor did a very serious fisking of the whole essay, in No one's fault tub their own:

Israel puts its faith in its military for an obvious reason: having been invaded by its neighbors on several occasions, been the object of almost daily bombardment for decades, been told by Hamas and others that there is no place in the Holy Land for Jews, seen Israel and Jews demonized on a virtually round-the-clock basis by its enemies, threatened with annihilation repeatedly, and condemned on a regular basis by the United Nations simply for defending itself, Israel knows what fools like Gandhi refuse to recognize, that it can depend only on itself and its own strength if it is to survive.

Backspin provides a short version of the fisking.

Shadow Warriors apply scorn liberally:

This from a guy who doesn't want to get a real job, and instead finds it more lucrative to go on the lifelong speaking-tour, lecturing everyone else about their moral inferiority to him.


Israelly Cool! observes that the grandson's feelings are Out in the Open:
Accusing the Jews of wanting the world to feel guilty about the Holocaust. Stating that Jews "repulse" friends. Calling Israel and the Jews the "biggest players" in creating a culture of violence.

I've got two words for you: anti-Semitism.

Barking Moonbat Warning System demands that we explain this:

Israelites get blown to bits for what, existing, and it's THEIR fault? I don't know what's more of a barf alert on this piece, the content or the source of this crap.

PoliGazette assigns some blame to the Washington Post:

Giving a voice to people who hold different opinions is all fine and dandy, but perhaps American news outlets could make an exception for anti-Semites? I can't see how drivel like this helps the debate.

Little Green Footballs looks beyond the younger Gandhi's words to the words of the commenters. What he sees is beyond the pale:

And the reader comments for this repulsive article are absolutely vile; the antisemites crawled out of the woodwork for this one.

Contentions.David Hazony spawns an excellent conversation on the topic of the Gandhis and mindless pacifism. It makes you wonder if Commentary might make Richard Grenier's "The Gandhi Nobody Knows" available. Powerline provides Grenier's summary.

Rubicon3 points out one possible consequence of such nonsense:

As if the Israelis wouldn't have jumped at the chance to be friends with their neighbors, coming off the horror of the Holocaust.

Such statements are damaging and do not help the cause of peace. On the contrary, they just encourage Islamic fundamentalist violence.

Gandhi has now issued an apology:

I do not believe and should not have implied that the policies of the Israeli government are reflective of the views of all Jewish people. Indeed, many are as concerned as I am by the use of violence for state purposes, by Israel and many other governments.

The ADL has weighed in.

I'd go much further. First of all the original implied nothing. It consisted of clearly stated beliefs. What Dr. Gandhi wrote is that Judaism is too rooted in the past and that the Israeli government in its actions, reflects that. So his response that not all Jews support Israeli actions, does nothing to contradict what he wrote in the first place. What he gives no consideration to - as many critics noted - is that Israel is responding to threats, not arbitrarily attacking innocents.

There is nothing unintentional in Gandhi's controversial entry. He meant every word. The ADL is wrong to ask him to apologize. He won't and he can't because he truly doesn't believe that there's anything wrong with what he wrote. He is only concerned with the way his words were (correctly) interpreted.

His morality is just as warped as his grandfather's.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 1:12 AM

Pre-shabbos bake shop

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My 6 year old 1) Adds flour to the bread machine 2) Displays the results of her expert braiding and 3) Yolks the Challahs.

She also cracked the eggs, put in all the ingredients and mixed the batter for the Matzo balls.

As you might be aware, her big sister's the house's dessert chef. This week the Shabbos treat is a Glazed-Cinnamon-Chocolate Ribbon Cake. (See Kosher by Design for Children Entertains.) She made a double recipe (one to be frozen for later.)

So as she completed baking first one:
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You could see what the second one looked like in batter form.
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Here's the chocolate glaze. Oooh. Chocolate!
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Now the glazed masterpiece side by side with one of the sections.


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Now you know why I can expect to lose weight in two years when she plans to study at seminary.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 12:40 AM

January 10, 2008

North Korea produces "appealing poems," nuclear subterfuge

The collectivization of artistic endeavors always produces such Songun results!

Poets of the Central Committee of the Korean Writers Union created dozens of poems calling upon the people to turn out in the general advance for this year.

The poem "May the sea of single-minded unity meander" fully represents the faith and will of servicepersons and the people to single-mindedly uphold the ideology and leadership of Kim Jong Il and resolutely defend Korean-style socialism despite any ordeals and hardships.

Among them are such poems as "Storm of general advance arises," "Call of the country" and "Let's advance faster for higher goal on swift horse of Songun," which vehemently call upon the people to accelerate the all-out drive for building an economic power in the same spirit and vigor as was displayed when they built socialism on the ruins.

There are also "We will further glorify our mother Republic," "Before the motherland" and other poems fully reflecting the firm determination of the army and people to proudly greet the grand festival in September with signal labor achievements this year.

Undoubtedly North Korea produced such an artistic flowering by redirecting the resources formerly devoted to Uraniun enrichment. As John Bolton explains in the WSJ:
[...] In the aftermath of the Feb. 13 agreement, North Korea had to develop a cover story for its uranium-enrichment activities, as well a way to conceal its stock of plutonium and actual nuclear weapons. And yet -- despite the seemingly active and continuing collaboration by the U.S. State Department in coming up with a convincing line of patter -- Pyongyang still insists it never engaged in uranium enrichment, producing as evidence melted-down tubes. Melting the tubes was curious in and of itself, suggesting that in their original form they appeared much more like centrifuge equipment than artillery barrels. The regime made a fatal mistake, however, because the metal showed unmistakable traces of highly-enriched uranium (HEU).
They had made a great leap forward with the might of Songun!
Perhaps even the State Department's East Asia Bureau was shocked at this evidence of North Korean duplicity. In any event, the "dual use" dodge was now out of play, and Pyongyang had to be persuaded to come up with a more convincing cover story. Even this they have now refused to do.

The timing is important, because elements within the U.S. intelligence community were questioning the community's 2002 assessment that North Korea had launched a production-scope procurement effort for enrichment equipment. This effort, similar in origin and intent to the recent National Intelligence Estimate on Iran's nuclear program, may well have been sidetracked by the findings of HEU, which at least in part reinforced the 2002 conclusions.

