Well not really. Well as the Hedgehog Report reports
No, this is not the latest attack ad from the Democrats against Michael Steele. It is actually a scene in the next great ad from the Michael Steele campaign telling Marylanders what they can expect from the Democrats this year. One thing that has struck me so far in this campaign is number of people who don’t follow politics that have mentioned to me, knowing that I do follow politics, is how much they like Steele’s ads. When compared to Cardin’s string of standard anti-Bush ads, which is all he seems to be doing thus far, Steele’s ads seem to be standing out and making an impression on the people I come across.
I'll admit, though I'm a Republican I'm not 100% sold on Steele. His distancing himself from President Bush was extremely ham-handed. Still these commercials have the aim of painting a guy who headed a political party and served four years as Lt. Governor as an outsider. And he does them with panache.
The Fix at the Washington Post also likes the ads
As The Fix has said before, we are fans of Steele's unconventional ad campaign, which seeks to break through the clutter of typical campaign ads. Steele's newest ad is an attempt to further his "outsider" image while insulating himself against the Cardin campaign ads -- call them comparative, call them negative -- sure to come."Soon your TV will be jammed with negative ads from the Washington crowd," says Steele directly to camera. "Grainy pics and spooky music saying Steele hates puppies and worse. For the record, I love puppies." He adds that he would ban all gifts from lobbyists to members of Congress and eliminate last-minute amendments to spending bills to reduce pork-barrel spending -- burnishing his reform credentials.
Still the Fix points out the biggest handicap facing Steele are the numbers.
Since this post kicked off with raw numbers, let's finish it that way too. The most recent count of Maryland's registered voters showed Democrats at roughly 1.7 million, Republicans at 900,000 and independent/unaffilated voters at 430,000.Do the math. If Steele wins every Republican and unaffiliated vote, he still is 400,000 votes short of the total number of registered Democrats in the state. Of course, not every registered voter (Democrat, Republican or independent) will cast a ballot on Nov. 7, but the numbers show the immensity of Steele's challenge.
4 years ago, running with Ehrlich, Steele was part of a team that won against a candidate lacking both in charisma and a strong record. Steele wins the charisma battle with Cardin easily, but Cardin has the advantage in terms of his record.
Will the charisma be enough?
UPDATE: I see that I started a conversation on Memeorandum. It comes full circle with IMAO claiming that he could come up with a better smear of Steele than blending puppies.
Technorati tags: Michael Steele,Ben Cardin, Maryland Politics.
Great post but a little misleading at the end. They defeated a candidate lacking both in charisma and a strong record, true, but they defeated a freaking Kennedy in the liberal state of Maryland. I mean, Hillary Clinton had zero record when she ran for senate in NY, but she was still Hillary freaking Clinton. The opponent wasn't Kathleen Townsend, it was Kathleen KENNEDY Townsend, who was throwing around the "vote for me because my daddy was killed by a gun and I'm a woman" sympathy card like confetti at the end of the campaign....and they defeated her.
Posted by: RW at September 20, 2006 08:39 AMI share some of your Steele concerns - his "come-to-Milbank" moment definitely ratcheted down my enthusiasm for him...still, the stickers remain on my car.
As to Cardin having the advantage based on record: I honestly don't think you could find 1 in 20 voters (if that) who could identify something of substance in the Congressman's record (beyond longevity) - he has a record - but it's one that merely parrots the Democrats' talking points of the times.
The numbers obviously lose for us if voters vote reflexively party line but I'll take my chances on a known Michael Steele vs. a known Ben Cardin
Posted by: Maryland Conservatarian at September 20, 2006 08:47 AMPart of your Instalanche.
It's a great ad. Conservatives might feel better about the distancing from Bush if they remember that Rove has given a tacit okay to that.
Soccer dad, I think you may be the first person I've met who had a worse soccer-coaching record than I did. Of course, I was 0-12 coaching middle school girl's basketball as well. Good thing I didn't have any daughters on that team.
Posted by: Assistant Village Idiot at September 20, 2006 09:13 PMRW - Actually 2002 wasn't a good year for Kennedy's in Maryland. KKT's first cousin, Mark Shriver lost to Chris van Hollen in the primary for the 8th district congressional seat. If the Democratic leadership hadn't been so obtuse and let O'Malley run, I think that he'd be governor now. 3 percentage points could have been easily made up by a more charismatic candidate.
Maryland Conservatarian - I'll agree with you that the vast majority of voters couldn't name a single piece of legislation that he introduced or worked to pass. That won't stop him from advertising that skill.
Besides it wasn't just that KKT had no record of accomplishment, it's when her experience was put under the microscope (juvenile justice, gun control) she hadn't been very successful.
Despite my misgivings, I still intend to vote for him. I'd find it nearly impossible to vote for someone someone who brags about taking on the drug companies AND curing cancer in 15 years.
Assistant Village Idiot - I had not realized that Rove had given his tacit approval to the tactic. I still think that what Steele did with the Washington Post came accross as extremely amateurish.
Well despite my record my sons generally liked me to coach them. Go figure :-)
Posted by: soccer dad at September 21, 2006 12:05 AM