Moreover, whatever the North Korean declaration says about its nuclear activities -- assuming just for sport that we actually get a declaration -- it was always only a first step in a long process of verification, and not even the most important one. If North Korea and the State Department, working together, can come up with something they think will pass the public smile test once it is released, we still need to verify the accuracy and completeness of the declaration. Here is where State has failed most obviously: There has yet to be, 11 months after the Feb. 13 agreement, even a hint of what specific mechanisms will verify a declaration. Unless and until this vacuum is filled, we are going nowhere fast in denuclearizing North Korea. [...]

The singleminded unity of the servicepersons is smashing all Imperialist plots! (h/t: Lucianne.com)

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 10:21 PM

Taking care of business - legally or not

Social Security for Bernie

A couple of unemployed New Yorkers attempted to cash a Social Security check. Not that strange, except it was the check of their recently departed roommate.
When Virgilio Cintron, 66, died at his apartment at 436 West 52nd Street recently, his roommate and a friend saw an opportunity to cash his $355 check, the police said.

They did not go about it the easy way, the police said, choosing a ruse that resembled the plot of “Weekend at Bernie’s,” a film about two young men who prop up their dead employer to pretend that he is alive.

“Hell’s Kitchen has a rich history,” said Paul J. Browne, a police spokesman, “but this is one for the books.”

There was no sign of foul play in Mr. Cintron’s death, he added.

The roommate, James P. O’Hare, and his friend, David J. Dalaia, both 65 and unemployed, placed Mr. Cintron’s body in the chair and wheeled it around the corner, south along Ninth Avenue on Tuesday afternoon, the police said. The men parked the chair with the corpse in front of Pay-O-Matic at 763 Ninth Avenue, a check-cashing business that Mr. Cintron had patronized.

He's a crack employee

Henry Lynch was injured on the job in 1967, applied for and received disability. However when the state discovered that he had a regular job it took action.
The Ohio Bureau of Workers' Compensation terminated Lynch's disability payments and declared payments after Jan. 1, 1994, an overpayment. Lynch contested this, eventually taking it to the Supreme Court with the argument that his drug dealing income couldn't be considered because it was illegal.

"We disagree. Lynch cannot use the illegality of his pursuits as a shield," the Ohio Supreme Court said in a unanimous opinion.

Can this marriage be saved?

A Polish man recently discovered that his wife was a prostitute on the side. How'd he find this out?
A Polish man got the shock of his life when he visited a brothel and spotted his wife among the establishment's employees. Polish tabloid Super Express said the woman had been making some extra money on the side while telling her husband she worked at a store in a nearby town.
So apparently he was at the establishment as a customer! I can't imagine that his wife was too happy either. The answer to the title question is (unsurprisingly), "no."
The couple, married for 14 years, are now divorcing, the newspaper reported.

It kind of reminded me of the Moshe and Bernie joke. (Originally I heard it as two Frenchmen, but the punchline's the same.)

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Posted by SoccerDad at 7:49 PM

Shavit's prescription

One of the most consistently interesting Israeli columnists, is Ari Shavit from Ha'aretz. Though a member of the Left and of the peace camp, he has consistently demonstrated an intellectual honest that makes him readable even if I don't agree with everything he writes. But today's "On a Divine Mission" is just about perfect. At first he sounds a bit condescending.

The man standing at the window this morning is a very lonely man. He is vilified in his own country and almost a leper in the international community. The America that he tried to save has turned against him, and the West that he wanted to defend is dismissive of him.

But Shavit comes back by dismissing that superficial judgment.

But George W. Bush is not deterred, nor does he bend to public opinion, to the media and to trendy thinging.

Unlike some of his friends, he is not an opportunist who changes his stripes. He conducts his dialogue with history and with God. And since he is a man of moral clarity and simple principles and character, he does not tend to give in. Even when the current turns against him he remains faithful to his truth.

What must President Bush do?

The right formula is the Bush vision. To act with determination in order to create Palestinian capability before precisely defining the borders of the Palestinian territory. To promote Paris before devoting ourselves to Annapolis. To help the Palestinians bring about their conversion rather than pretending that the conversion has already taken place. In short: to return to George W. Bush's fundamental truths.

The contrast between Shavit's reading of the president and Bush recall 1998 trip to Israel by Michael Abramowitz in the Washington Post is stark.

Those close to Bush believe the trip made a very strong impression on the future president and would bond him to the future Israeli prime minister -- and, in the view of Bush's critics, would ultimately tilt the United States away from its role as a more independent broker of Middle East peace.

The Washington Post article portrays an easily convinced rube. The notion that Israel has legitimate security concerns is negated by the unchallenged comments of unspecified critics of the president.

Still it appears that the President is ignoring Shavit's advice and pushing for a Palestinian state ready or not. Still that hasn't exactly made him popular among the Palestinians.

Jericho, a relatively tranquil town of about 25,000 Palestinians north of the Dead Sea, was on the short list of West Bank Palestinian Authority destinations for the presidential visit, with Bethlehem and Ramallah, the site of the Palestinian authority headquarters. The governor of Jericho, Arif Jaabari, said that American security and diplomatic staff had been to his compound twice and checked the area where Yasir Arafat’s helicopter used to land.

But Jericho was not included in the president’s final schedule, causing little disappointment among residents. “He’s the worst, Bush,” said a 64-year-old man who identified himself only by his nickname, Abu Muhammad. “He supports Israel and mocks and deceives us.”

What's remarkable is how much aid - financial and political - the United States has given the Palestinians during the Bush administration and how little these contributions have helped. They haven't made the Palestinians more receptive to Israel or even to fulfilling American conditions. Still the president pushes for them to have a state. And they keep demonizing him.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:03 AM

Submitted 01/10/08

The new Watcher's Council nominations have been submitted.

My usual approach is to offer my synopses of the Watcher's Council nominations right away, but this week is different. Being a member of the council is not hazardous, but a former member undertook hazardous duty. The posthumous musings of former council member Maj Andrew olmsted are up. Additionally Obsidian Wings offers How to help remember Maj. Olmsted - by supporting the fund established for the children of the soldier who was killed along with him. The Watcher took a break from his administrative duties and offered his thoughts too.

The Cop on the Beat - The Glittering Eye considers America's role in the world.

Even if the cop on the beat is fat, lazy, sometimes unfair, and even occasionally corrupt, he’s better than turning the city over to the criminals.

Growth Potential - Done With Mirrors wonders if a candidate needs to be ready for the presidency, or if he/she just needs room to grow. He writes:
But I think George W. Bush proves that there is a little time and room, at least. He confounded me; I expected him to grow into the job, but, for better or worse, he seems to be exactly what he was in 2000.

I disagree. When he ran for President he scoffed at the notion of nation building. After 9/11, nation building and its success or failure became the hallmark of his presidency.
Closed Loop or Branching Streams? - For those of you who missed the MIT time traveler convention The Colossus of Rhodey.Hube investigates the nature of time travel. If you still want to attend it's never too late.
Britain's Prosecution of The Blogger Lionheart for Criticism of Islam - Wolf Howling lays out the case of British blogger who is facing criminal charges for expressing his negative opinion about Islam. Surprised? Don't be. This is England after all.
Honor Killings? What Honor Killings? - In a similar vein, Cheat Seeking Missiles looks at the media reticence in the United States to report on the killing of two Texas teenagers by their father.
Death and the Moonbat - Bookworm Room considers the role of religious belief in one's willingness to serve in the army. On the surface the idea makes sense - one who believes in an afterlife would be more willing to risk this life for an important cause - I'm just not sure that experience bears that out.
Major Andrew Olmsted, R.I.P - Joshuapundit offers his gracious tribute to the former Watcher's Council member who was killed in action last week in Iraq.
Dixville Notch This! - The Education Wonks objects to the weight given the early primaries.
Major Papers Oppose Justice For Murderers - Rhymes With Right castigates major American papers for their opposition to the death penalty. He also slyly gets in a secondary dig: he notes the percentages of American who approve of the death penalty. It's a number missing from these paper coverage of the issue. (If the editors and reporters agreed on an issue with the American public, you can be sure that the polling numbers would saturate the coverage.
Nix On "Negative" Nomenclature - Big Lizards explains the difference between negative campaigning and explaining the difference on the issues. And it's not that negative campaigning is a critical ad by a politician you oppose.
The Cotton Candy Candidacy - After recounting a brief but fascinating history of the the New Hampshire primary, Right Wing Nut House pinpoints what bothers him about Sen. Obama's campaign.
Getting a "Clue" - I sorted through contradictory reports to figure out if a woman on hajj was killed by an Israeli soldier. Later reports support my conclusion.

Read, Enjoy. Be Informed.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 4:58 AM

January 9, 2008

Greenland to melt and drown Alexandria

Sort of reminds you of the interconnectedness of things, doesn't it? From Islam Online:

[...] Alexandria hosts the biggest harbor in Egypt. It is an important economic and trade hub and contributes nearly 40 percent of the country's industrial activities. According to projections from computer climate models, a large part of the city may be inundated due to climate change.

"Projections depend on lots of things," said Dr. Piers Forster, a Roberts Research Fellow in the School of Earth and Environment at the University of Leeds. "You get a whole lot of different scenarios and you put them into your climate computer and it produces several models." [...]

"We can predict quite accurately how sea level will rise by thermal expansion – and this could be anywhere between 20 cm to 60 cm by 2100, or half this by 2050," explained Forster. "This won't be too bad, but some scientists are predicting that Greenland could melt very fast - and there is an extra 600 cm of sea-level sitting on top of Greenland."

This could easily lead to Alexandria – and several other coastal cities in Egypt – completely disappearing under water. "However, there are big arguments between the experts as to whether Greenland will melt fast." Some think it could happen in 50 years, while others say it may take up to a millennium. [...]

So it wouldn't be a good thing to have an office pool about.

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 10:18 PM

Morning colors

The clouds picked up a really eerie shade of pink this morning.

children misc 007.jpg

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I've gotten some nice morning shots before. And then there was a sunrise just recently.

Here's an explanation of "Red sky at night ..."

Red sky in morning, sailor’s warning. A red sunrise reflects the dust particles of a system that has just passed from the west. This indicates that a storm system may be moving to the east. If the morning sky is a deep fiery red, it means a high water content in the atmosphere. So, rain is on its way.

The clouds this morning were taken in the E/SE sky. Eventually an short storm blew through, though it appeared to be traveling to the west as the eastern sky cleared while the ominous blue clouds remained in the west. In fact I thought we had a chance for a rainbow with the sun in the east and the storm apparently passed to the west. But none appeared.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 8:43 PM

Crossdressing clifford

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My six year old decided to dress Clifford up.

In a skirt and blouse.

Who knew?

Maybe he found Emily Elizabeth's clothes.

Maybe it's a John Ritter thing.

Crossdressedposted on Yourish.

Posted by SoccerDad at 8:23 PM

Lies, Damned Lies, And Polls

With apologies to Mark Twain, when US foreign policy in Israel is dictated not by common sense but by opinion polls, then it behooves the US to do their homework. Condoleeza Rice has consistently claimed that both Israeli and Palestinian Arab public opinion back up whatever US policy De Jure she is pushing that day.

It may be that the election of Hamas was due in part to the US believing polls indicating that Fatah was going to win big--particularly the polls of one particular person:

The problem with [Khalil] Shikaki lies in another realm altogether: his polls of Palestinian opinion. Shikaki runs something called the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research, which gets money from foreign governments and foundations to conduct opinion surveys. They've earned Shikaki the moniker of "respected pollster," and he's always running off to Washington or a European capital to present his findings.

Shikaki conducted three crucial polls that affected perceptions in Washington, in the early parts of June, September and December 2005. They showed Fatah well ahead of Hamas, by a comfortable and growing margin:

June 2005: "Findings show that the level of participation in the next legislative elections will be 77% and the outcome of those elections will be as follows: 44% for Fateh, 33% for Hamas and Islamic Jihad, 3% for the left, and 8% for independent lists. 12% are undecided."

September 2005: "Findings show that 74% of the Palestinians will participate in the upcoming parliamentary elections in January 2006. Voting intentions among the likely participants indicate an increase of Fateh’s support from 44% last June to 47% in this poll and a drop in Hamas’ support from 33% to 30% during the same period. 11% will vote for other factions and groups and 11% remain undecided."

December 2005: "If elections are held today, findings show that 78% of the Palestinians would participate (compared to 74% last September). Among those intending to participate in the upcoming parliamentary elections, 50% will vote for Fateh, 32% for Hamas, 9% for other factions and groups including independents, and 9% remain undecided."

With each new Shikaki poll, U.S. policymakers grew more lax when it came to setting conditions for Hamas participation. Robert Satloff and Dore Gold both sharply criticized the U.S. drift that allowed entry of a gun-toting, terrorist-talking Hamas into the electoral arena. They were disregarded because of certainty at the State Department and the White House that Fatah would win anyway, and that Abu Mazen would be in a stronger position to discipline Hamas after the victory. A lot of that certainty derived from Shikaki's polls.
Funny that Shakaki "gets money from foreign governments and foundations to conduct opinion surveys"--it reminds me of Peace Now that is also supported by foreign governments. And sure enough
Shikaki's polls have become a font of conventional wisdom. Whenever you hear someone say that a majority of Palestinians accept a two-state solution, or a majority of Palestinian refugees don't really want to return to Israel proper, or the Palestinians hate corruption more than Israel, it's a remote echo of one of Shikaki's polls. Complicating the picture is the fact that Shikaki isn't only a pollster. He's a political analyst, and even a political activist, which is why Americans for Peace Now have rallied to him in the Brandeis row. From Peace Now to the State Department, Shikaki is admired and feted because he tells peace processors what they want to hear--not just with emotion and analysis, but with numbers. [emphasis added]
So Europe is not only funding the PA in an effort to keep their dream-state afloat, they are also funding the pollsters to provide evidence of a desire of peace by the Palestinian Arabs as well as funding the groups to force Israel to act as if those findings were actually accurate.

This makes Boss Tweed and Tammany Hall look like amateurs.

D

Crossposted at Daled Amos

[Hat tip: Noah Pollack]

Technorati Tag: and .

Posted by daledamos at 7:49 AM

No gaza = more terror

I generally like Max Boot. (In fact I even have relatives who like reading him.)

However his take on the withdrawal from Gaza, More on the decline of Terror is mistaken for a number of reasons. Boot writes:


I wrote in this Los Angeles Times op-ed in August 2005 that the withdrawal was the right move even though it would undoubtedly turn Gaza into a “Hamastan.” I argued that the evacuation would regain the initiative, strategically and morally, for the Jewish state, and that Israel would actually be more free to respond to terrorism from Gaza if it were no longer under “occupation” but the territory of a sovereign state.

But by withdrawing Israel allowed a terror infrastructure to develop. Last week we saw an escalation in the technology used against Israel. And as Backspin noted, the moral initiative was rather fleeting.

Hebrew University researchers studying thousands of news articles found that Israel's image in the MSM deteriorated after the Gaza disengagement.

Remember how the World Bank blamed Israel for closing Gaza and further hurting the Palestinian economy?

Boot writes further:

The growing number of rocket attacks from Gaza into southern Israel has led me recently to start wondering whether I was wrong. But the figures Hazony cites suggest that the rockets are much less deadly than the suicide bombers of old. Moreover, Israel is starting to respond more effectively to those provocations, with, for instance, targeted strikes on terrorist masterminds.

Until now, the rockets have been less deadly than suicide bombers. But given the porous border with Egypt the possibility of an escalation of rockets is a frightening possibility.

I also figure that another thing that has helped Israel is that in the wake of the 2006 war in the north, Israel's defense minister has been replaced with someone who, despite his limitations as a politician, knows how to operate an army.

If Israel still had a military presence in Gaza those targeted strikes would be easier and the infrastructure could have been disrupted. Rather the terror infrastructure has been able to grow due to a lack of an Israeli military presence.

Think back to the terror attacks of early 1996. What led to that escalation? Israeli withdrew from 6 Palestinians cities in late 1995 and when the PA took over it gave Hamas a free hand.

Even last year's war with Hezbollah could be attributed to the 2000 withdrawal from Lebanon.

Seraphic Secret quotes Israeli Nobel Laureate Prof Aumann

“The expulsion of Jews from Gaza was stupid, venal, and barbaric. The expulsion of Jews from Gaza led directly to the war with Hizbullah, and now to the rain of missiles on S'derot.”
(read the whole thing, of course.)

The decline in terror is due to factors other than the withdrawal from Gaza, which only encouraged terror.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:14 AM

Wrong again

Contentions.Daniel Casse writes Another Loser: Frank Luntz. This has nothing to do with Luntz's plant.

Frank Luntz, the pollster who has been conducting focus groups on air after debates on Fox News, has just had the nerve to show up on Fox and declare that “turnout models are broken” by way of explaining how pollsters got the New Hampshire results so wrong.

Casse notes further that Luntz himself was projecting big wins by Sen. Obama and Gov. Romney.

My question is this: Are there serious flaws in polling methodology? Are news organizations somehow skewing their results to give us a better story? We saw a "Kerry comeback" in Iowa four years ago. Now we're seeing a "Hillary comeback" and "McCain surprise" in New Hampshire this year. (McCain seemed to be the pollster's favorite going in, though not by as much.)

I figured that campaigns' internal polls are probably more accurate than the public ones done by news organizations. But then Clinton had that staff shake-up yesterday.

Gary Langer of ABC
writes:

In the end there may be no smoking gun. Those polls may have been accurate, but done in by a superior get-out-the-vote effort, or by very late deciders whose motivations may or may not ever be known. They may have been inaccurate because of bad modeling, compromised sampling, or simply an overabundance of enthusiasm for Obama on the heels of his Iowa victory that led his would-be supporters to overstate their propensity to turn out. (A function, perhaps, of youth.)

If the problem was the youth vote, Zogby overstated its importance in November 2004. But still I wonder, did any campaign get its internal polling correct? That's where the news organization should be looking.

UPDATE: Casse gets some points for prescience writing Hillary: not dead yet yesterday.

But don’t forget that she still has more money than anyone in the campaign and deep, embedded support in key states. If, after Tuesday, the race comes down to just Obama and Clinton, we might see a real contest of “new versus experience.”

I still believe that money (and organization) is the major factor. Remember Obama-Clinton and Romney-Giuliani will be the four left standing. If I'm right, you can start ignoring polls and start paying attention to FEC filings.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:12 AM

4 + 1 on president bush in the middle east

Bush's last year: The best, one hopes, is yet to come by Barry Rubin

The gap between the real Middle East and how it is perceived by all too many people in Washington and in the academic-journalistic elite is far too wide.

Three quick examples are useful to underline this point. First, the Annapolis summit was widely hailed throughout America and the West as a big success, even by Bush's biggest enemies. (That means, of course, it achieved the main goal, which was not primarily about the Middle East itself.) In the region, however, less than one-fifth of Israelis and Palestinians thought it had done any good. People in the region knew better.

Second, many in the United States have hailed what seems to be a de-escalation of U.S. pressure on Iran over the nuclear issue. The response by Gulf Arab states, though, has been to conclude America is weak and retreating, followed by their escalated efforts to make their own appeasement deal with Tehran.

Third, the same is true for Syria, where American efforts at conciliation have emboldened Damascus and demoralized the Lebanese moderates resisting Syrian domination.

One can only hope that Bush and his administration consider the effect of what it does on the Middle East.

The Bush Visit and Tensions in the U.S.-Israel Relationship by Gerald Steinberg

* The December "surprise" resulting from the publication of the U.S. National Intelligence Estimate disrupted fifteen years of Israeli policy based on working with the international coalition to pressure Iran to drop its nuclear weapons program through sanctions and the threat of military action, and has reminded Israelis of the limits of American security guarantees and strategic cooperation.
* Within two weeks following publication of the NIE report, China signed a major contract on energy development and supply with Iran, and Russia quickly dispatched two shipments of nuclear fuel for the Bushehr nuclear reactor. Egypt moved to improve relations with Iran, and Saudi Arabia welcomed Iranian President Ahmadinejad to Mecca for the Haj.
* Prime Minister Olmert had explained the logic of the "Annapolis process" in terms of the coalition to stop Iran, but two weeks after Annapolis, with the release of the NIE report, this rationale has lost much of its relevance.
* Another source of stress comes from differences over renewed U.S. efforts to forge a quick agreement with the Palestinian Authority at a time of continued terrorism, the violent conflict between Fatah and Hamas, the failure to develop functioning Palestinian institutions, and the PA's ongoing incitement and rejection of the legitimacy of a Jewish state.
* In addition, the overall decline of U.S. influence, as reflected in Iraq, the return of Russia as a world power, the chaos in Pakistan, and other developments, has highlighted the limits of Israeli reliance on American assistance, and the need for Israel to maintain an independent capability to act when necessary.

Bush of Arabia by Fouad Ajami

Suffice it for them that George W. Bush was at the helm of the dominant imperial power when the world of Islam and of the Arabs was in the wind, played upon by ruinous temptations, and when the regimes in the saddle were ducking for cover, and the broad middle classes in the Arab world were in the grip of historical denial of what their radical children had wrought. His was the gift of moral and political clarity.

In America and elsewhere, those given reprieve by that clarity, and single-mindedness, have been taking this protection while complaining all the same of his zeal and solitude. In his stoic acceptance of the burdens after 9/11, we were offered a reminder of how nations shelter behind leaders willing to take on great challenges.

We scoffed, in polite, jaded company when George W. Bush spoke of the "axis of evil" several years back. The people he now journeys amidst didn't: It is precisely through those categories of good and evil that they describe their world, and their condition. Mr. Bush could not redeem the modern culture of the Arabs, and of Islam, but he held the line when it truly mattered. He gave them a chance to reclaim their world from zealots and enemies of order who would have otherwise run away with it.

Mr. Bush in the Middle East - the Washington Post

The patrol boat incident was part of a confusing mix of signals from Iran, where Mr. Ahmadinejad's hard-line position may be weakening even as Iranian-sponsored violence against American forces in Iraq has diminished. Mr. Bush's confrontational regional strategy may make it difficult to exploit these conditions. That's one reason the president would be better off to return to the themes of Middle East policy he pursued before last year: the stabilization of Iraq and the promotion of democratic reforms. The focus on Iran and the peace process has stripped energy and attention from these causes; Saudi Arabia and Egypt have been allowed to continue boycotting the Iraqi government and jailing their own proponents of liberalization. Iraq's own political leaders still dither on desperately needed political accords. There is speculation that Mr. Bush will make a surprise stop in Baghdad; whether or not he does, the stabilization of Iraq should be his top Middle East priority during his last year in office.

These four views on the President's trip to the Middle East highlight certain differences in perception but seem to have a common theme: The President was correct to emphasize democratization and would be stronger if he continued his policy of confronting Islamic extremism.

Steinberg's analysis doesn't quite say that, but laments its absence especially as evidenced by the NIE that played down the Iranian threat.

Steinberg's essay is echoed in a recent report from the Washington Post.

But some Arabs suspect the Bush administration may decide it has to work with Iran to preserve security gains in Iraq. Khalid al-Dakheel, a political scientist at King Saud University in Riyadh, said "some people here think, or have the jitters, that this administration or the next administration . . . might find themselves in a position to reconcile themselves with the Iranians."

While there's a lot of tendentiousness in the article, casting President Bush in the worst possible light, what comes out is concern among the Arab world that the United States isn't committed to facing down the Iranians.

Ajami credits the president with changing the nature of the Arab/Islamic world. Perhaps he overstates the case with the recent accommodation seen among Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Hamas and Iran. Still he correctly credits the president for trying to show that the Israeli-Palestinian is not the central issue in the Middle East as the Arab world claims. (Or at least he did until now.)

Rubin seems consistent with Ajami, at least in terms of what President Bush needs to do. However Rubin isn't nearly as positive about the current situation as Ajami.

Even the Washington Post which is congenitally condemned to bring up "illegal settlements" at every turn concedes that stabilizing Iraq is a more important goal than Arab-Israeli peace.

While these others have analyzed President Bush's actions, Fiery Spirited Zionist as analyzed his words and found them wanting. It's well worth reading.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:02 AM

6% martin

It must be disconcerting for a politician to look at his numbers and discover that he's even less popular than President Bush. WJZ reports O'Malley Has Lower Approval Rating Than Pres. Bush

A Washington Times Rasmussen poll gives President Bush a 36 percent approval rating. O'Malley got a 33 percent approval rating.

"Martin O'Malley is going to be very popular. He had a great year as governor, very progressive year. He moved forward on education, healthcare and the environment...His approval ratings are going to go nowhere but up," said Senate President Mike Miller.

In the poll, six percent of participants ranked the governor's performance as excellent, 27 percent good, 27 percent fair, 37 percent poor and 4 percent not sure.

Sen. Barbara Mikulski is the voice of reason.

"I think what people are responding to is that their own pocketbook is shrinking and they are frustrated with anyone they think may have shrunk it more," said Barbara Mikulski, U.S. Senate.

That makes sense. The governor and his rubber stamp legislature convened a special session in November to close the state's budget shortfall. In short order they passed a tax increase to close the gap that, among other things, raised the sales tax and arbitrarily extended it to services too.

Worse, the very first order of business was to increase spending on health care for the poor. The budget shortfall was the emergency that necessitated the session, so raising spending as the first order of business was a poor way of demonstrating that the budget crisis was that severe. I can see why Marylanders might think that the governor and legislature were not looking out for their economic interests. (The so-called structural deficit amounted to less than 6% of Maryland's $30 billion budget. I bet enough legislators have enough pet projects that could have been cut, if they'd had the will.)

omalley math.jpg
(Courtesy of Pillage Idiot)

Remarkably the results of this poll don't appear to have made it into the Baltimore Sun, however one of the paper's blogs mentions the poll. Maybe it's because the poll was commissioned by a different newspaper.

It's too early and too close to the special session to read too much into the polls but Gov. Ehrlich consistently polled with over 50% approval ratings.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:02 AM

Anne Frank: The Musical?

From The New York Times:

Anne Frank Musical to Open in Madrid

A musical based on “The Diary of a Young Girl” by Anne Frank is to open next month at the Calderon Theater in Madrid. Its star will be Isabella Castillo, 13, whose mother fled with her from Cuba to Belize, where they lived in hiding before immigrating to Miami, The Guardian of London reported. The newspaper said the production, developed by Rafael Alvero, has been given the support of the Anne Frank Foundation, which holds the rights to the diary. It is adapted from the account written while Anne and her family hid from the Nazis in Amsterdam during World War II. Jan Erik Dubbelman, who heads the international department of the foundation, said: “This production respects the message of tolerance, within the tragedy, that we want to keep alive. Being in Spanish, it can also help to take the message of Anne Frank to Latin America.”

A correction to the article notes that this is not the first attempt.

Back in 1985, Frank Rich wrote an unfavorable review for The New York Times of the first attempt at a musical about Anne Frank, "Yours, Anne":

If there is any story that does not call for such prissy abstraction, stylization and symbols it is Anne Frank's. Her diary was truth, not fiction; her temporary haven in Amsterdam was in a real building, not in an interior decorator's imagination; her murder by the Nazis at Bergen-Belsen was a real murder, not a cue (as staged here) for a symbolic stage effect. If the heroism and tragedy of Anne Frank are to speak loudly to new generations, as they must, her words cannot be muffled and diminished by the archpoetic conceits and pious generalizations of "theater" like "Yours, Anne."
If the Anne Frank Foundation is behind this new attempt, let's hope that it turns out better.

At least, better than when The Diary of Anne Frank was published in North Korea

North Korea is using the Diary of Anne Frank, the moving account of the Amsterdam schoolgirl forced into hiding from the Nazis for two years, to brainwash schoolchildren into believing that President George W Bush is as evil as Hitler.

Secondary schools throughout the Stalinist state are teaching pupils that the experience of their country - which is almost completely cut off from the outside world - is directly comparable to that of the Franks family during the Nazi occupation of Holland. Schools use the diaries to teach pupils about Hitler, and then teach that America is the modern equivalent of the Nazis.

The extraordinary use of a book which, after the Bible, has sold more copies worldwide than any other work of non-fiction, emerged from a Dutch television company's visit to the reclusive state to meet pupils studying the diaries.

That article came out in 2004. Two years earlier, The Anne Frank Foundation came out on their website with this:
It was with great pleasure that the AFF supported plans to publish a North Korean edition of the Diary. It is a matter of considerable regret that there is still no Arabic edition of the Diary.
All things considered, perhaps we should greet the lack of an Arabic edition with a sigh of relief.[update: The Diary of Anne Frank was translated into Arabic in 2004]

Perhaps it is just better to let Anne Frank speak for herself.

D

Crossposted at Daled Amos

Technorati Tag: .

Posted by daledamos at 2:44 AM

Palestinian Chronicles backs Ron Paul

Put on your tin-foil keffiyeh:

[...] Ron Paul is the only candidate to openly question support to Israel. US support of Israel was and is one of the main reasons behind the 911 attacks and subsequent “jihad” against American Imperialism and Missionary Democracy, attacks not against American’s or our way of life, but war waged against failed foreign policy which is contrary to America’s core ideals; (2) an Israeli, US endorsed policy that supports war crimes, murder of innocent children and political opponents, land theft, the collective punishment of a people while violating US and International law, ignoring clear UN mandates such as UN Resolution 242.(3) There is no conflict between Israel and Palestine, that was resolved by UN 242. All are usurpations of the Constitution, yet only Ron Paul dares to speak out.

Only Ron Paul has clearly defined “terrorism.” No candidate has done this. Terrorist acts are a war tactic, not insane actions of “extremists.” There is no hate of our way of life, America is not indiscriminately attacked by extremists, we are attacked because of our governments failed foreign policy decisions that do not reflect American ideals. Israel’s domination of American Middle Eastern Foreign Policy must end, Ron Paul is the hope for that tomorrow that will come.

Israeli oppression of Palestine, Lebanon, Syria, Iran and Iraq must end, but out of the myriad of web sites and organizations, even among governments that oppose such actions, there is no centralized effort to effectuate political change which creates strategic results. Though unintentional, this incongruence becomes political apathy, the only benefactor being Zionism. Patriots against tyranny must become active politically in America’s never ending saga against tyranny and usurpations of its constitution.

The American ideal of government will always be on the defense against usurpations, even internally; “We The People” was a revolution that is alive once again today, through “The Ron Paul Revolution.” The Palestinian 50 year struggle against occupation will possibly become a continued distant long shot unless the groups that call for an end to this saga unite, overcome political apathy, quell infighting and begin positive involvement in this 2008 Presidential Election. Collectively they must support the only viable solution to this travesty, America’s long shot, Ron Paul.

Take that, Zio-Trilateralists!

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 1:53 AM

January 8, 2008

Insecure security

I wondered how secure the President's security detail felt with the Palestinain police and who knows how many other "security" organizations in charge of making Ramallah safe. (Shira bat Sarah wondered too.)

Well apparently, the Secret Service felt that the Palestinians needed some help.

US snipers will take up positions on rooftops and local traffic will be barred from some downtown districts as part of unprecedented security precautions during US President George W. Bush's visit this week, Palestinian security officials said Tuesday.

Bush is expected to travel to Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas' Ramallah headquarters, known in Arabic as the muqaata, by helicopter on Thursday.

Apparently not even a number of show arrests alleviated American anxiety over the state of Palestinian security.

Nine top Fatah gunmen from Nablus on Tuesday surrendered their weapons to the Palestinian Authority security forces out of fear of being targeted by Israel.

And it is the PA security forces that Israel will once again be asked to trust its own security to, even though they can't even secure a single building in advance of the President's visit.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 5:02 PM

Well intentioned damage

At the end of 1998, then-President Clinton visited Gaza to oversee the fictional revocation of the clauses in the Palestinian Charter that call for the destruction of Israel. It's not surprising that on the eve of President Bush's to the Middle East some people recall his predecessor's trip a little more than nine years ago.

Clinton, who felt (and probably still feels) everyone's pain and he didn't miss an opportunity when he visited the Middle East to commiserate. The International Herald Tribune recounts:

Nihad Zakout was 11 when she met Clinton in 1998. She was one of four Palestinian youngsters with fathers in Israeli jails who had been selected to deliver a plea to the U.S. leader to seek the release of Palestinian prisoners, one of the most emotionally charged issues in the conflict.

Today, Zakout is a cynical 20-year-old, deeply disappointed in the U.S. as her father remains locked up... She says she has few expectations of Bush.

"There is nothing he can do," she said.

A day after meeting Zakout and the other Palestinians, Clinton also met with young Israelis whose fathers had been killed by Palestinians.

Clinton said at the time that both groups of children brought tears to his eyes, and that "we have to find a way for both sets of children to get their lives back and to go forward."

I edited something out of the quoted article. The full sentence should read "Today, Zakout is a cynical 20-year-old, deeply disappointed in the U.S. as her father remains locked up for killing an Israeli."

It's bad enough that the reporters consider the jailing of convicted murderers as an "emotionally charged issue." How is it for the other side? If Zakout's father was released, how would the relatives of his victim feel? That's not explored.

But the then-president of the United States equated a child of a murderer with the children of murder victims! "Get their lives back?" Again, what about the victim of Zakout's father? Would he ever get his life back?

At the Spine Martin Peretz (or, if Bloglines is correct, James Kirchik) writes

And the fact is that most Israelis knew Bill Clinton as a lover -- but as an unfaithful lover. They go back in memory to the fall of 2000 when Clinton steamrolled Ehud Barak into concessions that were unwise and perilous but nonetheless did not entice Arafat into a deal but into starting the Second Intifada. Since I've been here I've spoken with three top security veterans who actually were terrified that, if Hillary were president, she'd send her husband as a mediator in the Israel-Palestinian conflict where, at best, he'd do well-intentioned damage.

When, in the name of peace, you conflate the murderers with their victims, there is no surer way to inflict well intentioned damage.

Crossposted at Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 4:51 PM

Pssst, buddy want a tip.

Israel's economic classification is due to change this year and is expected to be included as a developed market rather than an emerging market.

Times Online writes:

"British investors have tended to ignore Israel, but its stock market will be thrust into the limelight this year when it is promoted from emerging to developed market status." This is referring to the fact that Israel is up for OECD membership, and if accepted -- and it looks like it will happen -- Israel will join the prestigious organization and be considered a "developed country."


BloggingStocks notes
:
Some pundits have argued that admission into the OECD will actually hurt Israeli stocks as Israel is about 2% of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, and its share in the global investment pie would fall to 0.2% if Israel is admitted to the developed markets index. What they neglect to mention is that there is a heck of a lot more money under management in developed markets than in emerging markets. So Israel's weighting may drop, but the amount of money available to invest will be substantially more.

Despite the conflict Israel's economy continues to boom.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:33 AM

An o-turn

The hiring of Andy MacPhail last year brought hope to Orioles' fans that the end of the team's 10 year drought may soon be over. Of course any turnaround effected by MacPhail will be complicated by the fact that the Orioles play in the same division as two of the best run and richest franchises.

Making matters worse is that any turnaround will almost certainly necessitate the Orioles getting worse (relative to the competition) before they get better as the Rays seem ready to improve.

Matters were complicated by the fact that even as the Rays were gradually moving in the right direction the Orioles were moving in the wrong one.

Since then we've run through some real crackerjack front office types, from the absurd Syd Thrift to the nice-but-overmatched Mike Flanagan, who has been paired up with Jim Beattie and Jim Duquette. Too many cooks, maybe. Or maybe it was that all the cooks weren't any good to begin with. I mean, we hired the guy that traded Scott Kazmir for Victor Zambrano, you know? Then we wound up with Zambrano on our team this year.

But I'm getting sidetracked now by silly Jim Duquette decisions. MacPhail has said all the right things so far, and done a few of them, too. Like getting rid of Victor freakin' Zambrano, and recognizing that Tejada had to be dealt, and at least paying lip service to offers for Bedard and Roberts.

(And the Orioles made matters worse by taking some of the sting out of the Kazmir deal for the Mets by repeating the error and trading the Mets John Maine for Kris Benson!)

Now certain things seem to be getting better though. For one thing, John Sickels believes

This system is underrated. While some of the more-heralded guys like Brandon Snyder look overrated to me by other analysts, there is some growing depth here, and several of the Grade C+/C guys have the potential to move beyond those grades.

The Orioles still have work to do getting their farm system to the level of the Yankees, Red Sox, or Devil Rays. But they are making progress.

And it appears that now the Mariners are showing increased interest in Erik Bedard according to Ken Rosenthal.

The Mariners are continuing their aggressive pursuit of Bedard, major-league sources say, and there are growing indications that the teams could be moving closer to a deal.

The Reds also remain interested in Bedard, but the Mariners are willing to trade their top outfield prospect, Adam Jones, while the Reds will not part with their best minor-league outfielder, Jay Bruce.

Maybe waiting to deal wasn't so much a matter of indecision but carefully biding time.

The A's strong returns for right-hander Dan Haren and outfielder Nick Swisher in recent trades seemingly has increased the Orioles' leverage. The addition of Bedard, meanwhile, would give the Mariners a potentially dynamic rotation to compete with the Angels in the American League West.

Getting off of the O's for the end, this is a fascinating observation. We usually read about how the earlier free agent signings "set the market" for later players of similar ability. It never occurred to me that the same market principle could work for teams making trades.

This is reflective of two trends in baseball. The first (more basic) trend is the greater attention being paid to talent and its worth to a team. (This is likely bad news for the kinds of players that the Orioles have acquired recently who were valued more for their "veteran leadership" than their on field talent.) And the other related trend is the increased visibility of the GM. Since judging, acquiring and developing talent is becoming more important, the GM's role (and the organization he puts together) has become more important too.

Crossposted at OTB Sports.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 6:14 AM

Decay Deficit in Deutschland

As a current Der Spiegal article explains, the deceased in Germany have been overstaying their welcome. Germany evidently likes to reuse those graveyards, but the dearly departed are refusing to cooperate. I doubt they'll be able to hold out long against the modern technological tools wielded by the living:

[...] Corpses are no longer decaying in many German cemeteries. Instead, the deceased become waxen, an uncanny process that has become so rampant it can no longer be ignored.[...]

A high moisture content in the subsoil combined with low temperatures and a lack of oxygen are the main culprits. These conditions transform the soft tissue of many bodies not into humus, but rather "a gray-white, paste-like, soft mass," says soil expert Rainer Horn from the Christian Albrecht University in Kiel, Germany.

As time passes, the remains of the departed coagulate to form "a hard, durable substance." When knocked with a spade, the wax-like bodies sound hollow.

This "grave wax" buildup has disturbed the natural cycle of decay -- and created a horror scenario for burial authorities. When bodies don't decompose, their graves can't be reused -- a common practice in Germany. Contrary to many other countries, where final resting places are traditionally maintained in perpetuity, Germany recycles cemetery plots after a period of 15 to 25 years. Experience has shown that the earthly remains of the deceased rot away almost entirely in this amount of time, but only under favorable soil conditions.

Many German cemeteries today have far from ideal conditions. To make matters worse, the problem appears to be a homemade one: "Huge blunders committed over the past few decades" are to blame, says engineer Heinrich Kettler, who specializes in reconditioning soils that have become unsuitable for decomposition. [...]

This widespread problem has given rise to an entire industry that aims to save the day with new methods of rot. The latest innovation on this morbid market is the Swiss-engineered Linder reconditioning system -- a severe method that involves deep incursions into cemeteries. After excavating the unusable soil, Linder fills the area with a "custom mixture of topsoil, woodchips and gravel." Finishing touches to the burial place include a drainage system with additional filter and seepage layers. [...]

The city of Cologne has ordered a total of 5,000 concrete vaulted chambers and the nearby town of Herne has purchased 3,000. Many wealthy private individuals order these sarcophagi, made of pre-fab components, as a final resting place. [Salesman Bernhard] Ufer delivered three of them recently to Kürten in the Rhineland for relatives of the late composer Karlheinz Stockhausen.

A straight-faced reference to a "late composer" in an article about decomposition? That's either authorial restraint or a missed opportunity.
These barren chambers are meant to offer the rot-friendly atmosphere that graveyard soils can no longer provide . . .

Some manufacturers have fine-tuned their product and installed filters in the concrete crypts. Now the funeral trade has pinned its hopes on another Swiss invention called "Rapid Rot," a fungal extract designed to accelerate the decomposition of wooden coffins.[...]

They're morbidly upbeat about their chances for success.

Crossposted on Judeopundit

Posted by Judeopundit at 3:11 AM

Are Democratic Candidates Afraid To Mention 'Islamic Terrorism'?

That is the impression Investor's Business Daily seems to get from Saturday's debates:

We scanned the transcripts of Saturday's debates hosted by ABC News and tallied up the references to Islamic terrorism. The rhetorical divide between Democrats and Republicans on that score alone — ignoring the yawning gaps in policy — is stunning.

None of the four Democrat presidential candidates — despite running for an office that demands they lead the ongoing global war against Islamic extremists — could bring himself or herself to define the enemy we face as Islamic.

Their combined references to "Islam" or "Islamic" totaled zero — even though moderator Charles Gibson prompted them with a question about "Islamic radicals" threatening the U.S. with nuclear terrorism.

But Democrats refused to go there. Out of respect for their constituency, there was a complete blackout regarding Islamic jihad.

Instead, Hillary Clinton defined the enemy generically as "stateless terrorists," while Barack Hussein Obama complained about the "politics of fear" that he thinks accurately defining the enemy has created.

John Edwards, meanwhile, continued to wage his own personal jihad against a phantom enemy of "irresponsible" corporations — from pharmaceutical and insurance companies to oil giants and multinational corporations.

Republicans, on the other hand, called the enemy by its proper name.

The candidates referred to terrorists and terrorism as "Islamic," while also citing radical "Islam" as the problem, no less than 22 times.

Read the whole thing.

If the surge in Iraq was not successful and the war was a bigger issue--would these same Democratic candidates then be talking about Islamic terrorists? Probably not, since acknowledging their existence would mitigate against a pullout.

So what are Democrats afraid of?
Acknowledging that despite errors in conducting the war, Bush was right??

And if they are afraid of talking about it, how can they be expected to deal with it?

D

Crossposted at Daled Amos

Technorati Tag: and .

Posted by daledamos at 3:02 AM

Think tanks

Following on Backspin's recent listing of the 18 Most Asked About Israeli Sites let's go over some of the best pro-Israel think tanks out there. (Before I get to the think tanks, here's one more Israeli government site that's probably worth being familiar with: MASHAV, where you can learn about the good works Israel does for countries who routinely condemn Israel in the UN.)

Part of the impetus for listing the think tanks is the recent re-design of GLORIA. GLORIA or Global Research in International Affairs (Center) is run by Prof. Barry Rubin and is affiliated with the Interdisciplinary Center (IDC) in Herzliya. Also affilated with the IDC is the ICT or the International Policy Institute for Counter-Terrorism.

I highly recommend the GLORIA site for up-to-the-minute papers on current topics concering the Middle East. I am not as familiar with the ICT website, but I've occasionally found good material there as well.

There is also the The Institute for National Security Studies (INSS), which is affiliated with Tel Aviv University. Its output appears to be very much within the mainstream of Israel's political world.

The Saban Center looks like it produces pretty standard leftist research. Like the INSS it appears to have strong ties to newsmakers, though not geared as exclusively to Israel as the INSS.

Another think tank that I rely on is the Jerusalem Council for Public Affairs. Run by Dr. Dore Gold, a former advisor to PM Netanyahu, it produces papers by academic and military experts. It also runs Daily Alert a daily report with "clippings" from major news stories regarding Israel. Daily Alert is available by e-mail.

The Middle East Forum is run by Daniel Pipes and features a number of related organizations. It's experts are mostly academic and they produce essay for the Middle East Quarterly as well as op-eds for the media. A number of its offerings - including weekly columsn by Dr. Pipes - are available via e-mail.

The one final think tank that I'll mention is the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. It's run by Robert Satloff and its most famous member is Dennis Ross, advisor to presidents. It features a wide array of experts and its members often contribute op-eds or magazine length essays.

It's probably unfair to refer to these thank-tanks as pro-Israel, although most of them do produce work is considered pro-Israel. They do, however, focus on the Middle East. They all produce work that can be useful in supporting your work.

Crossposted on Yourish.

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Posted by SoccerDad at 1:09 AM

If .. you must 01/07/08

I really should do this regularly

If you haven't read Fun O'Malley Factoid at Maryland Conservatarian; you must.
For a guy who's supposedly so politically in tune, his choices have been bewildering. At least this time his choice was defensible.
If you haven't read Crablaw's Games Club of Maryland; you must.
If you haven't